Vivacious-Recognition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$196

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-06 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 67% +$107

Sports

11% 0% $-250

Pop-Culture

7% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	No		-199	$-196	98¢	$-196	+$1	07-06 21:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	2	$1.2K	675	675	+0	open	—	03-14 17:42
will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	6	$962	1,671	523	+1,149	open	—	03-16 00:45
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$850	2,032	0	+2,032	open	—	03-03 03:52
will klint kubiak be the next arizona cardinals head coach	3	$607	309	309	+0	open	—	02-01 23:33
will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	3	$531	346	346	+0	open	—	03-16 00:45
will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	2	$500	632	0	+632	open	—	03-13 18:49
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$500	726	0	+726	open	—	03-03 03:57
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$390	1,025	0	+1,025	open	—	03-16 00:12
will the perfect neighbor be nominated for best documentary feature at the 98th academy awards	2	$332	409	0	+409	open	—	01-20 17:02
will marty supreme win best casting at the 2026 bafta awards	1	$300	394	0	+394	open	—	02-21 22:29
will jessie buckley win best actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	1	$300	354	0	+354	open	—	03-01 23:34
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$300	1,152	0	+1,152	open	—	03-16 02:10
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	5	$295	1,742	0	+1,742	open	—	03-16 01:03
will deb tirar ms fotos bad bunny win album of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$285	883	0	+883	open	—	02-01 22:25
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$275	1,810	0	+1,810	open	—	05-16 22:09
will the secret agent win best motion picture non english language at the 83rd golden globes	4	$275	479	0	+479	open	—	01-11 20:55
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$270	327	185	+142	open	—	03-16 00:45
will the pitt win best television series drama at the 83rd golden globes	2	$250	328	0	+328	open	—	01-10 17:25
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$250	398	0	+398	open	—	05-16 17:08
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$250	455	0	+455	Sean Brady	$-250	05-09 19:59
will golden kpop demon hunters win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$250	298	0	+298	open	—	03-15 20:46
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$248	3,412	0	+3,412	open	—	05-14 14:33
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	2	$235	432	0	+432	open	—	04-21 12:33
will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	2	$231	552	0	+552	open	—	03-16 00:25
will teyana taylor one battle after another win best supporting actress motion picture at the 83rd golden globes	3	$220	310	0	+310	open	—	01-11 23:33
will joachim trier be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$200	250	0	+250	open	—	01-20 16:50
will sentimental value win exactly 1 award at the oscars	1	$200	313	0	+313	open	—	03-16 00:24
will hamnet win outstanding british film at the 2026 bafta awards	3	$200	1,142	0	+1,142	open	—	02-22 16:34
will frankenstein win best make up hair at the 2026 bafta awards	1	$200	270	0	+270	open	—	02-12 14:19
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$200	240	0	+240	No	+$40	05-09 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 21:33:17	Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	No	SELL	199	99¢	$196	0xa7a20b…
06-13 21:46:00	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x1dab41…
06-13 21:42:34	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x9008f4…
06-13 12:42:24	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x247e11…
06-07 16:03:46	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	660	1¢	$5	0x02f4d9…
05-26 14:25:48	Will AJ Brown be traded?	No	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0x2d872e…
05-26 02:01:07	Will AJ Brown be traded?	No	BUY	371	3¢	$10	0x04d978…
05-16 22:09:11	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	307	10¢	$30	0x0968f9…
05-16 21:15:22	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x341e0d…
05-16 20:17:00	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	730	10¢	$73	0x5a889c…
05-16 17:08:02	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	63¢	$125	0x04862c…
05-16 17:07:04	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$125	0xc469c1…
05-16 12:46:52	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	446	22¢	$100	0x7e048a…
05-16 12:16:10	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	327	22¢	$72	0xf55678…
05-14 20:11:05	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x5057b1…
05-14 14:33:37	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	912	8¢	$73	0xeb7f45…
05-14 12:07:31	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xe6b6f3…
05-14 12:03:28	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1,786	7¢	$125	0xd6864a…
05-14 11:55:23	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x6dc607…
05-14 11:50:59	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0x7819eb…
05-12 21:19:32	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x388522…
05-12 21:19:26	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x28d694…
05-12 21:19:21	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9d3c5…
05-12 21:15:13	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x5792a5…
05-12 20:39:03	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0x5848be…
05-12 20:07:19	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	146	55¢	$80	0xe22f80…
05-12 13:34:42	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	228	77¢	$175	0xd177af…
05-12 12:18:50	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	148	64¢	$95	0x4b9b36…
05-12 12:06:02	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x78f54a…
05-12 11:58:25	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xb6690b…
05-09 19:59:20	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xe90875…
05-09 18:25:44	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x2feea3…
05-09 17:17:15	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x3cf028…
