Stunning-Palace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.76K

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

111

Trades

607

lifetime

Volume

$83.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

$1.60K

13 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 11-01 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

53% 59% -$5,864

Other

41% 31% -$2,573

Crypto

5% 38% -$2,082

Sports

1% 40% -$122

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10,325	$826	6¢	$568	-$258	10-30 06:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,243	$373	26¢	$329	-$44	10-30 02:56
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+902	$378	23¢	$207	-$170	07-15 15:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+329	$151	44¢	$143	-$8	10-30 04:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+907	$566	10¢	$87	-$479	06-19 10:59
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	+891	$98	8¢	$76	-$22	10-30 00:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+425	$103	16¢	$69	-$34	05-26 06:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+98	$92	59¢	$58	-$34	05-29 20:42
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	+676	$436	6¢	$37	-$399	07-18 18:12
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	+237	$197	4¢	$9	-$188	07-15 07:41
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	+1,000	$10	1¢	$8	-$2	10-30 00:36
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+312	$119	2¢	$6	-$113	06-08 14:09
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+17	$13	10¢	$2	-$12	07-15 07:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	6	$6.3K	3,698	3,039	+659	Yes	-$229	07-19 21:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	12	$5.6K	4,399	3,492	+907	open	—	06-19 10:59
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	12	$3.9K	2,823	2,823	+0	No	-$426	06-28 04:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$3.3K	1,821	1,821	+0	No	+$298	05-31 09:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.2K	2,394	2,394	+0	open	—	06-15 16:43
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts second half	4	$3.2K	2,143	2,143	+0	Yes	+$1,114	07-18 23:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	7	$2.8K	1,564	1,564	+0	No	+$181	06-01 14:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	15	$2.8K	5,042	0	+5,042	Yes	-$2,754	06-19 11:02
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 first half total 2pt5	2	$2.5K	1,538	1,538	+0	Over	+$537	07-18 21:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$2.1K	1,879	1,879	+0	No	+$128	06-17 05:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	17	$1.8K	2,967	403	+2,564	No	-$944	06-01 15:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$1.8K	969	969	+0	open	—	05-30 05:54
England to win the second half?	2	$1.3K	4,606	0	+4,606	No	-$1,300	07-18 21:59
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	4	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Spain	+$90	07-19 21:42
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	9	$1.3K	856	856	+0	Yes	+$432	06-17 23:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$228	06-10 02:52
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	6	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$1,020	07-19 20:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$1.0K	1,930	0	+1,930	Yes	-$1,007	06-19 23:35
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	1	$1000	1,471	0	+1,471	Under	-$1,000	07-19 19:05
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	5	$992	1,360	1,360	+0	No	+$71	06-14 06:33
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$982	500	500	+0	No	+$17	06-17 04:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$976	698	698	+0	No	+$13	06-18 14:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	8	$974	1,183	600	+583	Yes	-$218	06-05 12:53
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$964	499	499	+0	No	-$4	06-01 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$922	1,169	600	+569	No	-$130	06-01 09:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	2	$922	500	500	+0	Yes	+$40	06-20 13:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$919	643	643	+0	Yes	+$199	05-31 22:29
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	11	$916	1,234	1,234	+0	No	-$738	05-31 21:49
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	1	$837	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	09-02 11:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$826	10,325	0	+10,325	open	—	10-30 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:30:01	Trump declares a national emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	42¢	$103	0x80614e…
10-30 13:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	510	74¢	$379	0x14b65f…
10-30 06:14:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	38¢	$60	0x3f6a06…
10-30 06:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	59¢	$300	0xd36c83…
10-30 06:00:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,325	8¢	$826	0x983e64…
10-30 04:17:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	46¢	$88	0x79f2ea…
10-30 04:00:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xea3769…
10-30 03:50:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x951107…
10-30 03:21:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x9ddb4a…
10-30 02:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	755	30¢	$226	0xc5f268…
10-30 02:50:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	488	30¢	$147	0x9a180f…
10-30 02:34:01	Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?	Yes	SELL	731	12¢	$86	0xa37c1e…
10-30 01:15:57	Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?	Yes	BUY	731	14¢	$100	0x77afeb…
10-30 00:56:15	AWS service disrupted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf0cea3…
10-30 00:56:04	AWS service disrupted by November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x52ac76…
10-30 00:55:55	AWS service disrupted by November 30?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x85de9e…
10-30 00:36:03	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf6b8e8…
10-30 00:35:34	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	891	11¢	$98	0x2f19c0…
10-30 00:34:30	USD1 depeg by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc9ca04…
10-30 00:34:12	GHO depeg by December 31?	Yes	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x4686b2…
10-30 00:34:01	USDS depeg by December 31?	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0xa41b3c…
10-30 00:33:58	USDTb depeg by December 31?	Yes	BUY	146	7¢	$10	0x4c7fac…
10-30 00:33:52	USD0 depeg by December 31?	Yes	BUY	134	7¢	$10	0x18a8dd…
