Hidden-Sport — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$60

12 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-14 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 33% $-3

Other

38% 0% $-5

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+103	$23	22¢	$22	$-1	07-11 00:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	-10	$-5	99¢	$-10	$-5	05-30 13:58
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-10	$-7	73¢	$-7	$-1	05-30 14:01
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+14	$5	37¢	$5	+$0	06-19 00:39
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+9	$5	39¢	$4	$-1	06-19 00:39
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+30	$3	11¢	$3	+$0	06-02 23:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+6	$1	30¢	$2	+$1	07-10 00:39
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+3	$1	62¢	$2	+$1	06-19 00:39
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+8	$2	20¢	$2	$-0	06-19 16:05
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+19	$2	6¢	$1	$-1	06-19 16:10
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+10	$2	11¢	$1	$-1	06-02 23:40
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+10	$1	6¢	$1	$-1	06-21 01:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	4	$85	580	64	+516	open	—	06-11 20:30
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	13	$69	292	144	+148	open	—	05-22 18:53
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	6	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	05-24 13:46
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	8	$58	36	36	+0	open	—	05-01 21:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	5	$45	0	70	-70	open	—	06-01 08:10
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	3	$37	21	21	+0	No	+$2	05-09 05:08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	5	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	04-20 17:51
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	2	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	06-02 06:48
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	5	$30	40	40	+0	open	—	06-26 20:48
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	05-22 21:19
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$23	103	0	+103	open	—	07-11 00:47
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 03:19
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	9	$20	31	20	+11	open	—	04-17 07:10
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 17:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	04-22 04:25
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$18	104	104	+0	open	—	07-11 00:48
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	4	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-19 18:41
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$18	100	0	+100	open	—	04-19 17:11
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 13:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	3	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	05-24 01:12
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 21:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$15	87	0	+87	open	—	04-16 15:31
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 22:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$14	20	5	+15	open	—	04-15 21:27
btc updown 5m 1776227100	5	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	04-15 04:29
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 19:42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 10:36
will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	3	$12	125	0	+125	open	—	07-10 03:09
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$11	62	62	+0	open	—	04-22 04:27
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 00:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:04:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xa10411…
07-11 00:48:55	Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	104	8¢	$9	0x1e866f…
07-11 00:47:56	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	103	22¢	$23	0x8f0896…
07-10 03:56:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x2c9743…
07-10 03:09:44	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x393276…
07-10 00:39:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb3a89c…
07-06 16:47:44	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x24900a…
07-03 13:32:20	Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$2	0xc9187b…
07-03 13:30:25	Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	104	9¢	$9	0xfa6699…
06-29 20:23:56	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	Yes	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0xd08327…
06-26 20:48:43	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0xdf5b12…
06-26 18:49:25	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x3f914a…
06-21 17:57:08	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x1f734a…
06-21 17:56:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc747d0…
06-21 01:47:13	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x141e2d…
06-20 12:03:38	will kuwait send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$1	0x2a5573…
06-19 16:10:05	Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x183689…
06-19 16:05:17	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc09127…
06-19 15:39:17	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x011fac…
06-19 00:39:55	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7c9fcc…
06-19 00:39:35	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x15494c…
06-19 00:39:13	Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x37f377…
06-19 00:37:53	Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xca664a…
06-18 15:45:34	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xa49e94…
06-17 17:42:55	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xec8db9…
06-14 15:07:18	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x277b2b…
06-14 09:35:40	will india send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xb098d1…
06-11 20:30:22	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	SELL	64	6¢	$4	0x7a4adf…
06-08 13:26:25	will saudi arabia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb1fdfd…
06-06 14:36:33	will kuwait recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x17c7ca…
06-06 09:43:40	will grard larcher be reelected as president of the french senate	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x14740d…
06-05 15:50:34	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3a4b0b…
06-04 05:05:30	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xf86411…
06-03 19:59:06	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x45c765…
06-03 14:17:36	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	BUY	567	14¢	$80	0xea3127…
06-03 13:18:32	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x233f1a…
06-03 09:59:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc8f71b…
06-03 09:47:29	will another person advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xad48fa…
06-02 23:42:33	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf48896…
06-02 23:40:56	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x51c905…
06-02 16:47:51	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x0fb410…
06-02 11:04:30	Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0a52a4…
06-02 06:55:43	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x0ee972…
06-02 06:48:34	Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xcfd648…
06-02 03:08:16	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xccec3c…
06-02 02:05:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x6f3655…
06-02 02:04:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x016a0d…
06-02 00:34:46	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xd68764…
06-02 00:34:46	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x4e0bb7…
06-02 00:31:02	Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x2c9fe3…
06-01 22:25:39	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x0880cb…
06-01 14:30:26	Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x81a107…
06-01 14:29:53	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x869606…
06-01 11:14:03	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c49d2…
06-01 08:10:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x65f20b…
06-01 07:27:40	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x0f2b52…
06-01 04:18:40	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xedfbc0…
06-01 02:21:58	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb3ef73…
05-31 19:37:10	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xcfc183…
05-31 18:07:46	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xcf696f…
05-31 16:17:06	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb49cd7…
05-31 13:46:49	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x278c5c…
05-31 10:22:12	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x55f54b…
05-31 06:13:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xb2ea73…
05-31 02:32:04	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf24511…
05-30 22:55:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x2731cd…
05-30 20:58:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xec9f04…
05-30 14:12:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0xb1c377…
05-30 14:01:35	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x8769b6…
05-30 13:58:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xdc8cfd…
05-30 02:53:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xee5f26…
05-28 08:38:49	will saudi arabia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x89b949…
05-27 15:12:40	Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x3775ac…
05-25 10:36:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x135668…
05-24 22:15:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6a2d06…
05-24 21:32:18	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x5a10f4…
05-24 19:42:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x136f87…
05-24 13:46:51	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x973253…
05-24 07:16:52	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xc5f179…
05-24 01:12:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc71566…
05-24 01:12:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x51dc10…
05-24 00:59:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd34509…
05-24 00:57:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x84f3d8…
05-24 00:53:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6feeed…
05-24 00:52:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5c4a3c…
05-22 21:19:52	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,429	1¢	$14	0x143f2b…
05-22 18:53:48	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x268397…
05-20 15:47:18	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x0827db…
05-16 17:16:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9fdebd…
05-16 17:13:08	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb0c1e5…
05-15 15:24:28	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x4e868d…
05-14 21:07:33	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5f26a1…
05-14 00:32:48	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xc5b87d…
05-14 00:31:43	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x16c5f4…
05-13 13:30:10	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb341b8…
05-13 10:30:09	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0x3e70f5…
05-13 07:57:22	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xb10627…
05-12 15:50:02	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf49e24…
05-12 15:48:31	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf91476…
05-12 12:32:48	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbca4ab…