Realized P&L
-$1.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.21K
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
15,502
lifetime
Volume
$957.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$13.1K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 06:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
78% 43% $-1,296
Other
15% 0% $-6
Crypto
7% 100% +$0
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 423 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,570 88¢ $2.6K +$55 06-30 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5,462 $1,711 26¢ $1.4K $-264 07-02 06:25
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,367 $897 76¢ $1.0K +$141 06-30 22:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,160 $963 86¢ $1.0K +$40 06-26 21:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,000 $740 100¢ $998 +$258 06-14 21:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,024 $925 93¢ $956 +$31 06-10 06:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -1,064 $-911 84¢ $-888 +$23 06-18 15:32
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +889 $401 62¢ $556 +$155 07-01 01:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +721 $199 74¢ $530 +$330 07-01 19:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +622 $419 76¢ $470 +$51 06-04 22:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +507 $415 90¢ $453 +$38 05-31 05:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +572 $301 76¢ $432 +$131 06-24 03:48
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,380 $433 28¢ $380 $-54 07-01 15:08
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +500 $238 72¢ $362 +$124 06-30 16:33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -271 $-237 90¢ $-242 $-5 07-01 21:46
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,495 $124 $127 +$3 06-17 22:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +200 $90 57¢ $115 +$25 06-04 19:03
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +127 $94 87¢ $110 +$16 06-01 03:55
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +265 $86 42¢ $110 +$24 06-30 05:45
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -124 $-106 85¢ $-106 +$0 06-22 12:53
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +100 $62 78¢ $77 +$15 06-13 14:31
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +395 $7 $27 +$20 06-29 22:14
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +26 $-208 96¢ $24 +$232 07-01 05:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +120 $-77 14¢ $16 +$93 06-26 15:39
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -309 $61 $-13 $-75 07-01 10:52
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +13 $11 89¢ $12 +$1 06-25 15:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,000 $200 $2 $-198 06-12 16:38