Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$59

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 11-07 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

88% 86% -$4

Politics

8% 67% -$36

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+30	$29	96¢	$29	$0	11-06 08:20
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	+23	$23	98¢	$23	+$0	11-01 13:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+4	$3	84¢	$3	+$0	11-03 08:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+3	$2	81¢	$2	$0	10-25 11:27
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+2	$2	97¢	$2	+$0	11-07 02:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	2	$111	57	57	+0	Yes	+$3	10-21 23:05
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026?	2	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	11-06 22:26
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	2	$102	56	56	+0	Yes	-$2	10-16 14:08
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	2	$100	53	53	+0	Yes	+$4	10-20 07:51
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	2	$94	62	62	+0	Yes	-$17	10-23 23:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026?	2	$89	47	47	+0	Yes	+$3	10-11 07:26
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	+$1	10-08 08:50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$65	52	52	+0	open	—	10-18 03:55
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	3	$59	54	54	+0	No	-$40	10-17 20:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$1	10-03 13:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	4	$56	39	26	+13	Yes	+$4	08-17 03:05
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 8, 2026?	1	$53	54	0	+54	open	—	11-07 06:13
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 7, 2026?	1	$52	54	0	+54	Yes	+$1	11-06 22:28
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 5, 2026?	1	$51	55	0	+55	Yes	+$4	11-04 10:17
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?	1	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	+$7	10-20 07:51
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	10-13 09:04
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 3, 2026?	2	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	11-03 08:19
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	1	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	+$7	10-30 00:56
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 4, 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	11-03 18:22
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	1	$49	55	0	+55	Yes	+$6	10-27 04:26
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?	1	$48	50	0	+50	Yes	+$2	10-12 17:35
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	1	$46	49	0	+49	Yes	+$3	10-25 11:23
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?	1	$46	48	0	+48	Yes	+$2	10-11 07:27
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	1	$45	51	0	+51	Yes	+$6	10-18 23:11
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	1	$43	48	0	+48	Yes	+$5	10-24 06:10
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	1	$42	55	0	+55	Yes	+$14	10-18 03:56
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$1	08-01 06:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$40	78	78	+0	Yes	-$24	10-09 23:27
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	1	$39	48	0	+48	Yes	+$9	10-23 23:01
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	2	$36	215	215	+0	No	-$10	08-11 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 06:13:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x03b7c6…
11-07 02:10:46	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4b9bcd…
11-06 22:28:16	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0xc8b9e0…
11-06 22:26:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x3c6aba…
11-06 08:20:21	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x732177…
11-05 10:02:15	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfb5eb5…
11-05 09:57:04	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xe4ac80…
11-04 13:24:55	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbfedb1…
11-04 10:17:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0xd84c32…
11-03 18:23:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x64f2b0…
11-03 18:23:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x269d95…
11-03 18:22:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x47653c…
11-03 08:19:37	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x60e787…
11-03 08:19:28	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1173fc…
11-03 08:19:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4c8821…
11-03 08:18:31	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3269d5…
11-01 13:07:48	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x1b4d76…
11-01 13:00:16	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xd4529f…
11-01 12:52:12	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x832a71…
10-30 00:58:37	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc1bb91…
10-30 00:58:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd3e36…
10-30 00:56:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x3843ed…
10-27 04:26:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	88¢	$49	0xd83180…
10-25 11:27:02	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x065e96…
10-25 11:23:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xeff082…
10-24 23:22:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x360cb3…
10-24 23:21:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xa8cbd7…
10-24 06:13:05	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xb3f618…
10-24 06:10:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x6c9232…
10-23 23:01:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	81¢	$39	0x7e0e8d…
10-23 23:00:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	62¢	$38	0xb9ade8…
10-21 23:05:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	89¢	$56	0xad40e6…
10-21 23:05:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x642925…
10-21 07:23:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1c2d92…
10-21 07:22:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4f3f6e…
10-21 07:20:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x2f3ead…
10-20 07:52:25	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3bf29e…
10-20 07:51:49	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x69cf0c…
10-20 07:51:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0xaede55…
10-19 06:33:14	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9d6f5d…
10-19 06:17:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x3e18b8…
10-18 23:12:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xcc8be1…
10-18 23:11:33	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0xefa3db…
10-18 03:56:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	75¢	$42	0x80cc1b…
10-18 03:55:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	52	62¢	$33	0x9c9a8b…
10-17 20:49:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb79695…
10-17 20:49:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd034fd…
10-17 20:47:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	18¢	$9	0xc3a6c3…
10-16 14:09:42	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x1d2fef…
10-16 14:09:21	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd81fb3…
10-16 14:08:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0x4c15db…
10-14 08:44:22	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xd74421…
10-13 09:04:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc6fe2e…
10-12 17:35:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xccd964…
10-11 07:27:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x8f7e29…
10-11 07:26:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xf85292…
10-09 23:27:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x82239a…
10-09 23:27:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	78	10¢	$8	0x2dfc44…
10-08 08:50:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x76cae1…
10-08 08:50:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xe68523…
10-07 03:21:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x1f64f9…
10-06 05:49:25	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2665c9…
10-04 21:40:43	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x0df16f…
10-03 19:55:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x8e0b8e…
10-03 19:50:16	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	52	61¢	$32	0x3c0be7…
10-03 19:46:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	41¢	$32	0xcfa37a…
10-03 13:52:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbb23ac…
09-01 10:09:10	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$24	0x07b8d7…
09-01 08:33:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0xebb7ab…
09-01 08:31:30	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	84	34¢	$29	0x258b92…
08-20 10:42:45	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x891c54…
08-17 03:05:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe4282f…
08-17 03:02:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6c18b7…
08-12 03:28:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xc2b4a0…
08-11 22:21:06	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	SELL	215	6¢	$13	0xf9e4e0…
08-10 05:17:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	215	11¢	$23	0xd7d363…
08-10 05:12:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x38448f…
08-01 15:15:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x907bc8…
08-01 14:45:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd4d32b…
08-01 06:30:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe3ae3f…
08-01 06:28:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d7873…
08-01 06:25:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x94ad33…
08-01 06:23:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05892c…
08-01 06:04:08	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x242151…
07-21 13:54:15	US x China tariff agreement by July 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xeb60b7…