Realized P&L
+$73
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
89.0%
Resolved
31
Trades
185
lifetime
Volume
$2.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$584
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 06:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
64% 78% +$52
Politics
35% 68% +$20
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -87 -$83 97¢ $-84 -$2 08-10 01:46
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -60 -$52 97¢ $-58 -$7 05-08 16:15
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +53 $47 100¢ $53 +$6 10-24 10:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -52 -$48 94¢ $-50 -$1 08-02 06:32
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +40 $37 98¢ $39 +$2 10-21 05:28
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -40 -$38 97¢ $-39 $0 10-09 06:20
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +35 $33 100¢ $35 +$2 10-06 23:22
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +35 $33 96¢ $33 +$0 10-23 22:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +35 $30 85¢ $30 $0 10-23 22:23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +25 $22 92¢ $23 +$0 10-23 21:53
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 +$0 10-23 21:54
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +15 $14 99¢ $15 +$1 10-06 23:28
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +15 $14 99¢ $15 +$1 10-19 19:53
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 96¢ $14 $0 10-23 22:25
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $16 8¢ $13 -$4 10-09 21:42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 84¢ $13 +$1 10-19 19:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +15 $12 76¢ $11 -$1 10-19 19:58
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +22 $18 51¢ $11 -$7 10-24 11:52
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +10 $6 99¢ $10 +$4 10-02 19:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +10 $9 93¢ $10 +$0 09-21 17:49
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +12 $8 72¢ $9 +$1 10-28 13:26
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +12 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-09 06:19