Realized P&L
+$579
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
81
Trades
549
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$635
14 positions
First seen
2026-10-09
last 10-27 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
60% 84% +$375
Other
39% 84% +$204
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +160 $118 72¢ $114 -$3 10-26 08:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 10-26 08:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $69 70¢ $70 +$2 10-26 19:38
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +80 $49 76¢ $60 +$11 10-21 07:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +67 $44 74¢ $49 +$5 10-16 21:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +50 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 10-26 08:03
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $46 91¢ $45 -$1 10-26 11:02
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +60 $39 72¢ $44 +$4 10-11 11:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 10-22 10:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +50 $30 58¢ $29 -$1 10-24 17:39
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $21 70¢ $21 +$0 10-24 17:02
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 86¢ $10 $0 10-10 14:46
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? No +70 $5 12¢ $8 +$3 10-26 18:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +829 $15 1¢ $7 -$8 10-24 21:11