Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
340
lifetime
Volume
$1.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$54
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-29 20:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
57% 33% $-3
Other
39% 0% $-5
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-01 04:18
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $-7 76¢ $-8 $-1 05-30 14:01
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $5 52¢ $7 +$3 06-19 00:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -10 $-5 66¢ $-7 $-2 05-30 13:58
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-19 00:39
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? Yes +516 $78 $4 $-74 06-11 20:30
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +67 $2 $3 +$1 06-19 00:37
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $2 25¢ $2 +$1 06-02 23:40
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8 $2 23¢ $2 $-0 06-19 16:05
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19 $2 10¢ $2 $-0 06-19 16:10
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +30 $3 $1 $-2 06-02 23:42
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -20 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-31 10:22
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 06-19 00:39
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-1 06-21 01:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +29 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 17:56