Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$977

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-29 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

85% 71% +$7

Other

15% 13% -$23

Tech

1% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-10 11:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	5	$329	181	181	+0	Yes	+$29	10-27 13:46
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	2	$118	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 00:34
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	2	$107	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 19:41
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	1	$90	91	0	+91	Yes	+$1	10-17 22:14
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	3	$69	36	36	+0	No	+$2	10-10 09:51
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	4	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	10-23 06:25
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	1	$40	42	0	+42	Yes	+$2	10-16 21:35
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?	3	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	10-10 00:39
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	6	$29	112	17	+95	Yes	-$11	10-05 03:08
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	2	$20	339	0	+339	No	-$20	10-22 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	4	$19	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	10-26 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	9	$12	16	12	+4	No	-$2	10-22 06:20
next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 31 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 09:31
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026?	2	$5	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	10-24 16:18
will ukraine target moscow on october 4 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	10-04 17:11
openai reports another ai sandbox escape by october 15 20261012	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	-$5	10-14 12:25
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?	2	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	10-06 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	4	$4	955	955	+0	No	-$2	10-28 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	10-29 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-29 14:14
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	10-06 14:05
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	-$2	10-24 07:00
openai reports another ai sandbox escape by october 15 20261003	2	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	10-04 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 10?	1	$1	333	0	+333	No	-$1	10-10 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	10-13 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on October 10?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	10-10 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-14 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-10 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 12?	1	$1	96	0	+96	No	-$1	10-12 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x42fcc6…
10-29 14:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x362653…
10-29 12:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1013fa…
10-29 11:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc5d2a1…
10-28 19:41:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xe808c7…
10-28 19:41:55	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x50747d…
10-28 14:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	955	0¢	$1	0x45adb8…
10-28 14:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x73b0d6…
10-28 14:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	330	0¢	$1	0x72f92d…
10-28 14:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2475ea…
10-27 13:46:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x489f24…
10-27 13:40:32	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8211d9…
10-27 13:34:44	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xcafb31…
10-27 13:34:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x14810c…
10-27 13:34:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0xa169b8…
10-26 12:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1d5f98…
10-26 12:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa99d11…
10-26 10:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xcd7a0e…
10-26 10:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdab1a6…
10-25 14:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b3283…
10-24 16:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x14f6fa…
10-24 07:00:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb18d80…
10-24 05:11:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0271d5…
10-23 06:25:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xe2cb42…
10-23 06:23:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xee8469…
10-23 06:23:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9e1fda…
10-23 05:52:45	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x5eeade…
10-22 06:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfa4e25…
10-22 06:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x16bf16…
10-22 05:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x91b551…
10-22 05:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7b90c4…
10-22 05:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9853ed…
10-22 04:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc4d1b5…
10-22 02:16:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0xa7bef4…
10-22 02:15:30	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x5b7010…
10-22 00:34:54	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc997e5…
10-21 23:17:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xc18f91…
10-21 16:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xa6c59c…
10-21 16:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf73bde…
10-21 15:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd90858…
10-18 09:31:24	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5428e1…
10-17 22:14:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xfd0cb7…
10-16 21:35:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xd33520…
10-15 12:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x1c7020…
10-15 12:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x549e65…
10-15 12:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x18804a…
10-15 12:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x109e16…
10-14 12:28:23	next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa8dd1f…
10-14 12:25:03	openai reports another ai sandbox escape by october 15 20261012	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x542904…
10-14 06:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7c9034…
10-14 04:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8174d4…
10-13 10:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa2f6a4…
10-13 08:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xac566c…
10-13 08:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x60c15a…
10-12 12:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbcfc8c…
10-12 12:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x6f3cd9…
10-12 11:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	739	0¢	$1	0xd15afa…
10-12 11:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x81e844…
10-12 11:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaafd5c…
10-11 15:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x61b3b9…
10-11 15:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x53a8cc…
10-11 15:26:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x2e2064…
10-10 13:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb99b32…
10-10 13:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9bb720…
10-10 13:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7cef00…
10-10 12:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x197955…
10-10 11:28:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7aef2c…
10-10 11:16:06	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbfe73b…
10-10 09:51:06	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x13945e…
10-10 00:39:01	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x615902…
10-09 14:47:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7d5382…
10-09 14:46:40	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x61af7d…
10-06 14:05:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x501ef5…
10-06 13:36:01	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb071ca…
10-06 08:03:37	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4306d2…
10-05 03:08:50	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x2c9c7d…
10-04 17:11:43	will ukraine target moscow on october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1f0aa7…
10-04 15:25:41	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x94de17…
10-04 14:58:01	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x353101…
10-04 14:44:22	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xf9366a…
10-04 13:15:31	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1cb638…
10-04 13:14:56	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcc4b53…
10-04 13:02:56	openai reports another ai sandbox escape by october 15 20261003	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xed81a2…
10-04 13:02:49	openai reports another ai sandbox escape by october 15 20261003	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0a6bad…
10-04 11:57:41	next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 15 2026	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4cc107…
10-04 11:56:19	next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 15 2026	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x95fb17…