Identical-Inverse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$876

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$149

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-18 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-70

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

9% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	+77	$39	80¢	$62	+$23	06-18 22:20
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-60	$-58	98¢	$-59	$-1	06-18 22:19
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	+21	$15	88¢	$18	+$3	05-29 19:56
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-10	$-10	98¢	$-10	$-0	06-07 14:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	3	$76	62	20	+42	open	—	03-18 00:10
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	6	$66	249	0	+249	Yes	$-66	04-09 17:52
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$58	0	60	-60	open	—	06-18 22:19
jerome powell arrested by march 31	3	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	01-29 15:41
will trump try to fire powell by march 31	3	$54	60	0	+60	open	—	02-09 21:39
stefon diggs suspended this season	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	01-14 17:34
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	4	$39	77	0	+77	open	—	06-18 22:20
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	4	$36	84	0	+84	open	—	03-16 04:28
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$33	123	0	+123	open	—	01-09 15:52
will now heres a guy be said at the super bowl 298 977 621 936	1	$24	33	0	+33	open	—	02-08 23:50
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$21	24	24	+0	open	—	01-16 20:18
tsla above 420 on march 31 2026	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	03-10 18:03
tsla above 390 on march 31 2026	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	03-23 14:33
ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-04 00:30
hillary clinton charged by march 31	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-19 22:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	03-02 05:32
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 15:59
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	05-29 19:56
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	01-13 23:02
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	03-29 21:34
tsla above 405 on march 13 2026	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-10 13:46
nvda above 170 on march 31 2026	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-20 17:39
tsla above 410 on march 13 2026	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-10 13:46
tsla above 410 on march 31 2026	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-10 13:47
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	4	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	02-10 18:03
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	06-07 14:34
will the new york jets draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	01-15 22:03
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	2	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	01-03 21:48
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	01-06 23:04
italy nordio reform referendum passes	5	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	03-23 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 22:20:32	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x97890a…
06-18 22:19:58	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4562e4…
06-18 22:18:07	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1e07c0…
06-07 14:34:45	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7794c6…
06-03 15:51:06	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xf6af2f…
06-03 14:36:43	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x5d9f13…
05-29 19:56:38	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x2e7578…
05-29 19:55:46	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x268ed3…
04-21 21:00:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x9a3bff…
04-19 15:54:18	bitcoin above 74k on april 20	No	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xa093d8…
04-09 17:52:51	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x77edd5…
04-09 17:51:49	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x775cff…
03-30 00:38:50	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x3b07ff…
03-29 21:34:32	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x21885a…
03-23 21:08:35	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xebad95…
03-23 14:35:33	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x4a7f34…
03-23 14:33:35	tsla above 390 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x97a5ab…
03-22 22:45:03	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc748d7…
03-22 22:39:11	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0xc12c37…
03-22 22:38:27	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe79ab9…
03-22 22:35:53	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x56a5b4…
03-20 17:51:53	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x26d510…
03-20 17:39:21	nvda above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x946151…
03-20 17:39:05	nvda above 170 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x412c30…
03-18 00:10:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x5cc6b5…
03-16 04:28:07	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4215ce…
03-13 19:06:03	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x79b2d1…
03-13 18:35:53	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xca530d…
03-10 18:03:45	tsla above 420 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x437f29…
03-10 14:02:05	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1606db…
03-10 13:50:45	Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x636200…
03-10 13:47:49	tsla above 410 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4dd588…
03-10 13:46:37	tsla above 410 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa81393…
03-10 13:46:19	tsla above 405 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x55a4ba…
03-06 15:59:23	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x8faf1d…
03-06 06:10:29	powell bingo march	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6c15a0…
03-06 05:13:13	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xad5651…
03-06 05:10:11	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x1ed003…
03-02 05:32:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	18	60¢	$10	0xc77040…
03-01 19:08:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x35dd3e…
02-23 17:50:32	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd8d6c1…
02-23 17:50:32	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xd24c32…
02-23 17:48:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0f53c5…
02-23 17:06:34	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca1de6…
02-19 22:49:36	hillary clinton charged by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf5c633…
02-16 23:12:21	Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9f2ab6…
02-14 11:54:17	Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x173932…
02-14 10:45:07	Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x518f08…
02-11 21:55:21	Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbc4efd…
02-11 03:43:03	Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf8e90d…
02-10 18:03:21	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xf99b10…
02-10 17:45:19	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x79afff…
02-10 16:49:29	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xca3ff5…
02-10 16:48:13	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3fe309…
02-10 08:15:51	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbd3079…
02-09 21:39:19	will trump try to fire powell by march 31	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x17280d…
02-09 13:27:31	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xb6d764…
02-08 23:50:21	will now heres a guy be said at the super bowl 298 977 621 936	Yes	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xf086a0…
02-08 23:35:47	will mahomes be said at the super bowl 183 877	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xf757af…
02-08 23:31:23	will mahomes be said at the super bowl 183 877	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x80ce3b…
02-05 19:49:57	will concussion be said at the super bowl 868	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xebaa78…
02-05 05:01:29	super bowl lx first team score	SEA	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xccf638…
02-04 19:01:11	will concussion be said at the super bowl 868	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd2e9aa…
02-04 00:31:28	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x219e8b…
02-04 00:30:02	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x0d5011…
02-04 00:20:14	will trump try to fire powell by march 31	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xb29120…
02-03 22:07:28	will concussion be said at the super bowl 868	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xbf83bf…
02-03 07:45:20	will trump try to fire powell by march 31	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xa56810…
02-03 04:36:02	super bowl lx first team score	SEA	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4461a4…
01-31 18:50:54	super bowl lx first team score	SEA	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d2d9e…
01-30 22:02:32	hillary clinton charged by march 31	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x6d8fe2…
01-30 19:26:10	hillary clinton charged by march 31	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8f0dfa…
01-30 16:17:34	will sam darnold win the super bowl lx mvp	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8a3f02…
01-29 16:27:44	super bowl lx first team score	SEA	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2575e5…
01-29 15:41:34	jerome powell arrested by march 31	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x88a938…
01-16 20:18:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0xc697ed…
01-15 22:03:02	will the new york jets draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4bd342…
01-14 21:26:56	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xa960c1…
01-14 17:34:42	stefon diggs suspended this season	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xc1ba6e…
01-13 23:16:02	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa98407…
01-13 23:02:08	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x035683…
01-12 20:06:21	jerome powell arrested by march 31	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x40808b…
01-12 19:24:21	jerome powell arrested by march 31	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x953ca2…
01-10 06:47:58	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x75007b…
01-09 23:18:24	will new england face seattle in super bowl lx	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xee1dad…
01-09 15:52:54	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfa39b4…
01-09 15:01:42	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	104	27¢	$28	0x97b9f8…
01-09 05:43:34	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x69faf1…
01-08 18:52:40	will powell say tariff 13 times during january press conference	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x56fdae…
01-06 23:04:29	will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x664649…
01-06 21:47:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x90d25b…
01-06 16:46:41	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x4a5d62…
01-05 17:58:11	will the miami dolphins draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x8cd8e8…
01-03 21:48:29	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x991171…
01-03 16:44:11	will powell say tariff 13 times during january press conference	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x4c50c7…
01-03 06:28:15	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x01ba31…
01-01 17:20:09	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x14083c…