Glistening-Contributor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

Trades

18,569

lifetime

Volume

$1.18M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

73% 43% $-1,296

Other

19% 0% $-6

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 423 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	280	$68.5K	90,497	62,748	+27,749	open	—	05-30 10:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	143	$61.3K	52,847	41,040	+11,807	open	—	06-03 13:34
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1,456	$45.6K	23,518	23,184	+333	open	—	02-04 11:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	195	$32.3K	21,941	21,397	+543	open	—	06-19 21:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	242	$28.4K	27,139	25,595	+1,545	open	—	05-30 12:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	170	$28.3K	24,660	22,140	+2,520	open	—	08-05 02:35
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	321	$25.2K	13,656	12,099	+1,557	open	—	02-08 10:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	176	$22.0K	40,607	40,857	-250	open	—	03-01 07:16
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	161	$20.2K	24,800	11,800	+13,000	open	—	07-07 20:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	295	$19.1K	51,618	49,608	+2,010	open	—	07-30 10:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	116	$15.4K	20,957	17,944	+3,013	open	—	07-25 23:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	174	$15.2K	9,393	9,652	-259	open	—	02-19 12:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	138	$13.7K	15,292	10,880	+4,412	open	—	04-02 06:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	355	$13.6K	22,105	20,595	+1,511	open	—	06-29 18:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	66	$13.3K	11,829	6,629	+5,200	open	—	05-14 15:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	317	$13.0K	76,087	76,196	-109	open	—	03-01 21:26
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	154	$12.4K	9,859	9,880	-21	open	—	03-30 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	134	$11.9K	16,510	15,000	+1,510	open	—	08-06 11:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	237	$11.3K	26,291	25,264	+1,027	open	—	08-11 12:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	40	$11.0K	12,016	9,116	+2,900	Yes	$-797	05-09 18:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	382	$9.9K	44,832	30,830	+14,002	open	—	06-21 11:31
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	192	$9.8K	21,041	22,064	-1,023	open	—	04-06 20:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	95	$9.3K	11,722	9,257	+2,466	No	+$127	05-08 18:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	56	$8.9K	7,000	5,000	+2,000	open	—	06-14 21:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	143	$8.7K	14,180	13,911	+269	open	—	04-30 06:44
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	49	$8.6K	6,618	5,266	+1,351	open	—	08-10 20:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	66	$8.6K	24,939	24,999	-60	open	—	07-12 03:50
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	110	$8.5K	9,025	7,163	+1,862	open	—	08-12 15:53
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	41	$8.4K	6,840	8,438	-1,598	open	—	02-28 07:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	191	$8.3K	13,013	12,013	+1,000	open	—	07-03 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:15:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,145	3¢	$32	0xfd9d8f…
08-12 16:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$27	0x33a151…
08-12 15:53:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	155	72¢	$111	0xf7ac4c…
08-12 15:52:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0xfef2ae…
08-12 15:52:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	242	72¢	$174	0x90f439…
08-12 15:51:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x410462…
08-12 15:51:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x557fb4…
08-12 15:51:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0xa76c1b…
08-12 15:51:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x94d1b4…
08-12 15:51:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x16dd11…
08-12 15:49:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	962	73¢	$705	0x9f2e73…
08-12 14:17:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x945b69…
08-12 13:59:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2,000	75¢	$1,510	0x39299e…
08-12 13:55:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x629752…
08-12 13:55:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xec1728…
08-12 13:55:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xa5becb…
08-12 13:55:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x5bd547…
08-12 13:55:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	458	77¢	$352	0x46f5fd…
08-12 12:08:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0xe3e10e…
08-12 12:01:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x343c21…
08-12 11:12:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xaf4dc8…
08-12 11:12:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xbc299c…
08-12 11:12:13	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5b5e13…
08-12 11:06:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0x78da3f…
08-12 10:54:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x307f24…
08-12 10:54:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x7da252…
08-12 10:53:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,000	80¢	$800	0xf3dbed…
08-12 10:00:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	856	4¢	$35	0xb8005f…
08-12 07:16:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	571	4¢	$24	0xa6ab51…
08-12 06:47:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,387	4¢	$50	0x5f19ab…
08-12 06:21:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x979fe1…
08-12 05:56:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xc6c8a9…
08-12 05:56:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x41343d…
08-12 05:56:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x7c5755…
08-12 05:56:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x51f93d…
08-12 05:55:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xd34d02…
08-12 05:55:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xe63c2d…
08-12 05:55:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x39bdb2…
08-12 05:54:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x43c504…
08-12 05:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0x0349ea…
08-12 05:12:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	247	4¢	$10	0xe267b6…
08-11 18:07:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	669	4¢	$25	0x1d96aa…
08-11 18:05:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x91723a…
08-11 18:05:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x2f031d…
08-11 18:05:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x0164bc…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe8f61d…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xe8486a…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xd3670c…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xca945a…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x9d9e37…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x9a5c27…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8566e1…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x854466…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x545840…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x51e69c…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x4a3828…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x3aedf8…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x281559…
08-11 18:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0x1ec894…
08-11 18:05:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0x2df99d…
08-11 15:31:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xe3f4d2…
08-11 13:19:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	346	5¢	$18	0x7a45b6…
08-11 13:05:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	654	5¢	$34	0xd167c9…
08-11 12:32:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0xfabd87…
08-11 12:03:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$43	0x8806c9…
08-11 08:01:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	234	5¢	$12	0x03ee16…
08-11 08:01:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	220	5¢	$11	0x71d0ed…
08-11 07:08:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x1f4186…
08-11 06:40:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xa17f3c…
08-11 06:13:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	417	5¢	$21	0xa54d40…
08-11 05:59:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x02d552…
08-11 04:59:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x52f800…
08-11 03:39:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1,209	5¢	$60	0x4af9d4…
08-11 01:31:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	500	70¢	$350	0x3fb400…
08-10 21:06:36	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	No	BUY	115	28¢	$32	0x07ea59…
08-10 20:57:03	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	No	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0xb6705a…
08-10 20:20:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x0bdfc2…
08-10 19:10:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	947	3¢	$31	0x0a9855…
08-10 19:08:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x07e34e…
08-10 18:55:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$32	0x52c44d…
08-10 18:43:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x662c77…
08-10 17:59:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$35	0xceb471…
08-10 17:43:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	365	87¢	$317	0x5bdbb8…
08-10 17:40:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	705	4¢	$26	0xac4d19…
08-10 17:39:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	295	4¢	$11	0x123cc1…
08-10 16:54:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	135	87¢	$118	0x5f7380…
08-10 16:00:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	334	4¢	$13	0xb77e42…
08-10 15:50:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x3a91f7…
08-10 15:49:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$36	0x6e3fe8…
08-10 15:41:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	380	4¢	$15	0x53ec51…
08-10 15:40:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xf6751e…
08-10 15:40:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x4f6742…
08-10 15:40:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x05388d…
08-10 15:18:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0xc0442a…
08-10 15:12:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x032b11…
08-10 15:11:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x29934d…
08-10 15:11:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xd7b9b5…
08-10 15:06:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x39f4df…
08-10 14:59:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xc1358c…
08-10 14:44:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xead599…