Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$818

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.0%

Resolved

225

Trades

3,044

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-02 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

75% 8% -$678

Politics

13% 0% -$39

Sports

8% 37% -$56

Tech

3% 8% -$24

Pop-Culture

1% 14% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	25	$199	180	180	+0	open	—	10-28 20:55
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	14	$149	140	140	+0	Yes	-$30	10-28 13:21
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	13	$138	120	120	+0	open	—	10-28 19:49
Will CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	22	$133	160	160	+0	open	—	10-27 02:33
Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	18	$129	120	120	+0	open	—	10-26 15:16
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	18	$127	105	105	+0	open	—	10-29 12:31
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	18	$125	116	116	+0	open	—	10-28 15:08
Will Dak Prescott have 4,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	15	$124	120	120	+0	open	—	10-27 03:46
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?	12	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	10-28 20:32
Will the Seattle Kraken record 90+ points?	10	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	10-29 05:59
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	11	$107	80	80	+0	Yes	+$8	10-26 15:13
Will Tyler Shough have 3,899.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$107	99	99	+0	open	—	10-29 08:43
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	10	$106	100	100	+0	No	-$11	10-27 15:05
Will Mike Evans have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$105	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 14:35
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	10	$105	100	100	+0	open	—	10-29 11:45
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	19	$102	120	120	+0	open	—	10-25 02:00
Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?	10	$101	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 17:43
Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	11	$99	73	73	+0	open	—	10-25 20:30
Will Travis Kelce have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	21	$98	95	95	+0	open	—	10-29 04:26
Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	17	$92	100	85	+15	open	—	10-29 07:17
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	8	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	10-31 18:59
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?	8	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 14:57
Will Seiya Suzuki win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	11	$84	78	78	+0	No	-$11	10-30 23:17
Will T1 make a roster change by December?	6	$83	60	60	+0	open	—	10-28 15:06
Will Dak Prescott have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$83	74	74	+0	open	—	10-27 09:06
Will the Dallas Stars record 110+ points?	8	$83	58	58	+0	open	—	10-27 08:32
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	11	$83	80	80	+0	Yes	-$18	10-23 16:34
Will Ohio St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	9	$83	80	80	+0	open	—	10-25 18:53
Will the Edmonton Oilers record 110+ points?	8	$82	66	66	+0	open	—	10-27 02:20
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?	9	$80	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:01:07	Will Arizona have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x3db8be…
11-02 13:24:04	Will Jayden Daniels have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x279bf3…
11-02 11:30:04	Will Brock Purdy have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x1be7f3…
11-02 02:14:48	Will Ezequiel Duran win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x7e7b25…
11-02 02:13:16	Will Ian Happ win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x15c3f2…
11-02 01:09:10	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x71a045…
11-01 20:20:15	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x202a45…
11-01 14:32:09	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xd80710…
11-01 13:38:15	Will Conductor (Melty Labs) be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x12935a…
11-01 03:54:54	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x4ba215…
11-01 03:53:49	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf5184f…
11-01 03:53:24	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf1c3f7…
11-01 03:52:57	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x52c57c…
10-31 18:59:46	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xf1f975…
10-30 23:17:10	Will Seiya Suzuki win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xd3b8fd…
10-30 20:59:04	Will zekken play for NRG in 2027?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x08dbd0…
10-30 17:11:36	Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.0B?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x7b3101…
10-30 13:50:04	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	No	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x4d7ad1…
10-30 10:37:06	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6aaf74…
10-29 17:35:19	Will PARIVISION win PARI Universe?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x3ffa5a…
10-29 14:00:44	Will Conductor (Melty Labs) be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x5a8dec…
10-29 13:38:10	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbe14c4…
10-29 13:29:43	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xbef586…
10-29 13:14:44	Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xa3d655…
10-29 13:13:22	Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	No	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xa15e96…
10-29 13:06:58	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x114cfc…
10-29 13:04:53	Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xfccb95…
10-29 12:54:26	Will Trey McBride have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xeca3db…
10-29 12:54:10	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe2ee05…
10-29 12:39:40	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x7e598b…