05-09 17:05:31	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0xeb4a76…
05-09 16:55:24	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb5a54b…
05-08 12:24:11	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0xd5d377…
04-29 12:18:22	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	156	48¢	$75	0x65c315…
04-28 01:32:28	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xb2d241…
04-28 01:27:56	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x7519b2…
04-28 01:24:02	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0x8ce908…
04-28 01:23:18	Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	186	70¢	$130	0xc86b04…
04-22 19:26:26	will jeremiyah love be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	218	69¢	$150	0x60f948…
04-21 12:33:54	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	146	24¢	$35	0x1d0136…
04-20 19:14:44	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	372	7¢	$25	0x9fec98…
04-20 13:08:48	will spencer fano be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	226	2¢	$5	0x890fb3…
04-17 02:18:10	will sonny styles be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xe19916…
04-13 16:51:37	nhl nyr fla 2026 04 13	Rangers	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xed496e…
04-12 15:18:49	atp alcaraz sinner 2026 04 12	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xcf61de…
04-12 03:48:51	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0xa9a625…
04-09 12:39:17	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	472	3¢	$15	0x7871f8…
04-09 12:38:09	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	424	6¢	$25	0x76304f…
04-09 12:34:29	Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	5¢	$15	0x60de48…
04-09 12:31:29	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	3¢	$15	0xc7c6a1…
04-08 01:15:13	NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	No	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x1eafb8…
04-08 01:13:03	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x7818cc…
03-28 16:23:45	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 total 153pt5	Under	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x9f1bf3…
03-27 21:07:39	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	591	4¢	$25	0x0b0c44…
03-27 21:07:31	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	725	14¢	$100	0xa414ac…
03-25 13:15:37	will the ottawa senators make the nhl playoffs	Yes	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x923b97…
03-21 15:23:13	cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21 total 139pt5	Over	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x602211…
03-19 13:21:51	will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x3a6e76…
03-17 01:52:37	nhl bos mon 2026 03 17	Canadiens	BUY	107	61¢	$65	0x671851…
03-17 00:54:07	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x30d90f…
03-17 00:53:45	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xdd3434…
03-17 00:53:21	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	260	62¢	$160	0x872cf6…
03-16 02:10:17	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0x16bb32…
03-16 02:08:03	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0x7afa3a…
03-16 02:04:17	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x9f084f…
03-16 02:00:07	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	365	27¢	$100	0xad4332…
03-16 01:03:25	will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xd812e1…
03-16 01:01:47	will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	550	14¢	$75	0x64533c…
03-16 00:45:31	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	346	100¢	$346	0x531fd6…
03-16 00:45:19	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	523	100¢	$522	0x1d598a…
03-16 00:45:13	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xcd0a79…
03-16 00:25:35	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	391	31¢	$120	0x9b2422…
03-16 00:25:21	will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xac6b62…
03-16 00:24:49	will sentimental value win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	BUY	313	64¢	$200	0x02b0d8…
03-16 00:12:05	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	608	12¢	$73	0xa0374b…
03-16 00:04:55	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	839	3¢	$25	0x5b5aa7…
03-15 22:46:51	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	282	7¢	$20	0x944ac1…
03-15 21:17:23	will a friend of dorothy win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	167	21¢	$35	0x1624c3…
03-15 21:04:59	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	161	69¢	$111	0xa5e095…
03-15 20:46:35	will golden kpop demon hunters win best original song at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	298	84¢	$250	0xda8e2b…
03-15 14:12:33	will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xbf2fe0…
03-15 12:59:43	will mr nobody against putin win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	243	21¢	$50	0xb6cec6…
03-15 12:33:37	Will Ryan Warsofsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x00607c…
03-15 01:54:11	Will Ryan Warsofsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?	Yes	BUY	317	3¢	$10	0x83c82b…
03-14 21:58:05	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	157	54¢	$85	0xd9781b…
03-14 21:46:05	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x09dbc9…
03-14 20:30:39	will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0xef1643…
03-14 20:30:35	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xca33e1…
03-14 20:26:33	will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x6a40ee…
03-14 20:25:25	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	133	49¢	$65	0x402648…
03-14 17:42:05	will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	675	91¢	$614	0x565692…
03-14 16:56:57	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x845fef…
03-14 16:55:37	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	249	80¢	$200	0xbb0322…
03-13 18:49:05	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x8614db…
03-12 04:12:01	will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x0f5f6b…
03-06 03:47:41	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x762130…
03-06 03:45:11	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	376	80¢	$300	0xa93c9c…