Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-17 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

65% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Other

10% 0% $-1

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% 50% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	64	$3.8K	2,126	2,126	+0	open	—	03-31 00:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	18	$1.5K	1,029	1,029	+0	open	—	04-07 23:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$1.1K	776	776	+0	open	—	04-05 23:24
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	14	$900	672	672	+0	open	—	04-01 19:34
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$647	391	391	+0	open	—	04-01 17:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	24	$559	312	312	+0	open	—	04-11 06:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$539	698	698	+0	open	—	04-07 23:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$434	227	237	-10	open	—	03-30 05:52
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$401	231	231	+0	open	—	04-12 08:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$321	429	429	+0	open	—	04-20 11:54
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	2	$268	135	135	+0	open	—	04-03 00:56
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$261	176	176	+0	open	—	04-10 17:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$226	179	179	+0	open	—	05-03 16:58
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	9	$213	212	212	+0	open	—	04-17 04:05
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	7	$189	103	89	+14	open	—	03-31 19:28
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	9	$187	118	118	+0	open	—	04-19 23:03
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$133	71	71	+0	open	—	04-13 00:24
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	3	$115	80	80	+0	open	—	04-15 20:37
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	6	$115	80	80	+0	open	—	05-01 17:59
Will Google reach $375 in April?	3	$108	57	57	+0	open	—	04-30 14:18
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$103	58	58	+0	open	—	04-16 16:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	04-16 04:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$102	60	60	+0	open	—	04-17 17:13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	04-29 23:55
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:52
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	4	$92	48	48	+0	open	—	04-23 18:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$90	92	92	+0	open	—	04-17 17:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$79	89	89	+0	open	—	04-17 22:34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	6	$77	82	82	+0	open	—	05-01 21:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$73	39	39	+0	open	—	04-22 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 23:36:50	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x06bdbf…
06-01 12:16:33	Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x665080…
05-10 15:12:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Alexandra Eala	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe0d812…
05-10 15:12:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Alexandra Eala	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x313bc1…
05-09 22:31:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe98907…
05-09 07:28:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3a3340…
05-06 21:34:31	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe95744…
05-05 20:06:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xdc855d…
05-05 20:05:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xa96ba5…
05-05 19:30:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x932b58…
05-05 04:30:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x44878d…
05-04 20:38:30	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa26f4b…
05-03 19:43:56	Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)	Natus Vincere	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x1840aa…
05-03 18:36:50	Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8a7ff0…
05-03 18:34:04	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb6292c…
05-03 18:06:02	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x39caeb…
05-03 18:00:20	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x0af52f…
05-03 17:54:22	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xeba819…
05-03 17:44:40	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4f97fc…
05-03 17:44:38	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x1b6b75…
05-03 17:18:50	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ef04b…
05-03 16:58:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0xbf1207…
05-02 23:37:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x108ee1…
05-01 21:24:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xad2a96…
05-01 21:24:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1e1a11…
05-01 21:24:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x4f7a99…
05-01 21:04:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd56c2c…
05-01 21:04:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc083fd…
05-01 21:02:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xa8ef42…
05-01 21:02:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xae0fc5…
05-01 18:42:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	62	41¢	$25	0xe5f91d…
05-01 18:39:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$49	0x465664…
05-01 17:59:44	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd7450d…
05-01 16:39:00	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1ee789…
05-01 16:28:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x557584…
05-01 16:04:12	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x06f4a7…
05-01 15:29:46	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	51	76¢	$39	0x21c0b2…
05-01 15:22:38	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x9074e7…
05-01 15:13:04	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0x7d9506…
04-30 14:18:42	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x72760c…
04-30 13:38:50	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x93bfd3…
04-30 13:38:06	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8ca7b9…
04-29 23:55:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0xe92aa7…
04-23 18:55:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0xc74477…
04-23 18:03:58	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x9f6665…
04-23 13:14:24	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe5b2c4…
04-23 08:31:28	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x786865…
04-23 04:40:54	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x4aba44…
04-22 22:06:02	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc76371…
04-22 21:50:06	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xe4ccd9…
04-22 19:08:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xc57827…
04-22 18:51:10	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x3f57f5…
04-22 18:43:34	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xd4ebae…
04-22 18:24:52	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x16034b…
04-22 16:30:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x8e52a9…
04-22 13:19:38	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x5a8cb7…
04-22 13:06:48	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x20eca6…
04-22 07:51:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd07299…
04-21 22:26:52	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0dde5c…
04-21 18:51:00	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xdf25b6…
04-21 18:50:48	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x4da100…
04-21 18:02:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0x3cf197…
04-21 16:09:26	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	No	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xd84764…
04-21 15:24:10	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x60b2ec…
04-21 15:02:46	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0xa73664…
04-21 14:49:24	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x64f230…
04-21 14:22:50	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x4a4125…
04-21 14:20:04	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6d8410…
04-21 14:02:14	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe58589…
04-20 23:41:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0x2e7e40…
04-20 20:34:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xbf4dfb…
04-20 14:40:18	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xe9045d…
04-20 14:35:18	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xb459d7…
04-20 14:24:40	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0x3f8df5…
04-20 13:33:38	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xb8eec1…
04-20 11:54:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	47	63¢	$29	0x31459d…
04-19 23:03:12	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x059a1d…
04-19 19:33:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0xc0bb68…
04-19 18:40:48	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x53878a…
04-19 17:36:18	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd43c0a…
04-19 15:52:12	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x70999a…
04-19 15:45:18	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xe7723d…
04-19 14:35:34	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x544cd8…
04-19 14:07:44	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0x915919…
04-18 18:17:58	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	77¢	$36	0x3d0261…
04-18 18:05:36	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc8287b…
04-18 17:55:56	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x9d811e…
04-18 16:50:46	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	88¢	$46	0x2f97b8…
04-17 22:38:20	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0xa48c4d…
04-17 22:34:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	44¢	$39	0x4db88c…
04-17 21:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x7265ef…
04-17 18:18:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0x12d93f…
04-17 18:04:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x9f1b7b…
04-17 17:53:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	92	44¢	$40	0x82b2b2…
04-17 17:20:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xa33d50…
04-17 17:13:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0x9bf798…
04-17 17:12:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0xa07142…
04-17 16:55:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0xcee3d3…
04-17 16:53:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x24f570…
04-17 13:54:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x36e111…