Testy-Condominium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$157

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

14,663

lifetime

Volume

$3.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$213

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-06 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$29

Crypto

33% 90% $-186

Politics

16% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	373	$369.9K	197,335	179,473	+17,863	open	—	01-27 05:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	525	$362.2K	193,435	176,708	+16,727	open	—	01-25 07:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1,439	$186.6K	105,910	86,850	+19,060	open	—	04-13 18:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	441	$186.1K	94,810	96,675	-1,866	open	—	03-25 22:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	563	$156.2K	82,851	81,904	+947	open	—	04-12 12:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	376	$155.1K	95,151	66,323	+28,828	open	—	03-28 02:49
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	443	$87.1K	45,470	44,270	+1,200	open	—	02-25 17:45
netanyahu out by march 31 854	87	$70.5K	37,707	34,767	+2,940	open	—	03-25 17:31
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	111	$70.3K	38,197	33,274	+4,923	open	—	02-13 20:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$69.8K	35,000	35,000	+0	open	—	02-03 00:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	62	$59.7K	31,600	31,636	-36	open	—	03-15 02:03
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	419	$59.7K	31,330	31,330	+0	open	—	02-16 13:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	128	$54.5K	28,333	28,333	+0	open	—	03-04 16:07
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	612	$53.8K	27,663	27,663	+0	open	—	02-25 16:13
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	220	$48.0K	25,822	24,622	+1,200	open	—	02-28 01:35
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	367	$39.2K	22,130	18,265	+3,865	open	—	01-29 16:11
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	228	$32.2K	19,325	19,337	-11	open	—	04-29 15:29
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	170	$31.9K	15,352	17,172	-1,820	open	—	03-23 11:07
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	107	$30.8K	15,885	15,917	-32	open	—	02-12 01:06
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	78	$29.6K	15,215	15,215	+0	open	—	03-04 16:07
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	300	$26.2K	14,303	12,665	+1,638	open	—	03-30 03:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	111	$24.7K	13,263	13,304	-42	open	—	04-14 08:03
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	189	$22.0K	11,887	11,747	+140	open	—	01-29 16:03
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	183	$21.8K	11,121	11,312	-191	open	—	02-02 04:55
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	160	$20.8K	10,697	11,026	-329	open	—	03-23 12:15
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	58	$19.3K	9,999	9,900	+99	open	—	02-26 20:14
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	158	$17.9K	9,651	8,614	+1,036	open	—	01-27 08:19
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	72	$17.1K	9,122	8,686	+436	open	—	03-31 04:45
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	107	$17.1K	8,856	8,856	+0	open	—	02-05 15:45
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	53	$16.9K	10,995	6,247	+4,748	open	—	01-23 05:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 16:04:48	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xde57b2…
07-20 14:01:04	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x87b298…
07-19 16:20:52	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x5acb27…
06-24 13:42:37	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xb07aa5…
06-14 01:44:55	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	105	91¢	$95	0x64839a…
06-10 18:44:04	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x42cc59…
06-09 03:07:06	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x775f05…
06-09 03:06:58	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xa1930c…
06-09 03:06:49	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xd25084…
06-08 16:11:00	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0x174198…
06-07 10:38:15	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x703b1a…
06-06 21:16:37	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	960	91¢	$873	0x6f3545…
06-06 20:32:57	USDS depeg by December 31?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0xe5b856…
06-01 15:40:21	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x73c151…
05-26 02:28:30	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x75619b…
05-26 02:27:20	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x6a6f77…
05-26 02:14:00	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x11508a…
05-26 02:04:51	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xf0cd50…
05-13 14:09:08	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$119	0x341f4d…
05-13 09:57:01	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	797	99¢	$786	0x1b630b…
05-13 02:51:48	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	365	99¢	$360	0x609de3…
05-13 02:51:27	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,796	99¢	$1,773	0x6a2722…
05-13 02:01:50	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,800	99¢	$1,777	0x736147…
05-12 17:03:42	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x20f993…
05-11 23:31:38	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x79ad64…
04-29 22:23:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x2cc948…
04-29 19:29:40	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	123	86¢	$106	0x723b15…
04-29 19:06:38	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x9c7569…
04-29 18:48:50	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe8e287…
