Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
320
lifetime
Volume
$1.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$90
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-08 13:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
57% 33% $-3
Other
39% 0% $-5
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? Yes +580 $82 11¢ $61 $-21 06-04 05:05
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 06-01 04:18
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $-7 71¢ $-7 $-0 05-30 14:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -10 $-5 68¢ $-7 $-2 05-30 13:58
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-02 23:42
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 06-02 23:40
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -20 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-31 10:22