Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.28K
Unrealized P&L
-$841
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved (7d)
12
Trades (7d)
221
18,118 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$33.6K
$515.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$10.2K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 11-07 21:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 64% -$11,273
Other
25% 72% +$689
Politics
19% 73% +$2,351
Tech
0% 0% -$30
Sports
0% 0% -$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +4,918 $4,192 88¢ $4.3K +$136 11-06 17:20
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? No +2,054 $1,806 91¢ $1.9K +$63 11-06 10:13
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +1,699 $1,271 77¢ $1.3K +$38 11-03 01:25
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026? No +637 $576 94¢ $595 +$19 11-04 14:21
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +650 $598 90¢ $582 -$16 11-06 10:48
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? Yes +369 $350 95¢ $350 +$0 11-06 16:04
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +300 $276 92¢ $276 +$0 11-04 14:22
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026? No +247 $210 92¢ $229 +$19 11-06 12:22
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31? No +295 $189 72¢ $212 +$24 11-02 10:16
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026? No +170 $160 94¢ $160 $0 11-06 16:07
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +253 $193 62¢ $157 -$35 11-06 15:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +56 $9 100¢ $56 +$47 10-30 13:01
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +300 $136 16¢ $50 -$87 11-06 17:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +56 $789 0¢ $0 -$789 10-29 10:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? No +0 $9 64¢ $0 -$9 10-29 21:41
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +0 $251 20¢ $0 -$251 10-31 17:49