Realized P&L
-$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
-$300
Hit rate
94.6%
Resolved
345
Trades
14,746
lifetime
Volume
$3.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$10.8K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-31 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
51% 75% +$2,259
Crypto
33% 84% -$4,241
Politics
16% 78% +$814
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,600 -$2,481 96¢ $-2493 -$12 10-31 11:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,780 96¢ $-1910 -$130 10-31 11:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,000 -$951 98¢ $-980 -$29 10-31 11:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,000 -$820 82¢ $-825 -$5 10-31 11:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -600 -$528 88¢ $-531 -$3 10-31 11:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$430 97¢ $-484 -$54 05-13 03:34
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -479 -$470 99¢ $-473 -$4 10-31 11:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -500 -$420 94¢ $-472 -$52 05-19 00:57
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -500 -$460 92¢ $-462 -$3 10-31 11:46
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -456 -$444 99¢ $-450 -$6 05-13 01:47
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -500 -$363 66¢ $-332 +$30 10-31 11:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 -$221 97¢ $-243 -$23 10-31 11:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -210 -$207 98¢ $-206 +$1 10-31 11:49
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -167 -$149 97¢ $-162 -$14 05-13 08:52
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 10-31 11:48
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -100 -$99 98¢ $-98 +$1 06-01 15:40
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -100 -$97 97¢ $-97 $0 10-31 11:48
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -100 -$98 96¢ $-96 +$2 05-11 23:31
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -100 -$99 94¢ $-94 +$5 05-11 23:30
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -100 -$96 88¢ $-88 +$8 05-11 23:31
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -100 -$84 88¢ $-88 -$4 10-31 11:48
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -100 -$75 76¢ $-76 -$1 10-31 11:48
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -100 -$42 47¢ $-47 -$5 10-31 11:48
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -100 -$12 14¢ $-14 -$2 10-31 11:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 90¢ $-4 $0 10-31 11:47