Female-Fourths 0xe30898…67309c
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Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
235
lifetime
Volume
$4.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$192
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 06-09 20:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
69% 50% +$19
Other
21% — —
Tech
10% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +149 $50 31¢ $46 $-4 06-09 05:16
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $35 36¢ $36 +$1 06-04 03:32
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +211 $30 14¢ $30 $-0 06-03 18:40
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -50 $-15 34¢ $-17 $-2 05-31 14:58
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +40 $21 36¢ $15 $-6 06-08 19:57
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -250 $-23 6¢ $-14 +$9 05-29 15:15
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-16 6¢ $-13 +$3 05-28 17:29
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $8 16¢ $8 $-1 05-31 07:53
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-12 1¢ $-7 +$5 06-09 20:34
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +80 $12 7¢ $6 $-6 06-09 17:06
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 $-3 05-30 23:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $-20 76¢ $0 +$20 06-08 11:21