Ready-Jungle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$318

Unrealized P&L

+$53

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

758

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$1.50K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-04 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% -$36

Tech

37% 20% -$234

Politics

4% 57% -$13

Sports

2% 0% -$17

Crypto

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+900	$712	92¢	$832	+$121	11-03 10:33
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	+490	$465	96¢	$468	+$3	11-04 15:32
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	+187	$150	96¢	$179	+$29	11-04 15:44
Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	+736	$114	2¢	$18	-$96	11-03 08:58
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	+5	$4	4¢	$0	-$4	11-03 04:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?	116	$3.0K	4,531	2,281	+2,250	open	—	10-23 00:56
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	28	$2.4K	1,464	1,464	+0	open	—	11-03 06:22
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	49	$1.9K	1,398	933	+465	open	—	11-04 03:23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	32	$1.8K	1,204	1,204	+0	open	—	11-03 01:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	10	$1.5K	1,400	500	+900	open	—	11-03 10:33
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	30	$1.1K	912	417	+495	open	—	11-04 15:32
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	45	$873	582	582	+0	open	—	10-21 16:31
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?	28	$856	86	1,010	-924	open	—	08-03 03:56
Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?	14	$826	580	449	+130	open	—	10-01 15:21
Japan recession in 2026?	37	$778	533	533	+0	open	—	08-03 08:58
US recession by end of 2027?	22	$679	484	484	+0	open	—	09-06 02:52
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	7	$678	441	441	-0	open	—	09-22 01:12
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	19	$520	426	426	+0	open	—	11-03 01:49
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	22	$507	700	200	+500	Yes	+$17	10-30 01:25
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	11	$467	310	310	+0	open	—	09-05 03:11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	9	$440	284	284	+0	open	—	09-05 16:23
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?	14	$416	244	244	+0	open	—	10-13 13:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	6	$408	267	267	+0	open	—	07-07 11:41
transgender women be banned from the olympics before winter games	14	$372	89	361	-273	No	-$17	01-24 15:25
OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?	9	$342	195	195	+0	open	—	09-26 04:22
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?	10	$321	186	186	+0	open	—	09-26 04:21
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	12	$271	228	228	+0	open	—	09-19 03:31
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?	20	$266	2,615	2,615	+0	Anthropic + OpenAI	-$107	06-22 15:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	11	$243	205	205	+0	open	—	06-01 09:00
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?	6	$208	126	126	+0	open	—	06-11 04:47
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?	3	$194	121	121	-0	Yes	+$12	09-09 15:39
UK Recession in 2026?	4	$177	122	122	+0	open	—	07-06 04:14
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?	8	$177	133	133	+0	open	—	09-20 17:00
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?	5	$154	123	123	+0	open	—	09-22 00:52
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	8	$150	187	0	+187	open	—	11-04 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:44:21	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xe8f1eb…
11-04 15:44:21	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0xd24a12…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x88dddf…
11-04 15:32:04	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	220	87¢	$192	0xbdf429…
11-04 03:23:30	OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	Meta	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x12913f…
11-04 01:06:52	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2d9a9e…
11-04 01:06:46	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xbc2f73…
11-04 01:06:43	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa5f569…
11-04 01:06:42	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x86b5b8…
11-04 01:06:37	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x09b16a…
11-03 10:33:16	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xb0f8e3…
11-03 10:18:07	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xe36307…
11-03 09:57:19	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x8c5e32…
11-03 09:15:21	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x03515f…
11-03 09:15:18	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x3e06cf…
11-03 09:00:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0xdd9bbb…
11-03 08:58:30	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa8ae37…
11-03 08:58:27	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd4167f…
11-03 08:42:33	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0x8e583d…
11-03 08:42:33	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x2fc166…
11-03 08:11:57	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	247	14¢	$35	0xf95c7c…
11-03 07:51:40	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3b282b…
11-03 07:51:13	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x74bfdd…
11-03 07:51:12	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	201	14¢	$28	0xa95365…
11-03 06:22:58	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	300	81¢	$244	0x416fa8…
11-03 06:22:58	Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0edaba…
11-03 06:03:07	Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd0e9da…
11-03 06:01:27	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	367	79¢	$290	0x079834…
11-03 06:00:30	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x81a966…
11-03 06:00:27	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	500	77¢	$385	0x9cfe6c…
11-03 06:00:03	Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0x0433c0…
11-03 05:38:03	Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd57e29…
11-03 05:15:19	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	275	84¢	$231	0x16827b…
11-03 04:48:22	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0938e7…
11-03 04:48:03	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xb69b29…
11-03 04:47:52	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x51a245…
11-03 04:35:16	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x81dd95…
11-03 04:34:45	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3ae553…
11-03 03:25:03	OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	Meta	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x9756c0…
11-03 03:19:34	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xceb397…
11-03 03:14:22	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x30f13c…
11-03 03:14:21	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x6360de…
11-03 03:05:18	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa227a0…
11-03 03:04:18	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xf3bb99…
11-03 03:04:13	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x436308…
11-03 03:03:57	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x500ba3…
11-03 03:03:49	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb651d2…
11-03 03:03:25	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xfe274f…
11-03 02:56:55	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9cd605…
11-03 02:53:52	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe209c4…
11-03 02:53:22	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc0bcbc…
11-03 02:51:52	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe119a2…
11-03 02:51:40	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x99dd05…
11-03 02:46:46	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeff6db…
11-03 02:46:27	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x3238e0…
11-03 02:44:54	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa12c48…
11-03 02:43:04	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x3ce408…
11-03 02:41:09	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x3b2eba…
11-03 02:41:07	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x499897…
11-03 02:40:22	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1d0bca…
11-03 02:40:10	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0x7298f1…
11-03 02:31:09	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x8273b2…
11-03 02:30:57	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xd038af…
11-03 02:28:40	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe7c6cc…
11-03 02:02:40	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x1bdf6f…
11-03 02:01:18	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xfeb86c…
11-03 02:00:24	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf2da34…
11-03 01:59:37	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0x5e3b2c…
11-03 01:58:12	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0xc2aaa2…
11-03 01:57:15	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x3e254d…
11-03 01:55:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0xb2c05c…
11-03 01:49:57	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe0d4db…
11-03 01:49:37	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x64e338…
11-03 01:49:18	Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	81¢	$186	0xb9e405…
11-03 01:47:03	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x77b6f4…
11-03 01:46:34	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	SELL	77	91¢	$70	0x458f67…
11-03 01:45:45	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x4646b3…
11-03 01:44:33	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x8581b0…
11-03 01:44:18	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x6f78de…
11-03 01:43:13	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x6fa5a8…
11-03 01:43:13	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	90	85¢	$76	0x52c955…
11-03 01:42:49	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xa6c84a…
11-03 01:42:21	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x3bdb5e…
11-03 01:42:10	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x11b3a1…
11-03 01:41:57	Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa7c12e…
11-01 14:26:12	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x4b952c…
11-01 07:44:57	OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	Meta	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8bcc6a…
10-31 09:13:58	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x7a4cc5…
10-30 01:25:22	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x36855c…
10-30 01:25:21	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x8c3bd2…
10-30 01:05:22	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xb228f0…
10-30 01:05:06	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x0bd9b0…
10-30 01:04:42	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xcaed3f…
10-30 01:04:03	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0xe06a6e…
10-30 01:04:03	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xa67ae8…
10-29 21:25:25	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x3e157c…
10-29 01:07:40	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0xb64544…
10-29 01:07:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x26a0fa…
10-28 00:47:38	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x9af8bd…
10-28 00:46:50	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1e590c…