Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
35
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$338
Open exposure
$2.27K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-11 12:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88%
Other
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,266 $1,000 82¢ $1.0K +$32 06-02 02:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1,125 $657 52¢ $579 $-78 06-03 15:13
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +2,452 $243 $219 $-24 06-11 12:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +371 $200 57¢ $213 +$13 06-12 10:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +341 $106 35¢ $120 +$14 06-09 15:39
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,552 $105 $68 $-37 06-11 12:47
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +153 $26 14¢ $21 $-5 06-08 11:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,700 $-28 $-16 +$12 05-28 00:23
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? Yes +125 $2 $2 +$0 06-08 11:54