Realized P&L
+$8.43K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.66K
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved
5,047
Trades
61,295
lifetime
Volume
$10.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$173
Open exposure
$36.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Other
52% 68% -$105,844
Politics
21% 69% +$70,498
Sports
21% 64% +$26,709
Crypto
5% 54% +$9,194
Tech
1% 71% +$1,942
Pop-Culture
0% 77% +$5,932
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 512 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5,303 $3,411 84¢ $4.5K +$1,062 10-27 06:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,000 $4,370 72¢ $4.4K -$20 10-27 06:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +5,000 $4,050 70¢ $3.5K -$525 10-26 01:33
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +3,483 $1,810 99¢ $3.5K +$1,642 10-21 02:30
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,500 $2,480 99¢ $2.5K +$1 10-10 11:38
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,500 $2,435 96¢ $2.4K -$25 10-10 09:26
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +3,000 $2,403 72¢ $2.1K -$258 10-26 02:57
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +1,083 $791 96¢ $1.0K +$248 10-20 06:08
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,000 $974 97¢ $974 $0 10-20 02:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$1,095 38¢ $-956 +$139 10-19 23:05
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $930 96¢ $955 +$25 10-25 20:02
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +1,000 $739 95¢ $954 +$215 10-24 06:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,000 $899 91¢ $906 +$7 10-10 07:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,000 $785 89¢ $892 +$107 10-25 20:21
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,000 $705 14¢ $707 +$2 10-12 05:39
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $839 70¢ $695 -$144 10-26 04:27
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $640 60¢ $605 -$35 10-25 04:37
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +573 $566 99¢ $565 -$1 10-11 14:22
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +573 $562 99¢ $565 +$3 10-10 12:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +600 $478 88¢ $526 +$49 10-25 20:20
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +500 $400 96¢ $482 +$82 10-23 18:36
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +571 $445 80¢ $459 +$14 10-23 23:48
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +510 $421 84¢ $431 +$10 10-26 22:04
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +340 $286 99¢ $338 +$52 10-20 03:31
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $290 30¢ $295 +$5 10-25 04:18
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,000 $280 30¢ $295 +$15 10-25 04:23
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +276 $260 98¢ $271 +$11 10-17 01:02
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +220 $174 84¢ $184 +$10 10-25 11:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +1,000 $324 13¢ $130 -$194 09-29 18:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +173 -$41 72¢ $124 +$164 10-26 04:50