USDS depeg by December 31?
open
Total volume
$639
Trades
51
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$6,635
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-06 16:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $14 | $38 | $24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $19 | $405 | $386 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $405 | $403 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $32 | $29 |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $14 | $6 | +$9 |
| unranked | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +431 | $389 | $420 | 14 | 08-06 16:04 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +120 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-06 16:04 |
| Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-06 16:04 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +75 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-21 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-06 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-27 06:31 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 08-06 16:04 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-27 06:31 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-26 15:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:04:48 | Testy-Condominium 0xa732…8818 | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xde57b2… |
| 08-06 16:04:48 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 229 | 95¢ | $217 | 0xde57b2… |
| 08-06 16:04:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 120 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xde57b2… |
| 08-06 16:04:48 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xde57b2… |
| 08-06 16:04:41 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xce0d76… |
| 08-06 16:04:41 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xce0d76… |
| 08-06 16:04:20 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x454f93… |
| 08-06 16:04:20 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x454f93… |
| 08-06 16:04:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x982b11… |
| 08-06 16:04:12 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x982b11… |
| 07-27 06:31:00 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x63dae9… |
| 07-27 06:31:00 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x63dae9… |
| 07-27 06:31:00 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x63dae9… |
| 07-26 15:49:15 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x226996… |
| 07-26 15:49:15 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x226996… |
| 07-21 23:15:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x864f8e… |
| 07-21 23:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x864f8e… |
| 07-21 23:15:51 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x864f8e… |
| 07-19 16:20:52 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5acb27… |
| 07-19 16:20:52 | Testy-Condominium 0xa732…8818 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x5acb27… |
| 06-24 13:42:37 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb07aa5… |
| 06-24 13:42:37 | Testy-Condominium 0xa732…8818 | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xb07aa5… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Testy-Condominium 0xa732…8818 | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0xe5b856… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Grown-Billion 0x0da4…edde | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xe5b856… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe5b856… |
| 06-06 20:32:57 | Ragged-Thief 0xdbac…87c5 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xe5b856… |
| 06-05 22:35:30 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xdc6c8a… |
| 06-05 22:35:30 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xdc6c8a… |
| 06-05 22:34:07 | Grown-Billion 0x0da4…edde | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xd45a31… |
| 06-05 22:34:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd45a31… |
| 06-05 22:34:06 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xde707c… |
| 06-05 22:34:06 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xde707c… |
| 06-05 22:34:03 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc6fd00… |
| 06-05 22:34:03 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc6fd00… |
| 06-05 22:27:18 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x872f23… |
| 06-05 22:27:18 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x872f23… |
| 06-05 22:24:24 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x6a05ec… |
| 06-05 22:24:24 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x6a05ec… |
| 06-05 22:24:15 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x3042b3… |
| 06-05 22:24:15 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x3042b3… |
| 06-05 22:23:24 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x76ae30… |
| 06-05 22:23:24 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x76ae30… |
| 06-05 22:20:10 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x2f83a6… |
| 06-05 22:20:10 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x2f83a6… |
| 06-05 22:08:09 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x881b1d… |
| 06-05 22:08:09 | Ragged-Thief 0xdbac…87c5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x881b1d… |
| 06-05 22:08:03 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 95 | 81¢ | $77 | 0x46e2f9… |
| 06-05 22:08:03 | Ragged-Thief 0xdbac…87c5 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 18¢ | $8 | 0x46e2f9… |
| 06-05 22:08:03 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x46e2f9… |
| 06-05 21:59:25 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x098a2b… |
| 06-05 21:59:25 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x098a2b… |