Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
392
lifetime
Volume
$7.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$314
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 07-17 15:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
51% 50% +$19
Other
26%
Tech
23%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +429 $90 26¢ $114 +$24 07-08 13:14
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +504 $131 21¢ $106 $-25 07-11 14:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -43 $-33 86¢ $-37 $-4 06-19 07:02
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +175 $22 12¢ $20 $-2 07-08 13:25
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No +23 $-6 64¢ $15 +$21 07-16 22:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -38 $-11 22¢ $-8 +$2 06-10 23:27
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-16 $-8 +$8 05-28 17:29
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes +20 $5 34¢ $7 +$2 06-13 04:10
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +100 $10 $0 $-10 06-20 15:47