Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$462
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
274
lifetime
Volume
$46.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$169
Open exposure
$3.03K
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 06-28 04:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78%
Other
17%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -969 $-899 95¢ $-919 $-20 05-30 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +600 $384 100¢ $598 +$214 05-29 04:32
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -499 $-480 99¢ $-492 $-12 06-01 14:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +907 $566 30¢ $268 $-298 06-19 10:59
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +210 $82 100¢ $210 +$128 06-19 10:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -170 $-155 94¢ $-160 $-6 06-06 15:55
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? No +100 $95 95¢ $95 +$1 05-31 13:01
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes +407 $200 22¢ $88 $-112 06-05 00:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +621 $106 12¢ $78 $-28 06-08 16:30
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +47 $45 93¢ $43 $-2 06-01 08:04
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +312 $119 14¢ $42 $-76 06-08 14:09
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? Yes +115 $45 30¢ $34 $-11 06-04 02:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +779 $100 $2 $-98 06-08 13:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +569 $142 $1 $-141 06-01 09:01