Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
337
lifetime
Volume
$5.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$361
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 06-30 19:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% +$19
Other
22%
Tech
15%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +304 $70 32¢ $97 +$27 06-19 07:42
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes +104 $32 64¢ $66 +$35 06-29 09:58
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +184 $64 30¢ $56 $-8 06-11 10:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -43 $-33 82¢ $-35 $-2 06-19 07:02
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +52 $14 64¢ $33 +$20 06-22 07:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +57 $25 58¢ $33 +$8 06-16 03:44
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $15 14¢ $14 $-2 06-11 09:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -38 $-11 26¢ $-10 +$1 06-10 23:27
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-16 $-8 +$8 05-28 17:29
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes +20 $5 31¢ $6 +$1 06-13 04:10
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +211 $30 $2 $-28 06-03 18:40
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +100 $10 $0 $-10 06-20 15:47
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $-20 100¢ $0 +$20 06-08 11:21