Major-Thesis 0x896a4b…82cec5
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
156
lifetime
Volume
$1.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$44
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-09 11:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78% — —
Politics
20% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +7 $5 92¢ $7 +$2 06-02 05:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +11 $5 60¢ $6 +$2 06-03 13:41
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +9 $5 56¢ $5 +$0 06-02 21:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 06-02 08:52
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 19:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 06-06 07:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +5 $5 91¢ $5 $-0 06-06 07:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +6 $5 62¢ $4 $-1 06-02 17:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes +10 $5 20¢ $2 $-3 06-02 15:38
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +10 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-05 05:30
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +6 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-06 04:55