Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$120
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
195
lifetime
Volume
$22.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$7.29K
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 06-10 03:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
25%
Crypto
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2,394 $1,484 62¢ $1.5K +$12 06-05 09:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -969 $-899 92¢ $-892 +$7 05-30 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +600 $384 90¢ $543 +$159 05-29 04:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +698 $482 72¢ $503 +$21 06-05 06:59
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -499 $-480 97¢ $-485 $-5 06-01 14:00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +1,288 $432 36¢ $460 +$28 06-10 03:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +716 $344 55¢ $390 +$47 06-05 17:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +861 $353 38¢ $331 $-22 06-06 16:35
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +398 $334 79¢ $315 $-19 06-01 14:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +289 $264 96¢ $277 +$13 05-30 18:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +438 $166 62¢ $272 +$105 05-29 05:17
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +238 $181 80¢ $189 +$8 05-28 19:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $168 86¢ $173 +$5 05-29 08:33
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -170 $-155 89¢ $-151 +$3 06-06 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +399 $88 32¢ $130 +$42 05-29 04:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +648 $162 20¢ $126 $-36 06-06 19:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +621 $106 18¢ $109 +$3 06-08 16:30
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? No +100 $95 94¢ $94 $-1 05-31 13:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +779 $100 12¢ $92 $-8 06-08 13:21
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +312 $119 28¢ $87 $-31 06-08 14:09
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes +407 $200 18¢ $73 $-127 06-05 00:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +569 $142 10¢ $54 $-88 06-01 09:01
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +47 $45 96¢ $45 $-0 06-01 08:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +10 $4 64¢ $6 +$2 05-31 06:57