Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.01K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.52K

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

1,981

Trades

17,670

lifetime

Volume

$447.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$3.44K

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-27 05:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 64% -$11,273

Other

21% 75% +$1,348

Politics

15% 73% +$1,014

Sports

0% 0% -$74

Tech

0% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,871	$1,721	94¢	$1.8K	+$38	10-26 18:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+1,285	$974	92¢	$1.2K	+$214	10-23 21:57
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+400	-$878	98¢	$394	+$1,272	10-26 11:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+175	$107	57¢	$100	-$7	10-25 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	100	$27.5K	14,862	14,462	+400	open	—	10-26 11:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	62	$20.8K	11,270	11,270	+0	open	—	10-24 20:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	93	$7.2K	5,284	5,184	+100	No	+$642	07-31 13:19
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?	58	$6.9K	3,935	3,346	+589	No	+$210	10-01 04:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	63	$4.6K	3,040	3,040	+0	No	+$525	09-13 19:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	45	$4.6K	2,461	2,406	+55	Yes	+$213	08-02 08:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	10	$4.5K	2,393	2,393	-0	No	+$197	08-15 16:07
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	52	$4.3K	2,359	2,359	+0	No	+$121	09-29 17:34
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	53	$4.0K	2,362	2,198	+164	No	+$215	10-01 04:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	26	$3.8K	2,060	2,060	+0	No	+$255	09-29 22:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	30	$2.7K	1,585	1,585	+0	Yes	+$270	07-25 16:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	14	$2.5K	1,319	1,319	+0	No	+$153	09-21 08:45
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	58	$2.4K	1,353	1,353	+0	No	+$229	10-23 10:30
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?	8	$2.1K	1,105	1,105	+0	No	+$110	08-01 04:51
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$2.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	Yes	+$41	10-26 22:56
will iran target a arab country on august 9 2026 20260801004719126	23	$1.9K	1,013	1,013	+0	No	+$102	08-11 15:24
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	47	$1.9K	2,382	86	+2,297	open	—	10-27 00:17
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	12	$1.8K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$320	07-21 21:41
will iran target a arab country on august 14 2026 20260801004719131	8	$1.8K	962	962	+0	No	+$87	08-15 09:05
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?	10	$1.7K	899	899	+0	No	+$43	08-24 11:31
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?	8	$1.7K	912	898	+14	No	+$48	09-07 22:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	9	$1.7K	1,871	0	+1,871	open	—	10-26 18:51
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	9	$1.7K	876	876	+0	Yes	+$74	09-23 03:52
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	10	$1.6K	841	841	+0	No	+$41	09-30 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	24	$1.6K	973	688	+285	Up	+$51	04-26 22:19
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	25	$1.6K	1,260	1,232	+28	Yes	-$399	09-15 06:42
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	15	$1.5K	846	846	+0	No	+$59	08-29 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 21:00 UTC	44	$1.5K	1,572	623	+949	Down	-$503	04-18 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$1.5K	750	750	+0	Down	+$30	05-29 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	16	$1.4K	764	760	+4	Down	+$38	04-27 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:36:21	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	315	100¢	$314	0x725299…
10-27 01:21:33	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x39350c…
10-27 00:17:51	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	89¢	$53	0xb7bdbc…
10-26 22:56:42	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,047	99¢	$1,036	0x335790…
10-26 22:55:27	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xf56a9b…
10-26 22:55:21	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	307	99¢	$304	0x5a233d…
10-26 22:55:05	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	166	99¢	$164	0xe86d77…
10-26 22:55:03	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0x62c7a7…
10-26 22:51:36	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x018cc1…
10-26 22:51:17	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	188	99¢	$186	0xaea418…
10-26 22:50:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Kane	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x5afdaf…
10-26 22:50:39	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	262	80¢	$210	0xa4c6d7…
10-26 22:50:39	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x55d9e0…
10-26 22:50:39	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x413535…
10-26 22:50:39	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	171	97¢	$166	0x009a09…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	215	95¢	$205	0xf3ee7c…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	259	94¢	$242	0xc68d32…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0xb60ef1…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0xabf200…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	140	81¢	$113	0x3f0196…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x34f388…
10-26 22:50:35	Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Kane	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xc31c7b…
10-26 22:50:33	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	251	74¢	$187	0xff527b…
10-26 22:50:33	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xfa1cea…
10-26 22:50:33	Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Kane	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xaeac34…
