Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$87

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

162

Trades

2,528

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$284

21 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 11-10 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

68% 69% -$1,000

Politics

30% 83% -$180

Crypto

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	+240	$227	95¢	$228	+$1	11-10 12:09
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+296	$23	4¢	$13	-$10	11-09 09:46
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	99¢	$10	+$3	11-05 13:37
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+68	$6	10¢	$7	+$0	11-10 11:15
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+490	$31	1¢	$6	-$25	11-08 13:40
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+100	$6	6¢	$6	$0	11-10 07:07
zelenskyy of tweets november 10 november 17 2026 80 99	Yes	+20	$4	20¢	$4	+$0	11-07 08:24
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+175	$4	2¢	$3	-$1	11-09 09:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	+87	$4	2¢	$2	-$2	11-10 09:18
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+170	$35	1¢	$2	-$34	11-09 15:38
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+44	$8	3¢	$1	-$6	11-08 12:31
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	16¢	$1	$0	11-10 04:55
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+410	$5	0¢	$0	-$4	11-08 14:17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+290	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-08 15:46
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+193	$3	0¢	$0	-$2	11-08 01:43
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+184	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	11-07 16:07
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+17	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	11-09 11:39
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+250	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	11-08 19:31
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+150	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-05 03:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+62	-$5	0¢	$0	+$5	11-09 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$2	16¢	$0	+$2	11-09 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	23	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$5	10-21 22:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	42	$1.3K	690	690	+0	open	—	11-08 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	63	$1.0K	556	556	+0	Yes	-$3	11-04 16:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	13	$813	900	0	+900	No	-$813	11-09 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	53	$782	732	150	+582	No	+$77	10-13 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	50	$688	377	377	+0	No	+$47	11-01 23:56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	64	$651	355	355	+0	No	+$41	10-20 07:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	30	$639	325	325	-0	Yes	+$8	11-04 11:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	61	$628	565	565	+0	No	-$47	10-14 05:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	30	$626	330	330	+0	No	+$33	10-17 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	33	$589	543	114	+429	No	+$55	10-09 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	32	$556	395	395	+0	Yes	-$208	10-30 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	32	$542	389	285	+104	Yes	-$57	10-16 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	26	$529	462	130	+333	Yes	+$31	10-13 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	9	$528	275	275	+0	Yes	+$16	10-26 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	36	$510	401	179	+222	No	-$20	10-16 14:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	9	$508	258	258	+0	Yes	+$7	10-30 15:12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	20	$502	260	260	+0	No	+$17	10-20 17:21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	40	$490	509	0	+509	No	+$19	11-08 23:39
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	21	$466	410	80	+330	No	-$4	11-03 16:28
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	5	$463	453	23	+430	Yes	+$3	10-20 19:49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	32	$457	478	0	+478	Yes	+$22	10-10 14:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	22	$430	220	220	+0	Yes	+$4	11-07 21:32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	35	$409	260	166	+94	No	+$14	11-06 08:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	5	$401	202	202	+0	Yes	+$4	10-25 00:27
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	11	$351	180	180	+0	No	+$7	10-17 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	31	$335	238	110	+128	No	+$12	11-01 18:23
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	27	$297	194	140	+54	No	+$28	10-20 05:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	24	$295	208	104	+104	No	+$16	11-03 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	21	$277	200	100	+100	Yes	-$6	11-03 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 12:09:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0e788e…
11-10 11:15:21	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x96f8e6…
11-10 11:15:19	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x767387…
11-10 11:06:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1e3dcc…
11-10 11:02:42	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xaf124c…
11-10 10:51:49	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x37c2f1…
11-10 10:51:48	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xb918fd…
11-10 10:51:48	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x7d16fc…
11-10 10:51:19	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x9b8059…
11-10 10:23:45	Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xdc7121…
11-10 10:23:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf63917…
11-10 09:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x160897…
11-10 09:13:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4fa605…
11-10 07:07:30	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x577c42…
11-10 06:02:57	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xfebb9a…
11-10 06:02:57	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xca347d…
11-10 04:55:55	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x14b492…
11-10 02:51:00	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9b22fc…
11-10 02:51:00	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x594f5c…
11-10 02:51:00	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x40c889…
11-10 02:51:00	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2dac9d…
11-10 02:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x326185…
11-10 01:35:49	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdef318…
11-10 01:08:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x2b3b34…
11-10 00:11:46	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xdfa905…
11-10 00:11:46	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x35a6d2…
11-09 22:55:00	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xc14901…
11-09 22:55:00	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xaed320…
11-09 22:37:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x70629f…
11-09 22:31:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb214f9…
11-09 22:31:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xe1e509…
11-09 21:39:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x62e0eb…
11-09 21:15:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x65cb45…
11-09 20:41:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x3e697a…
11-09 20:40:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x65b03d…
11-09 20:38:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x77c6a2…
11-09 20:01:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5c37e3…
11-09 20:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x357009…
11-09 19:12:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x7f552c…
11-09 19:11:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xbb3fb5…
11-09 19:07:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	11¢	$9	0x6b5631…
11-09 19:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xeb0a1b…
11-09 18:55:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xa1cdbe…
11-09 18:33:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xc6f747…
11-09 18:32:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x365f0f…
11-09 18:26:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xf84c46…
11-09 18:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x998040…
11-09 18:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xedd0ee…
11-09 17:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x827e05…
11-09 17:11:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb91b60…
11-09 17:10:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb69141…
11-09 16:42:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x33db1f…
11-09 16:42:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc73231…
11-09 16:42:01	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xca80ac…
11-09 16:30:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0xdfc292…
11-09 16:26:25	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xbb035b…
11-09 16:22:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	45	62¢	$28	0x5c550d…
11-09 16:07:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd177f4…
11-09 16:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x570388…
11-09 16:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x78828f…
11-09 16:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x292993…
11-09 16:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x690da2…
11-09 16:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x8fd166…
11-09 16:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x22b413…
11-09 16:01:49	Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc15217…
11-09 15:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xf2d950…
11-09 15:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x15f39e…
11-09 15:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x105639…
11-09 15:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x1a79ea…
11-09 15:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x15bb60…
11-09 15:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x619aa8…
11-09 15:44:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xda51c0…
11-09 15:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xc9f10c…
11-09 15:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x863a9a…
11-09 15:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x624fcf…
11-09 15:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd59448…
11-09 15:38:34	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xd8f1c9…
11-09 15:38:34	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd8032d…
11-09 15:35:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x09cb15…
11-09 15:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x760c7f…
11-09 15:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd17685…
11-09 15:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x03485a…
11-09 15:21:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe5a644…
11-09 15:17:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3e72de…
11-09 14:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xed010b…
11-09 14:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xe4a0ca…
11-09 14:49:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xd84296…
11-09 14:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x6722c8…
11-09 14:48:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x1e0cd0…
11-09 14:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xce842a…
11-09 14:47:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xcb807a…
11-09 14:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x9fbfde…
11-09 14:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x3e6765…
11-09 14:46:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe15f3a…
11-09 14:46:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x3701c4…
11-09 14:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x963336…
11-09 14:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	0¢	$0	0xa577ff…
11-09 14:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xbd28cc…
11-09 14:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x766ef4…
11-09 14:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x994e35…