Realized P&L
+$14.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.91K
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
102
Trades
35,641
lifetime
Volume
$4.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$46.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 07:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
46% 70% +$6,794
Sports
23% 61% +$5,936
Politics
22% 80% +$1,656
Crypto
8% 0% $-145
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 367 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +31,110 $30,952 100¢ $31.1K +$112 06-30 07:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +6,750 $3,498 94¢ $6.4K +$2,867 06-30 07:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +6,000 $4,416 29¢ $1.7K $-2,706 06-19 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3,605 $1,522 36¢ $1.3K $-242 06-25 22:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,000 $963 100¢ $998 +$34 06-22 06:35
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $966 90¢ $901 $-65 06-10 04:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,646 $644 41¢ $675 +$31 06-27 16:46
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +647 $475 98¢ $637 +$162 06-20 01:00
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +500 $492 100¢ $499 +$6 06-28 14:01
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +500 $452 99¢ $496 +$43 06-24 17:37
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +445 $428 96¢ $425 $-3 06-29 23:56
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +420 $288 82¢ $342 +$55 06-20 14:26
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +250 $188 97¢ $244 +$56 06-08 05:22
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +250 $238 95¢ $237 $-2 06-25 12:47
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +195 $190 94¢ $184 $-7 06-25 16:37
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes +622 $169 26¢ $162 $-7 06-30 13:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +867 $241 18¢ $156 $-85 06-12 20:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +563 $203 20¢ $110 $-93 06-13 20:26
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +85 $67 84¢ $72 +$4 06-17 14:17
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? Yes +459 $28 15¢ $69 +$41 06-15 09:31
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +65 $48 88¢ $57 +$9 06-09 21:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +16,215 $3,097 $41 $-3,056 06-15 16:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +118 $21 12¢ $15 $-6 06-05 07:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -6,000 $4 $-9 $-13 06-20 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,500 $540 $7 $-533 06-14 21:36
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -500 $-20 $-6 +$14 06-19 16:29
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +380 $354 $5 $-349 06-10 07:32
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Yes -2,000 $-8 $-4 +$4 06-20 04:05
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,372 $204 $4 $-200 06-22 18:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -633 $2,983 $-2 $-2,985 06-19 23:08