Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
59
lifetime
Volume
$1.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$163
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 06-19 18:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
92%
Politics
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +69 $34 55¢ $38 +$4 06-19 10:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 $-0 06-19 13:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +34 $30 86¢ $29 $-1 06-18 18:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +49 $18 46¢ $22 +$4 06-19 20:36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +19 $18 95¢ $18 $-0 06-19 13:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 06-18 18:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 06-19 10:19
Trump out as President before 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 $-0 06-19 11:34