Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-28

last 11-01 01:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

55% 81% -$21

Politics

32% 96% +$4

Sports

7% 50% -$8

Crypto

3% 33% -$3

Tech

3% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+40	$40	100¢	$40	+$0	11-01 01:23
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+63	$52	63¢	$39	-$13	09-09 18:48
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+25	$25	98¢	$25	$0	10-20 06:40
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+63	$12	37¢	$23	+$12	09-09 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:23:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x07b73a…
10-31 18:22:42	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x78f6f2…
10-31 14:56:51	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x88a50e…
10-31 13:49:52	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe02dbc…
10-31 11:38:07	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa378e4…
10-31 04:50:10	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9f81c2…
10-30 20:46:22	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x871bfb…
10-29 01:10:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7d5468…
10-28 20:14:01	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd62164…
10-28 12:18:34	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xd9bdf6…
10-28 07:42:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb5836e…
10-27 12:52:32	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5b892…
10-26 04:50:32	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x61bfcb…
10-26 02:53:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63b7bd…
10-25 07:33:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfd1ede…
10-25 06:52:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x406449…
10-25 00:00:27	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x308a47…
10-24 23:24:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x899df6…
10-24 20:13:27	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd1791…
10-24 09:28:32	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca89ce…
10-24 09:13:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb90ca6…
10-23 20:11:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7e6cc4…
10-23 17:00:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8441da…
10-23 08:40:09	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5536b1…
10-23 06:30:36	NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb6c337…
10-22 02:37:42	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6f3d50…
10-22 01:54:59	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75458b…
10-21 22:21:29	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf60649…
10-20 08:02:34	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x207543…
10-20 06:40:52	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8d41b0…
10-19 03:59:53	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb55f34…
10-16 19:55:15	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 15	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x414f17…
10-16 18:52:37	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x20baaa…
10-16 14:18:48	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x774542…
10-16 08:45:42	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1f7d22…
10-16 01:48:52	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8d638…
10-16 01:48:52	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e6a51…
10-16 01:48:52	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x149949…
10-15 04:12:31	houthi military action against saudi arabia on october 13	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xbb84da…
10-12 04:13:47	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe57b20…
10-11 19:22:10	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5db4c8…
10-10 22:55:34	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x14873b…
10-07 19:18:00	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x665fec…
10-06 14:26:21	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb970fc…
10-06 13:43:01	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5761a2…
10-05 13:45:52	Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd1c786…
10-05 11:13:47	Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a91b9…
10-05 00:12:02	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x669670…
10-04 10:24:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde2679…
10-04 07:57:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0f886c…
10-03 05:36:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x74d4c0…
10-03 05:33:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9171c…
10-02 18:30:36	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 23?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xbf8e64…
10-02 13:26:29	Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x661204…
10-02 07:39:53	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfaf4b7…
10-01 15:53:47	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2d9421…
10-01 10:21:12	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xbb6ecb…
10-01 07:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0xb8b02a…
10-01 07:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x753b5b…
10-01 07:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x8c8397…
10-01 06:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb3c589…
10-01 06:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xb0a7d7…
10-01 03:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	105	33¢	$35	0x2cb136…
10-01 03:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0x3f3dae…
09-30 23:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	105	59¢	$62	0x08f12e…
09-30 22:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf72b9c…
09-30 22:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x6e2f1a…
09-30 22:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xffa73a…
09-30 21:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xde49b5…
09-30 21:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xda17eb…
09-30 21:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x663e8c…
09-30 21:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x24e90c…
09-30 20:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x91b853…
09-30 20:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7ff840…
09-30 20:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x449f01…
09-30 20:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xb87001…
09-29 20:26:36	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbddc0d…
09-29 10:16:35	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x010696…
09-29 10:16:33	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x572f3d…
09-29 10:16:33	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x207e26…
09-26 18:42:33	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdd62e4…
09-25 02:38:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x799871…
09-24 21:17:11	Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x338e2e…
09-24 14:18:05	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 24?	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x2af1a2…
09-22 16:40:52	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0x8fd9e3…
09-22 09:31:07	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x36930d…
09-22 05:05:30	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 23?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2f8928…
09-21 11:16:08	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfd697c…
09-21 10:29:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2bf3b5…
09-21 10:29:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xde3751…
09-21 10:28:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x807231…
09-21 10:28:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa7b78c…
09-21 10:27:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x652494…
09-21 10:27:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfa9747…
09-21 10:26:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe9eee9…
09-21 10:26:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa3f4d6…
09-21 10:26:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5afb8f…
09-21 10:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x51197b…
09-21 10:25:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x744841…
09-21 10:25:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x9879bf…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	183	$395	703	703	+0	open	—	08-04 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	19	$244	458	17	+442	No	+$0	10-01 07:44
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	9	$192	237	112	+125	open	—	09-09 18:48
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	19	$174	222	115	+107	Yes	-$8	08-12 19:09
will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	13	$76	146	56	+90	No	-$3	08-17 09:11
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	5	$73	63	63	+0	open	—	09-22 16:40
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	10-31 18:22
Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	10-31 11:38
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	9	$68	84	84	+0	No	-$7	08-24 08:34
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	10-19 03:59
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	10-12 04:13
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	3	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	10-25 00:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	10-23 20:11
fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	7	$46	81	27	+54	No	-$5	08-18 08:10
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 23?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	10-02 18:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-29 01:10
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	10-31 04:50
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-30 20:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	11-01 01:23
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-28 20:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	20	$39	21	21	+0	No	-$1	09-21 10:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	18	$37	21	20	+1	No	-$3	09-21 10:26
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?	4	$34	41	41	+0	Yes	-$7	09-18 07:53
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	2	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	09-10 18:48
Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-21 22:21
houthi military action against saudi arabia on october 13	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-15 04:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-25 07:33
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?	2	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-24 09:28
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-25 06:52
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-22 02:37