04-29 16:18:08	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xf12bd1…
04-29 15:29:42	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0xcaa72e…
04-29 10:26:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xd33786…
04-29 10:26:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xe4a0e9…
04-29 10:26:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x3199c5…
04-29 10:26:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x2f55a7…
04-29 08:57:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x79c84d…
04-28 14:14:44	Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	540	82¢	$445	0x5f6f17…
04-28 12:59:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	24	36¢	$8	0x779637…
04-28 12:46:20	Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x21b5f2…
04-28 10:29:38	Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	297	87¢	$259	0x3c7c95…
04-28 09:49:06	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf628fa…
04-28 09:49:06	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x860fb1…
04-28 09:47:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0x200dfa…
04-28 09:37:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x13b753…
04-28 09:05:28	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	294	66¢	$194	0x8b5f1c…
04-28 08:17:56	Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	450	82¢	$371	0x35a84f…
04-28 08:00:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0xefece9…
04-28 07:41:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7b555a…
04-28 06:05:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	92¢	$225	0xa8cd88…
04-28 00:45:16	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	380	95¢	$362	0x8dcd6c…
04-27 19:44:26	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	279	92¢	$257	0x925183…
04-27 13:26:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x99e01d…
04-27 07:31:18	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xbe5ad7…
04-27 02:31:12	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$989	0xd285a1…
04-27 02:28:34	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	5,000	83¢	$4,150	0x38d0c5…
04-27 01:06:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	519	94¢	$487	0xc7ca8b…
04-27 00:55:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	289	94¢	$271	0xcf37b0…
04-26 19:31:50	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0x36037f…
04-26 11:06:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	350	94¢	$328	0x492532…
04-25 17:51:22	Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x7320cd…
04-25 16:02:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x5c65ae…
04-25 16:02:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x5d7df2…
04-25 13:31:38	Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0xf28fd4…
04-25 03:28:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x80df71…
04-25 03:28:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x007610…
04-25 03:28:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x8a20f5…
04-25 03:27:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x18174a…
04-25 03:26:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x5a3924…
04-24 17:32:54	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	922	38¢	$353	0x317de7…
04-24 17:19:46	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x628b58…
04-24 17:19:34	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	38¢	$10	0xe636b2…
04-24 17:19:22	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x034224…
04-24 16:54:14	Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x356a9b…
04-24 14:08:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	123	97¢	$120	0xc37460…
04-24 14:07:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x51d9fe…
04-24 14:06:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x5dc203…
04-24 14:04:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	500	96¢	$480	0x9a2230…
04-24 13:17:46	Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	64	90¢	$57	0xf873b6…
04-24 11:25:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2c914c…
04-24 06:17:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	156	94¢	$146	0xf6a1a8…
04-24 06:16:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2826b1…
04-24 00:50:02	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$941	0xdb20da…
04-22 06:18:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8,000	86¢	$6,880	0x0d40b5…
04-22 03:10:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0x80401a…
04-22 02:58:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0xdebe61…
04-22 02:58:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x345834…
04-22 02:15:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x7feac2…
04-21 21:24:40	Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x11fbbc…
04-21 17:18:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	498	95¢	$473	0xf9d9af…
04-21 14:17:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	285	78¢	$223	0x2fb628…
04-21 13:08:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	335	96¢	$321	0xad7a3b…
04-21 12:51:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	157	96¢	$151	0x5fda00…
04-21 12:28:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x017fb7…
04-21 07:26:34	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x2d8b72…
04-21 06:42:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	438	79¢	$346	0x37d430…
04-21 06:25:10	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	307	94¢	$289	0x96cac8…
04-21 06:25:02	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	388	93¢	$361	0x66631a…
04-21 06:24:44	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	112	93¢	$104	0xae5df0…
04-21 02:21:04	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	89¢	$447	0x03cce3…
04-21 01:45:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1,000	83¢	$829	0xe1ba27…