10-29 12:38:43	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x808971…
10-29 12:38:35	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x54cc9d…
10-29 12:31:11	Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x0d365f…
10-29 12:31:10	Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	No	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0xb5dbba…
10-29 12:30:19	Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7f94fe…
10-29 12:27:10	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x310bb3…
10-29 12:21:26	Will PARIVISION win PARI Universe?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x8e7480…
10-29 12:19:01	Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x042950…
10-29 12:00:20	Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.70B?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x897812…
10-29 12:00:20	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x40fe4a…
10-29 11:57:47	Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xe9600d…
10-29 11:46:38	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa9b0d5…
10-29 11:45:32	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x393d27…
10-29 11:45:29	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x217707…
10-29 11:35:14	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x04575f…
10-29 11:17:16	Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xa8d74d…
10-29 11:13:41	Will Jayden Daniels have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1fb05a…
10-29 11:09:23	Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x85fec6…
10-29 11:03:31	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe750d5…
10-29 11:02:17	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x19e018…
10-29 11:01:49	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x688d05…
10-29 10:48:38	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfa1898…
10-29 10:31:58	Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8d808c…
10-29 10:13:16	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x802905…
10-29 10:06:59	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	No	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x790507…
10-29 09:51:32	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x06d28f…
10-29 09:50:16	Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc3d220…
10-29 09:34:22	Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x02e5db…
10-29 09:09:13	Will Club América finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7842c6…
10-29 09:06:10	Will Conductor (Melty Labs) be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x55aeb8…
10-29 09:04:49	Will Brock Purdy have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa68a10…
10-29 09:00:40	Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x2b7d8f…
10-29 08:59:50	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xa1585d…
10-29 08:56:40	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xd5c938…
10-29 08:44:56	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs record 90+ points?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x7d6fb5…
10-29 08:43:53	Will Tyler Shough have 3,899.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x65efcf…
10-29 08:43:08	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x76ea04…
10-29 08:41:07	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xd5b803…
10-29 08:39:40	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x6e242b…
10-29 08:33:10	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xde7354…
10-29 08:30:23	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xd4ec0d…
10-29 08:23:37	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x475bf5…
10-29 08:22:59	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xafa0db…
10-29 08:00:46	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xa24e7e…
10-29 07:55:04	Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x551150…
10-29 07:55:02	Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xda2752…
10-29 07:43:52	Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4e8a9f…
10-29 07:43:08	Will Nico Collins have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x74743c…
10-29 07:37:13	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xd602fa…
10-29 07:37:13	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3f729a…
10-29 07:35:52	Will Trey McBride have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xbe792a…
10-29 07:30:22	Will Trey McBride have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc56565…
10-29 07:25:34	Will Emeka Egbuka have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xb7ecf4…
10-29 07:17:20	Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x85c381…
10-29 07:08:29	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x181e23…
10-29 06:49:59	Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xee8398…
10-29 06:49:59	Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xcfa97e…
10-29 06:49:59	Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $46B?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x6b9dfa…
10-29 06:42:58	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0994f0…
10-29 06:42:49	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0x20cec1…
10-29 06:39:35	Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x245f21…
10-29 06:38:56	Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0xeb79a4…
10-29 06:25:10	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x2de497…
10-29 06:20:07	Will primmie play for Paper Rex in 2027?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xef2dbd…
10-29 06:19:10	Will Trey McBride have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x1c8a64…
10-29 05:59:43	Will the Seattle Kraken record 90+ points?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x7158c6…
10-29 05:45:55	Will Ezequiel Duran win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x592033…
10-29 05:37:29	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x049904…
10-29 05:14:05	Will Trey McBride have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8ae262…
10-29 05:12:02	Will primmie play for Paper Rex in 2027?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x1ef7de…