Realized P&L
-$33.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.59K
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
450
Trades
2,530
lifetime
Volume
$297.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$9.43K
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-23
last 10-26 01:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Sports
34% 57% -$21,115
Politics
27% 62% -$388
Other
23% 56% -$14,004
Crypto
15% 47% +$2,339
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +4,600 $1,874 34¢ $1.6K -$287 10-25 03:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +13,715 $1,076 11¢ $1.4K +$364 10-26 01:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +17,650 $2,879 8¢ $1.3K -$1,555 10-24 13:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,100 $704 66¢ $720 +$16 10-20 18:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +1,924 $498 34¢ $664 +$166 10-14 14:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +800 $640 80¢ $644 +$4 10-25 04:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,991 $868 10¢ $499 -$369 10-22 20:32
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,755 $278 26¢ $465 +$188 10-14 10:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +807 $399 50¢ $407 +$9 10-22 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $392 42¢ $332 -$60 10-24 14:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? No +7,700 $672 3¢ $231 -$441 10-25 23:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,600 $624 14¢ $223 -$401 10-02 22:50
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +500 $185 38¢ $190 +$5 10-15 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +5,082 $979 4¢ $178 -$801 10-26 01:12
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +222 $142 62¢ $139 -$3 10-20 18:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +200 $108 57¢ $114 +$6 10-22 06:49
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +865 $78 10¢ $82 +$4 10-24 13:04
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +4,184 $669 2¢ $69 -$600 10-02 22:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +81 $56 70¢ $57 +$1 10-22 00:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +800 $104 6¢ $44 -$60 10-19 16:34
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +47 $17 38¢ $18 +$1 10-16 00:54
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +100 $20 7¢ $7 -$13 10-13 16:56
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$40 99¢ $0 +$40 10-13 18:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$736 84¢ $0 +$736 10-24 00:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$456 16¢ $0 +$456 10-23 14:16