Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
open
Total volume
$439
Trades
77
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$593
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-29 23:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $2 | $17 | $16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | — | $190 | $190 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $45 | $39 | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $13 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | $4 | $1 |
| Median | 3 | — | $45 | $45 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $39 | $39 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 13 | $45 | $145 | $100 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | +147 | $126 | $126 | 2 | 07-06 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +88 | $11 | $11 | 20 | 07-17 19:54 |
| Irritating-Line 0x9779…bb8a | Yes | +49 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-27 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +34 | $6 | $6 | 9 | 06-24 03:11 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 06-23 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +21 | $18 | $53 | 5 | 07-29 23:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-27 19:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-27 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-27 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +8 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 07-27 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-03 23:42 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-27 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $13 | 3 | 07-27 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 10:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 23:03:24 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x1d5625… |
| 07-29 23:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x1d5625… |
| 07-27 19:27:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2a09d1… |
| 07-27 19:27:04 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x2a09d1… |
| 07-27 12:15:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x45e61e… |
| 07-27 12:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x45e61e… |
| 07-27 12:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x8d6a01… |
| 07-27 12:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x8d6a01… |
| 07-27 10:13:19 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7ef3bb… |
| 07-27 10:13:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7ef3bb… |
| 07-27 10:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x00ffb9… |
| 07-27 10:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x00ffb9… |
| 07-27 10:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x00ffb9… |
| 07-27 10:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x00ffb9… |
| 07-27 10:11:27 | Irritating-Line 0x9779…bb8a | Yes | BUY | 49 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x00ffb9… |
| 07-27 10:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x00ffb9… |
| 07-27 10:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x00ffb9… |
| 07-17 19:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x83e22b… |
| 07-17 19:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x1a35…8799 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x83e22b… |
| 07-13 14:40:52 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xfc4a26… |
| 07-13 14:40:52 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xfc4a26… |
| 07-06 23:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x74fca9… |
| 07-06 23:13:40 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 58 | 88¢ | $51 | 0x74fca9… |
| 07-06 23:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x74fca9… |
| 07-05 09:09:52 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7fa3f9… |
| 07-05 09:09:52 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x7fa3f9… |
| 07-05 07:31:58 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xaf0a4e… |
| 07-05 07:31:58 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xaf0a4e… |
| 07-05 07:31:58 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 89 | 84¢ | $75 | 0xaf0a4e… |
| 07-05 07:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xaf0a4e… |
| 07-05 07:31:58 | FlightRadar 0x152e…9963 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xaf0a4e… |
| 07-05 07:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xaf0a4e… |
| 07-03 23:45:31 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x8e9c71… |
| 07-03 23:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8e9c71… |
| 07-03 23:42:47 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x18634f… |
| 07-03 23:42:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x18634f… |
| 06-24 14:44:17 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x42c84a… |
| 06-24 14:44:17 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x42c84a… |
| 06-24 14:44:10 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0x7ba4d3… |
| 06-24 14:44:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x7ba4d3… |
| 06-24 03:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xf440d8… |
| 06-24 03:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xf440d8… |
| 06-23 22:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x2b473a… |
| 06-23 22:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x2b473a… |
| 06-23 21:48:43 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x2e53e3… |
| 06-23 21:48:43 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x2e53e3… |
| 06-23 21:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x702be8… |
| 06-23 21:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x702be8… |
| 06-23 19:53:29 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc11738… |
| 06-23 19:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc11738… |
| 06-23 18:52:17 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x7d09e3… |
| 06-23 18:52:17 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x7d09e3… |
| 06-23 18:52:16 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc47378… |
| 06-23 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc47378… |
| 06-23 15:48:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xfa9b76… |
| 06-23 15:48:29 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xfa9b76… |
| 06-23 15:48:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x358d87… |
| 06-23 15:48:28 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x358d87… |
| 06-23 14:46:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x959618… |
| 06-23 14:46:37 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x959618… |
| 06-23 14:46:35 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7c065f… |
| 06-23 14:46:35 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7c065f… |
| 06-23 13:44:37 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x511c35… |
| 06-23 13:44:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x511c35… |
| 06-23 13:44:37 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x511c35… |
| 06-23 13:44:34 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x08de66… |
| 06-23 13:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x08de66… |
| 06-23 05:32:07 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xe1077f… |
| 06-23 05:32:07 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0xe1077f… |
| 06-22 06:12:46 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x40c3d8… |
| 06-22 06:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x40c3d8… |
| 06-22 06:12:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x582f76… |
| 06-22 06:12:43 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x582f76… |
| 06-18 20:21:13 | Questionable-Election 0x01d5…1300 | No | SELL | 11 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x1aaca0… |
| 06-18 20:21:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x1aaca0… |
| 06-11 17:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x1a35…8799 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xf54380… |
| 06-11 17:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xf54380… |