Female-Fourths — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

437

lifetime

Volume

$9.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 08-12 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 50% +$19

Other

33% — —

Tech

20% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	15	$646	1,207	1,207	+0	open	—	08-12 09:20
will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	4	$372	225	225	+0	open	—	08-12 09:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	5	$293	253	253	+0	open	—	04-22 04:33
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	2	$280	222	222	+0	open	—	07-06 04:00
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	3	$262	633	0	+633	open	—	07-17 11:05
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	5	$242	214	214	+0	open	—	07-09 17:15
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	6	$231	185	185	+0	open	—	07-10 03:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$224	180	180	+0	open	—	06-01 04:04
will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	6	$191	616	616	+0	open	—	08-11 07:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$189	185	185	+0	Yes	+$89	05-08 18:02
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	4	$179	128	128	+0	open	—	06-11 05:10
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	6	$170	145	145	+0	open	—	06-18 14:53
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	6	$158	134	134	+0	open	—	07-03 08:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$157	146	85	+61	open	—	04-26 05:15
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	7	$145	154	85	+69	open	—	06-30 13:53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$143	113	113	+0	open	—	05-30 16:37
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	2	$142	185	185	+0	open	—	07-26 06:36
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	5	$131	504	0	+504	open	—	07-11 14:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$129	84	84	+0	open	—	05-30 06:50
next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	5	$128	124	74	+50	open	—	06-13 05:27
will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	4	$128	104	104	+0	open	—	06-06 16:25
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	2	$127	95	95	+0	open	—	06-30 02:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$121	372	72	+300	open	—	05-13 17:01
epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	5	$117	99	99	+0	open	—	07-24 09:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$114	44	94	-51	open	—	06-20 00:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$110	96	96	+0	open	—	06-08 11:21
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$110	75	75	+0	open	—	06-08 11:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 18:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	4	$90	429	0	+429	open	—	07-08 13:14
will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by september 30 2026 20260625163926547	4	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	07-17 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:35:15	will microsoft release a new mai thinking model by september 30 2026 20260710200926147	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x4c0ba9…
08-12 09:29:57	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	SELL	220	84¢	$185	0x6c7fa1…
08-12 09:20:31	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x9b2ca8…
08-12 05:13:03	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	No	SELL	39	80¢	$31	0xefcbd5…
08-12 05:07:19	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x3664be…
08-12 05:01:54	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0xc13900…
08-12 04:58:04	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	BUY	115	80¢	$92	0x5fb860…
08-12 04:38:57	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7f3d2c…
08-12 04:26:24	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x2ba830…
08-12 04:24:33	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	No	BUY	25	82¢	$21	0x069253…
08-11 07:12:16	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	532	17¢	$90	0x8ef766…
08-11 03:27:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x386d0f…
08-11 03:27:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	34	17¢	$6	0xf2bcf3…
08-10 17:29:12	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	39	84¢	$33	0x97e7af…
08-10 17:28:21	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xd8f6d0…
08-10 17:25:39	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	334	15¢	$50	0x534dd1…
08-10 17:25:28	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	652	15¢	$98	0xc1bb07…
08-10 17:23:31	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xc2cf3a…
08-10 17:23:07	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2685ec…
08-10 17:22:36	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x45d00f…
08-10 17:22:19	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	213	15¢	$32	0x87d277…
08-10 17:10:55	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	256	15¢	$39	0x4aba1a…
08-10 17:09:00	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	110	16¢	$17	0xa7f330…
08-10 17:07:21	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	384	14¢	$52	0x3d86a7…
08-10 14:28:12	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	165	80¢	$132	0xe0d753…
08-10 14:26:52	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x16d43e…
08-10 14:26:36	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	146	77¢	$112	0x8fe4ef…
08-10 13:52:46	will kai or speed die to a piglin 20260808122806768	Yes	BUY	56	49¢	$27	0x04236e…
08-10 13:39:19	will kai or speed die to a piglin 20260808122806768	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x1bc978…
08-10 13:38:12	will kai or speed die to a piglin 20260808122806768	Yes	BUY	84	32¢	$27	0x424e95…
08-10 07:19:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x30a2c1…
08-10 07:19:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	235	14¢	$33	0x96be02…
08-10 07:19:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	329	14¢	$46	0xff7534…
08-09 13:04:28	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2a93f5…
08-02 20:28:29	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xedb7ef…
07-26 06:36:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	SELL	185	47¢	$87	0xdba4df…
07-25 18:28:01	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x5d755e…
07-25 17:34:28	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	65	61¢	$40	0x94accc…
