Realized P&L
+$14.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
102
Trades
33,223
lifetime
Volume
$4.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$3.21K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
47% 70% +$6,794
Sports
26% 61% +$5,936
Politics
17% 80% +$1,656
Crypto
9% 0% $-145
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 367 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $966 97¢ $974 +$8 06-10 04:36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +1,000 $639 60¢ $605 $-34 06-05 23:27
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +380 $354 93¢ $354 $-0 06-10 07:32
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +402 $275 73¢ $291 +$17 06-07 14:00
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? Yes +250 $230 97¢ $243 +$13 05-31 19:19
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +790 $223 29¢ $229 +$6 05-31 19:59
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +250 $202 64¢ $161 $-41 06-06 14:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +4,000 $104 $98 $-6 06-05 06:12
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +250 $188 34¢ $85 $-103 06-08 05:22
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +65 $48 81¢ $53 +$5 06-09 21:40
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +52 $43 84¢ $44 +$0 06-10 07:12
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? Yes +223 $2 13¢ $29 +$27 06-09 16:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +118 $21 18¢ $22 +$1 06-05 07:05
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? Yes +147 $12 $13 +$0 06-01 17:52
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +16 $6 38¢ $6 +$0 06-10 03:37