(anonymous) 0x9cfc66…273671 Create alert
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$89
Unrealized P&L
+$294
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved (7d)
56
Trades (7d)
263
1,008 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.69K
$27.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$2.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-09
last 11-09 05:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Politics
64% 70% +$335
Other
35% 80% +$270
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +223 $186 88¢ $195 +$9 11-09 06:18
Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 6, 2026? No +198 $192 98¢ $195 +$3 11-07 11:05
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +166 $120 82¢ $136 +$16 11-08 07:20
Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +140 $88 90¢ $126 +$38 11-03 20:32
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? No +280 $110 45¢ $125 +$15 11-08 23:35
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +140 $80 74¢ $104 +$24 11-04 19:52
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +100 $86 93¢ $93 +$7 11-06 13:30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%? Yes +88 $75 94¢ $83 +$8 11-04 16:59
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +96 $71 84¢ $80 +$9 11-06 09:02
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +167 $81 46¢ $78 -$3 11-04 22:43
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +83 $30 86¢ $71 +$41 11-04 05:22
Will Faber announce it will resume sales of Sally Rooney's books in the UK by December 31, 2026? No — +120 $66 55¢ $66 $0 10-28 08:32
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +100 $47 65¢ $65 +$18 11-04 19:18
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No +205 $81 32¢ $65 -$17 11-05 09:26
will snowflake q3 product revenue be above 1pt58b Yes +66 $50 93¢ $61 +$12 10-16 06:36
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +70 $54 84¢ $59 +$5 11-06 09:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +63 $40 94¢ $59 +$19 11-06 22:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +69 $40 80¢ $55 +$15 11-07 16:02
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +62 $50 86¢ $53 +$3 11-06 08:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +80 $28 66¢ $52 +$24 10-28 16:19
Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 15? No +56 $46 91¢ $51 +$5 11-08 06:55
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? No +60 $47 84¢ $51 +$3 11-08 08:49
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No +137 $45 37¢ $51 +$5 11-08 12:23
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12? Yes +56 $50 89¢ $49 -$1 11-08 15:10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $28 98¢ $48 +$19 11-04 08:00
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? Yes +70 $30 65¢ $46 +$15 11-08 08:26
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +151 $59 30¢ $44 -$15 11-06 11:29
Will Josh Allen rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? No +39 $31 88¢ $34 +$3 10-13 16:30
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026 Yes +179 $20 19¢ $34 +$14 11-04 10:28
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +50 $35 66¢ $33 -$2 11-06 15:36