Female-Fourths 0xe30898…67309c Create alert
bot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$346
Unrealized P&L
-$456
Hit rate
77.3%
Resolved
251
Trades
1,260
lifetime
Volume
$24.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$683
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 10-19 08:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
53% 46% -$245
Politics
24% 48% +$325
Tech
23% 50% +$305
Sports
0% 0% -$40
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +7,809 $695 4¢ $348 -$348 10-15 13:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $100 36¢ $64 -$36 10-10 07:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $50 12¢ $57 +$7 10-15 14:02
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? Yes +265 $50 19¢ $50 +$0 10-15 14:06
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +549 $142 9¢ $49 -$93 07-11 14:28
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? No +122 $50 32¢ $39 -$11 10-17 03:16
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +642 $44 5¢ $32 -$12 10-15 14:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -167 -$20 11¢ $-17 +$2 06-15 02:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -38 -$11 36¢ $-14 -$3 06-10 23:27
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +789 $4 1¢ $6 +$2 08-12 12:31
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,159 $17 0¢ $3 -$14 08-12 12:31
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +435 $8 0¢ $1 -$7 08-12 12:31
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +387 $9 0¢ $1 -$8 08-12 12:30
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +331 $7 0¢ $1 -$6 08-12 12:30
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +0 -$36 84¢ $0 +$36 08-13 07:56
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +0 -$32 87¢ $0 +$32 10-02 12:31