Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$729
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
338
lifetime
Volume
$57.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$170
Open exposure
$2.96K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 07-19 21:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
32%
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -969 $-899 95¢ $-922 $-23 05-30 05:54
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -499 $-480 98¢ $-491 $-11 06-01 14:00
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +676 $436 56¢ $375 $-61 07-18 18:12
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +902 $378 36¢ $325 $-53 07-15 15:08
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +210 $82 100¢ $210 +$128 06-19 10:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +907 $566 22¢ $204 $-362 06-19 10:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -170 $-155 93¢ $-158 $-4 06-06 15:55
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes +407 $200 23¢ $94 $-106 06-05 00:36
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +237 $197 30¢ $71 $-126 07-15 07:41
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +47 $45 96¢ $45 $-0 06-01 08:04
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +312 $119 12¢ $36 $-83 06-08 14:09
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? Yes +115 $45 16¢ $19 $-26 06-04 02:02
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +17 $13 60¢ $10 $-3 07-15 07:43