07-25 06:31:54	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1de05c…
07-25 06:29:54	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x28553e…
07-25 04:02:31	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026 20260715004553750	No	BUY	185	30¢	$55	0xa1d0dc…
07-24 09:47:31	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xaa50fd…
07-24 09:45:57	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	SELL	99	62¢	$61	0xd2ff43…
07-24 09:43:54	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x882e40…
07-24 09:43:43	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xbcb28c…
07-24 09:43:27	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x373860…
07-24 09:24:00	will cloud9 win more than 2pt5 matches in vct 2026 americas stage 2 20260710215217331	O 2.5	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe30000…
07-24 07:34:49	will cloud9 win more than 2pt5 matches in vct 2026 americas stage 2 20260710215217331	O 2.5	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe7fd2b…
07-17 15:18:54	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by september 30 2026 20260625163926547	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x17cb1b…
07-17 11:05:27	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	218	23¢	$50	0x13bfb7…
07-17 09:00:25	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0x3ececb…
07-16 22:23:37	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x245855…
07-16 21:02:05	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xef71e0…
07-16 15:22:02	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by september 30 2026 20260625163926547	No	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0x84edad…
07-16 04:16:01	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x9bc905…
07-15 14:25:20	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x5261f5…
07-14 08:37:44	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x7af9a1…
07-14 06:33:32	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	133	40¢	$54	0xa921eb…
07-13 03:12:17	will microsoft release a new mai thinking model by september 30 2026 20260710200926147	Yes	BUY	71	22¢	$16	0x30f654…
07-12 18:26:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x73c141…
07-12 18:26:13	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6e13ce…
07-12 04:46:49	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xc678db…
07-11 14:28:58	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd98dec…
07-11 13:59:44	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xa26704…
07-11 11:25:02	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xcf071e…
07-11 09:01:58	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xdb9c4b…
07-11 04:24:19	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 16 2026	No	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0x8bbf97…
07-11 04:23:46	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	No	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xccd7b9…
07-10 03:26:10	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by december 31 2026 20260625163926548	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x75e69c…
07-10 03:21:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	57	66¢	$37	0x6b522c…
07-10 03:09:19	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	SELL	105	84¢	$89	0xd05ed3…
07-09 17:15:26	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	104	84¢	$88	0x8812c4…
07-09 15:18:38	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by december 31 2026 20260625163926548	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x9af28a…
07-09 15:15:32	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by september 30 2026 20260625163926547	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xbbb8a0…
07-09 15:11:20	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by december 31 2026 20260625163926548	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x0a5cc4…
07-09 15:10:56	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by december 31 2026 20260625163926548	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xdcad14…
07-09 15:09:31	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by december 31 2026 20260625163926548	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xcfc15c…
07-09 15:00:53	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by september 30 2026 20260625163926547	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x4d11d2…
07-09 11:51:46	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 10 20260703170519586	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0bd93e…
07-09 11:46:32	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xab8414…
07-09 06:38:14	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x636e05…
07-08 19:00:25	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xb17417…
07-08 13:25:19	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0x558692…
07-08 13:14:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x17db99…
07-08 11:37:10	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x16c610…
07-08 10:16:10	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x1b659f…
07-08 06:49:53	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	SELL	56	78¢	$44	0x7e8ae1…
07-08 06:27:13	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0x74a672…
07-07 14:26:40	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0x4b0451…
07-07 13:45:11	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcb017f…
07-07 13:43:52	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x394b31…
07-06 09:27:44	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 10 20260703170519586	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xf533c6…
07-06 09:27:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 9 20260703170519585	No	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x7603fd…
07-06 04:00:43	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	222	78¢	$173	0x89f27a…
07-06 02:23:52	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	222	48¢	$106	0x48cca2…
07-03 10:40:01	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	110	72¢	$80	0x28b4d1…
07-03 08:47:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	130	71¢	$92	0x20d3d9…
07-03 08:34:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x86f4c0…
07-03 08:34:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x36cddd…
07-03 08:29:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0xd3ed9d…