Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.29K

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

$347

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-29 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

75% 40% -$30

Other

25% 0% -$1,158

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+5,810	$1,047	3¢	$195	-$852	07-19 06:57
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	+1,550	$222	7¢	$102	-$120	07-19 06:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,201	$288	3¢	$37	-$252	09-21 06:35
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+561	$79	2¢	$14	-$66	10-29 17:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	17	$6.4K	5,737	2,701	+3,036	No	+$636	05-31 16:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$2.3K	2,249	1,124	+1,125	Yes	-$657	06-03 15:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$2.0K	1,266	1,266	+0	No	-$42	06-16 04:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	6	$1.4K	2,949	2,949	+0	No	-$843	06-26 05:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$1.2K	698	698	+0	No	+$49	05-26 03:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	3	$1.0K	5,810	0	+5,810	open	—	07-19 06:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	2	$448	371	371	+0	open	—	06-23 06:32
Iran Nuke before 2027?	9	$417	2,547	1,986	+561	open	—	10-29 17:18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	1	$288	1,201	0	+1,201	open	—	09-21 06:35
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	4	$222	1,550	0	+1,550	open	—	07-19 06:57
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	5	$211	1,906	1,906	+0	open	—	06-24 12:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$200	444	0	+444	No	-$200	05-11 20:35
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	2	$187	556	556	+0	open	—	06-02 02:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	2	$78	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$22	05-28 00:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	1	$70	350	0	+350	No	-$70	09-21 06:35
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	2	$37	594	0	+594	No	-$37	06-08 11:54
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	1	$3	30	0	+30	Yes	-$3	10-24 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:18:55	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0xeef34a…
10-29 17:17:43	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	9¢	$10	0x4e264c…
10-29 17:16:58	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x7a0e34…
10-24 15:21:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x43792e…
09-21 06:35:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,201	24¢	$288	0x42a7ae…
09-21 06:35:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	20¢	$70	0xefd67c…
07-19 06:57:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x60168d…
07-19 06:57:13	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	483	15¢	$71	0x5d917e…
07-19 06:57:03	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x8729af…
07-10 08:08:34	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	915	14¢	$125	0xd5d109…
06-26 05:57:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,949	9¢	$255	0x204c5c…
06-24 12:38:22	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,906	5¢	$86	0x0797f9…
06-23 06:32:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	371	67¢	$248	0x256365…
06-16 04:29:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,391	38¢	$530	0x0ec043…
06-16 04:28:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	671	79¢	$530	0x7cc321…
06-15 12:21:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	464	35¢	$162	0x99e8d8…
06-15 00:44:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	595	72¢	$428	0x5851af…
06-12 16:45:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	754	40¢	$300	0xed9ff3…
06-12 16:35:22	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	6¢	$20	0x3d66ac…
06-12 16:34:57	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	637	8¢	$52	0x914c3a…
06-12 16:34:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xa51504…
06-12 16:30:27	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,177	9¢	$101	0x82b63e…
06-12 10:35:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0x66bb97…
06-11 12:47:18	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	788	7¢	$55	0x732677…
06-11 12:44:28	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	10¢	$8	0x01143d…
06-09 15:39:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xbd89a5…
06-08 11:57:52	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x009489…
06-08 11:55:21	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	6¢	$25	0x75e10d…
06-08 11:54:28	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x5842d6…
06-06 06:18:42	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	926	9¢	$85	0x69f5a2…
06-04 01:36:45	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xc1ae9d…
06-04 01:24:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,443	10¢	$150	0x76b019…
06-03 15:13:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,124	75¢	$843	0x36e4ff…
06-02 02:18:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0x3b23c4…
06-02 02:17:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2,249	67¢	$1,500	0xe8fb57…
06-02 02:14:27	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	556	16¢	$87	0x3ccc01…
05-31 16:01:32	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	314	32¢	$100	0x67582d…
05-31 16:00:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	127	98¢	$124	0xd3831c…
05-29 06:18:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x85e7ee…
05-29 06:18:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x6fb413…
05-29 01:05:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1,057	85¢	$900	0x5ec718…
05-28 00:28:26	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x27d2eb…
05-28 00:26:19	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	8¢	$25	0x85c5f2…
05-28 00:23:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,700	2¢	$28	0xf9553b…
05-27 09:31:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x814c2f…
05-27 03:04:33	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	469	7¢	$35	0xc6f8d6…
05-27 03:02:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	773	78¢	$600	0xdb0794…
05-26 12:40:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	310	78¢	$243	0xa81065…
05-26 12:38:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xb6733b…
05-26 12:38:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xa24763…
05-26 12:38:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x35f671…
05-26 12:34:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xc4c3b9…
05-26 12:30:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	61	78¢	$48	0x35cbbd…
05-26 12:30:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xc60fea…
05-26 12:30:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x6ca5b3…
05-26 12:26:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x71ad6e…
05-26 03:29:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	698	93¢	$649	0x74515b…
05-26 03:29:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	2,574	73¢	$1,880	0x042c20…
05-24 16:02:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	698	86¢	$600	0x2af746…
05-24 16:01:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2,739	73¢	$2,000	0xac01c5…
05-24 15:51:34	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,431	18¢	$1,000	0x29f334…
05-24 10:37:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,700	3¢	$50	0x7bee58…
05-11 20:35:51	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x407de1…