Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$429

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-30

last 10-29 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

56% 73% +$34

Other

35% 33% +$5

Crypto

6% 40% -$5

Sports

3% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes		+7	$2	50¢	$4	+$1	10-16 15:47
us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes		+75	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	10-16 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	7	$77	1,150	50	+1,100	Yes	+$22	10-29 20:54
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	7	$63	135	125	+10	No	+$45	10-22 16:30
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	3	$45	50	25	+25	Yes	+$5	10-27 13:34
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	4	$35	40	40	+0	No	+$5	10-28 14:21
will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	4	$22	32	32	+0	No	+$19	10-21 16:00
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	1	$16	50	0	+50	Yes	-$16	10-28 19:53
will ukraine target moscow on october 15 2026	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	10-15 20:16
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	3	$15	83	0	+83	No	-$15	10-19 20:43
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$15	25	0	+25	Petr Yan	+$10	10-24 15:39
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-17 22:19
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	10-20 19:40
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	4	$12	538	0	+538	No	-$12	10-27 22:37
ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	2	$10	30	0	+30	Mbappé	-$10	10-24 08:38
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	3	$10	150	0	+150	Yes	-$10	10-29 22:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	4	$9	113	0	+113	No	-$9	10-17 13:19
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	10-15 21:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	2	$8	24	0	+24	No	+$6	10-16 14:23
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	21	$7	1,392	0	+1,392	No	-$7	10-26 21:22
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	3	$7	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 10:20
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?	2	$5	83	0	+83	Yes	-$5	10-12 18:22
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	26	0	+26	No	-$5	10-14 12:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	2	$4	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-16 18:05
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	10-23 03:49
us imports russian diesel by october 31	3	$3	75	0	+75	open	—	10-16 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	1	$2	30	0	+30	Down	-$2	10-29 21:47
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	10-16 15:47
bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-30 23:02
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	10-26 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:31:13	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x154294…
10-29 21:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xa42d3d…
10-29 21:02:40	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x5a2172…
10-29 21:02:40	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x1c99d4…
10-29 20:54:16	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x895967…
10-29 20:42:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xb86304…
10-29 20:42:40	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x66ade9…
10-29 17:39:46	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0xe29d3f…
10-29 17:27:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xb86d10…
10-28 19:53:19	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x8adb99…
10-28 17:02:07	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	58	13¢	$8	0x903dd7…
10-28 17:02:04	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0x528a89…
10-28 14:21:40	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6282d5…
10-28 10:30:02	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd8a78b…
10-27 22:37:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4eb73a…
10-27 22:35:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	498	0¢	$0	0x8fdf6f…
10-27 13:34:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x14810c…
10-26 21:43:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa744d5…
10-26 21:22:18	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x27dd71…
10-26 21:10:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x00dacd…
10-26 15:34:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe84999…
10-26 15:31:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xcfd0b7…
10-26 15:31:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x8056f5…
10-26 15:31:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x37c9cc…
10-26 15:31:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xefdb67…
10-26 15:23:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xef7430…
10-26 15:23:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd77d0c…
10-26 15:23:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc0dcb7…
10-26 15:23:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x580a6c…
10-26 15:23:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x55a816…
10-26 15:23:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x121329…
10-26 15:23:18	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x28442c…
10-26 15:23:18	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0ef701…
10-26 15:23:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xf28017…
10-26 15:23:09	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x102884…
10-26 15:22:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc4ad02…
10-26 15:21:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xbeef6e…
10-26 15:21:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x60d9d6…
10-26 15:21:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3e1eea…
10-26 15:21:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x20c85f…
10-26 10:00:06	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa9784e…
10-25 15:57:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0cf6da…
10-24 22:54:03	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x860748…
10-24 15:39:15	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x8c19e2…
10-24 08:38:53	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4400b9…
10-23 10:20:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x819aa3…
10-23 08:51:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xead09f…
10-23 03:49:20	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x99c4c9…
10-23 02:13:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5d9a76…
10-22 17:56:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x193e65…
10-22 16:30:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	43¢	$54	0x5e9978…
10-22 16:30:05	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xb5b7f8…
10-21 23:50:47	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0x06a961…
10-21 23:20:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x965401…
10-21 23:19:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf246ab…
10-21 23:14:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5d3a94…
10-21 16:00:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xf8c612…
10-21 03:59:20	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3f45eb…
10-20 19:40:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc9a0f0…
10-20 04:44:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1ec933…
10-19 20:43:12	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x38fbd0…
10-19 18:45:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x84ac28…
10-19 18:43:30	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xddcf7b…
10-18 16:04:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x84730d…
10-18 04:03:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1cee6b…
10-17 22:19:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x36ad7c…
10-17 13:19:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xf4ea32…
10-17 12:20:57	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x442d36…
10-17 11:09:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa08152…
10-16 18:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf9b154…
10-16 18:08:57	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0xe4694b…
10-16 18:05:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x7c75eb…
10-16 17:34:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8727fe…
10-16 17:30:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x6a1bb4…
10-16 16:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x92c809…
10-16 15:54:22	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa10b47…
10-16 15:47:16	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xbdfb58…
10-16 15:21:12	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x423ca2…
10-16 14:23:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x38b06b…
10-16 14:06:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc8721c…
10-15 21:15:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x074b86…
10-15 20:16:36	will ukraine target moscow on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x55f4cd…
10-15 14:24:43	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x9c9f3a…
10-14 14:22:03	ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	Yamal	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x86e440…
10-14 12:13:41	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x759844…
10-14 06:31:28	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf24596…
10-12 18:22:53	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x9c497c…
10-12 18:21:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xde1833…
10-12 18:18:42	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xe8b577…
08-30 23:02:42	bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa650e5…