Realized P&L
-$63
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
200
Trades
563
lifetime
Volume
$2.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$152
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-28 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
62% 39% +$40
Other
31% 43% -$106
Sports
6% 50% +$2
Crypto
1% 20% +$0
Tech
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -160 -$11 43¢ $-69 -$58 05-31 21:23
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19,288 $19 0¢ $29 +$10 10-20 01:43
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +210 $25 4¢ $9 -$15 08-10 08:22
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +20 $9 46¢ $9 +$0 05-03 21:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$5 26¢ $-9 -$4 05-04 05:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 09-19 07:28
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes +87 $12 6¢ $5 -$7 09-16 09:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +40 $3 6¢ $3 -$1 09-16 09:18
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +30 $3 7¢ $2 -$1 06-02 23:42
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -156 -$3 1¢ $-2 +$1 10-25 05:41
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +40 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 07-29 07:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 07-10 00:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 +$0 10-27 22:30
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +10 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 05-04 22:55
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$4 1¢ $-1 +$4 05-22 16:56
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-05 15:50
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $2 4¢ $0 -$1 06-02 23:40
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $5 2¢ $0 -$4 05-31 08:18