Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
216
lifetime
Volume
$6.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$632
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 07-12 17:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Other
26%
Tech
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +130 $104 88¢ $114 +$10 06-09 11:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +123 $94 86¢ $106 +$12 06-24 00:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +94 $63 78¢ $73 +$10 06-22 16:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +88 $46 66¢ $59 +$13 06-30 11:10
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +65 $52 84¢ $54 +$2 06-22 22:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +60 $49 86¢ $51 +$2 07-01 11:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +50 $24 70¢ $35 +$11 06-26 19:19
UK Recession in 2026? No +43 $30 80¢ $35 +$5 05-31 20:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +50 $41 52¢ $26 $-15 06-28 08:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +31 $18 64¢ $20 +$2 07-08 13:58
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? No -20 $-17 89¢ $-18 $-1 07-05 07:31
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +44 $26 32¢ $14 $-12 07-02 21:35
SPLC found guilty in 2026? No +20 $-2 50¢ $10 +$12 07-08 19:23
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +33 $16 29¢ $9 $-6 06-27 14:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $7 22¢ $7 +$0 07-03 21:45