Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
140
lifetime
Volume
$2.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$231
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 07-09 19:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
79%
Politics
18%
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +49 $15 69¢ $34 +$19 07-06 01:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +34 $30 88¢ $31 +$1 06-18 18:47
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +52 $26 50¢ $26 $-0 06-20 19:09
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +33 $22 63¢ $21 $-1 07-07 20:13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +19 $18 96¢ $19 +$0 06-19 13:41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +74 $19 22¢ $17 $-3 06-20 10:21
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +48 $15 31¢ $15 +$0 07-07 23:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +16 $6 78¢ $12 +$6 07-08 10:32
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +25 $15 46¢ $12 $-3 07-06 08:09
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +30 $11 40¢ $12 +$1 07-09 19:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $10 84¢ $9 $-1 06-18 18:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 06-19 10:19
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +9 $7 84¢ $7 +$0 06-20 18:08
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 +$0 06-20 18:38
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +5 $3 52¢ $3 $-0 07-06 06:28