10-26 22:50:33	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	83	91¢	$76	0x6eff66…
10-26 22:50:33	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x691c9f…
10-26 22:50:33	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x0749f0…
10-26 21:04:57	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$8	0x540c09…
10-26 18:51:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x6e67eb…
10-26 18:45:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	145	92¢	$133	0x924172…
10-26 18:45:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xa1c2a3…
10-26 17:49:39	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xb78063…
10-26 17:49:39	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xad160c…
10-26 17:49:39	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x1fd382…
10-26 17:49:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xd737a9…
10-26 17:49:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xb59846…
10-26 17:49:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xac8e38…
10-26 17:49:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x6fb6af…
10-26 17:49:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x2c51ae…
10-26 17:47:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	92¢	$229	0xac0eb2…
10-26 15:38:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	260	92¢	$240	0x4bbf26…
10-26 14:06:23	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x653c56…
10-26 13:27:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x78b13c…
10-26 13:25:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6f1df9…
10-26 12:50:35	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0x47665f…
10-26 12:50:18	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x66824f…
10-26 12:09:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0xdfd85a…
10-26 12:09:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	87	91¢	$79	0x87d891…
10-26 12:09:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x87bee6…
10-26 12:05:18	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8ef7cd…
10-26 12:05:17	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x3fe414…
10-26 11:35:47	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,170	99¢	$2,148	0x22f067…
10-26 06:46:03	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	75	89¢	$67	0xe113b9…
10-26 06:37:38	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1d77df…
10-26 06:31:32	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0x3acaec…
10-26 06:31:14	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0xed3d0e…
10-26 02:49:29	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x94470c…
10-26 02:49:14	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x029870…
10-25 23:58:21	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x5a237f…
10-25 23:31:35	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	271	99¢	$269	0x9c52e9…
10-25 17:40:08	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x683e8b…
10-25 16:13:47	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xc087c0…
10-25 16:12:26	Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x21624c…
10-25 14:27:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xd2a1d2…
10-25 14:23:14	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x07b8bb…
10-25 14:23:11	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbc16b0…
10-25 12:07:00	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x859f76…
10-25 12:06:32	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2ad2d7…
10-24 23:32:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x818dd5…
10-24 21:21:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	140	61¢	$85	0x8be072…
10-24 20:52:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xd3c765…
10-24 20:13:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	2,295	100¢	$2,288	0x2e6846…
10-23 21:57:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0x57a5d7…
10-23 21:57:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x4d6808…
10-23 19:34:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	298	90¢	$268	0x8c75f3…
10-23 19:34:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	255	90¢	$230	0x5b330a…
10-23 19:34:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,020	90¢	$918	0x610938…
10-23 19:13:27	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	88¢	$77	0xbcd962…
10-23 19:12:53	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	142	88¢	$125	0x3ae92c…
10-23 18:44:23	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	324	90¢	$292	0x7a448f…
10-23 18:44:05	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	232	90¢	$209	0x65f5af…
10-23 18:30:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x975bd9…
10-23 18:05:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xf5260a…
10-23 18:00:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x34223c…
10-23 17:44:15	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	91¢	$189	0xb0e690…
10-23 15:43:54	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x695ccc…
10-23 15:29:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xade9a8…
10-23 15:29:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x22e7e0…
10-23 15:29:45	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0x996e51…
10-23 15:01:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	298	91¢	$271	0x9418fb…
10-23 15:00:02	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x024d4c…
10-23 14:10:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x83d5c8…
10-23 10:47:38	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x316b84…
10-23 10:46:03	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0xf2e3b7…
10-23 10:46:03	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	76¢	$54	0xc70610…
10-23 10:44:56	Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x030f26…
10-23 10:30:39	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xed9882…
10-23 10:30:39	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x7e94b0…
10-23 10:30:05	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x76a656…