10-30 00:30:00	Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	Yes	BUY	254	10¢	$26	0xc5779d…
10-30 00:28:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	19,048	3¢	$500	0xbe32d8…
10-30 00:24:15	Will XRP dip to $1.10 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	448	11¢	$50	0x3a54e2…
10-30 00:23:28	Will Solana dip to $80 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x24f1b6…
10-30 00:20:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,292	4¢	$100	0x905480…
10-30 00:17:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	9,819	5¢	$500	0x25b416…
10-30 00:16:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	793	13¢	$107	0xffe5e5…
10-14 02:49:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	239	86¢	$205	0x0bafd9…
09-12 17:14:34	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	692	42¢	$291	0xb4ecf6…
09-12 06:19:22	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	42¢	$22	0xc97137…
09-11 23:51:55	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	42¢	$27	0x564451…
09-11 20:38:58	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	42¢	$55	0x6e9085…
09-11 20:38:58	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x10359f…
09-11 15:48:49	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x8ccedc…
09-11 15:06:33	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa5adbf…
09-10 07:18:01	Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0x3a3202…
09-10 07:17:52	Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	40¢	$48	0xa4908e…
09-03 04:58:16	Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	40¢	$27	0x5abd0a…
09-02 11:45:46	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,002	84¢	$837	0x1ef2ca…
08-31 05:37:24	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x2eaef3…
08-29 15:05:31	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x33b509…
07-19 21:42:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	1,000	69¢	$692	0x52ae83…
07-19 21:37:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	540	60¢	$325	0xe55c4b…
07-19 21:37:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0x35c101…
07-19 21:37:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	397	60¢	$239	0x000ed2…
07-19 21:15:43	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	272	99¢	$269	0xf1f1f2…
07-19 21:15:42	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x4e93e3…
07-19 21:15:42	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	1,758	99¢	$1,740	0x42041c…
07-19 21:11:22	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	3,006	93¢	$2,800	0xb5a1eb…
07-19 21:07:34	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	92	83¢	$76	0x876697…
07-19 20:41:43	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	682	51¢	$348	0xb6c31b…
07-19 20:41:04	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	185	51¢	$94	0x5985f5…
07-19 20:41:01	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	123	51¢	$63	0xe91e43…
07-19 20:41:01	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0x669b6d…
07-19 20:40:36	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	928	51¢	$473	0x13f4c5…
07-19 20:37:46	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8d1c1d…
07-19 20:37:09	Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	952	18¢	$171	0x5065f0…
07-19 20:29:46	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	600	70¢	$420	0xe91c7d…
07-19 19:56:22	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x653efb…
07-19 19:38:54	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2,632	19¢	$500	0x8ae6cf…
07-19 19:12:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xf25156…
07-19 19:05:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0xf191cc…
07-19 19:01:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3,604	10¢	$371	0x3281d8…
07-19 18:23:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x61654d…
07-19 14:29:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xc20531…
07-19 14:06:57	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x00a13b…
07-19 11:36:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xd5f031…
07-19 11:36:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xd51135…
07-19 11:36:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xbe20e4…
07-19 11:36:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x6591cb…
07-19 11:36:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x3eafde…
07-19 11:36:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x083bde…
07-19 11:36:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0046d2…
07-19 07:34:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	148	18¢	$27	0x1363ed…
07-19 05:39:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	600	14¢	$84	0x82aa1d…
07-19 05:13:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xa9613d…
07-19 02:57:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	1,339	5¢	$66	0xcc4e8b…
07-19 02:22:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd56acf…
07-19 02:22:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	180	5¢	$9	0x053aa9…
07-19 02:19:48	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	120	90¢	$108	0xf3feb4…
07-19 01:20:43	wnba nyl ind 2026 07 18	New York Liberty	BUY	97	50¢	$48	0x54fcf6…
07-19 01:20:42	wnba nyl ind 2026 07 18	New York Liberty	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2053f6…
07-19 00:48:06	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	105	65¢	$68	0xa2a7d2…
07-19 00:48:06	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x492faa…
07-19 00:48:04	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x531cd9…
07-19 00:37:24	wnba por min 2026 07 18	PortlandFire	BUY	356	9¢	$32	0x92b58c…
07-19 00:33:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	281	5¢	$14	0xd7cae2…
07-19 00:27:12	wnba nyl ind 2026 07 18 total 183pt5	Under	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x796707…
07-19 00:23:49	nwsl roy pri 2026 07 18 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x6e4793…
07-19 00:03:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	467	15¢	$70	0xa94baa…
07-18 23:54:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals enzo fernandez gte2	Yes	BUY	688	2¢	$11	0xb8bae3…
07-18 23:54:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x10cb1d…
07-18 23:54:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xdda50e…
07-18 23:50:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	213	9¢	$19	0xb0d7a5…
07-18 23:48:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,002	10¢	$100	0xebfbdc…
07-18 23:46:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3,629	2¢	$61	0x5459c8…
07-18 23:07:21	Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	355	100¢	$354	0x093350…