USDTb depeg by December 31?
open
Total volume
$173
Trades
35
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$1,350
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-29 17:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $2 | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $12 | $42 | $30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $33 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $6 | — | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $40 | $40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $33 | $32 |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 5 | $6 | — | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +52 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 07-04 23:29 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 23:17 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +16 | $14 | $51 | 3 | 07-29 17:53 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-29 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 07-29 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 08:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 08:18 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb931…4ff8 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 12:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 12:52 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $2 | $4 | 4 | 07-21 23:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:53:59 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbb1254… |
| 07-29 17:53:59 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbb1254… |
| 07-29 17:53:59 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbb1254… |
| 07-29 17:53:59 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 24 | 90¢ | $21 | 0xbb1254… |
| 07-21 23:17:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa53a8c… |
| 07-21 23:17:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa53a8c… |
| 07-21 23:17:22 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa53a8c… |
| 07-21 23:17:22 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xa53a8c… |
| 07-18 06:51:37 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x432b26… |
| 07-18 06:51:37 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x432b26… |
| 07-18 06:51:37 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x432b26… |
| 07-18 06:51:37 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x432b26… |
| 07-18 06:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x432b26… |
| 07-09 08:23:02 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb6e88a… |
| 07-09 08:23:02 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb6e88a… |
| 07-09 08:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x725e6e… |
| 07-09 08:18:46 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x725e6e… |
| 07-07 23:17:35 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x137913… |
| 07-07 23:17:35 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x137913… |
| 07-04 23:29:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x1fd31a… |
| 07-04 23:29:50 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0x1fd31a… |
| 07-04 23:29:38 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 41 | 74¢ | $30 | 0x5827f0… |
| 07-04 23:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x5827f0… |
| 07-04 23:29:38 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5827f0… |
| 07-02 08:05:02 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xaf7e2e… |
| 07-02 08:05:02 | Glittering-Ground 0xd873…0ef6 | No | SELL | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xaf7e2e… |
| 07-02 08:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xaf7e2e… |
| 07-02 06:53:02 | (anonymous) 0x64fc…67aa | No | SELL | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x2808c2… |
| 07-02 06:53:02 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x2808c2… |
| 07-02 02:47:22 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xa135a0… |
| 07-02 02:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x64fc…67aa | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xa135a0… |
| 06-29 22:28:20 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x3893cc… |
| 06-29 22:28:20 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x3893cc… |
| 06-06 12:52:48 | (anonymous) 0xb931…4ff8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x2448ef… |
| 06-06 12:52:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x2448ef… |