Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$6.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$614
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 07-03 16:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
27%
Tech
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +130 $104 88¢ $114 +$10 06-09 11:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +123 $94 84¢ $103 +$8 06-24 00:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +94 $63 70¢ $66 +$3 06-22 16:41
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +65 $52 84¢ $55 +$3 06-22 22:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +88 $46 60¢ $53 +$8 06-30 11:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +60 $49 86¢ $51 +$2 07-01 11:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +50 $41 82¢ $41 +$0 06-28 08:52
UK Recession in 2026? No +43 $30 72¢ $32 +$2 05-31 20:42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +50 $24 60¢ $30 +$6 06-26 19:19
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +44 $26 57¢ $25 $-0 07-02 21:35
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +33 $16 52¢ $17 +$2 06-27 14:00
SPLC found guilty in 2026? No +26 $2 42¢ $11 +$9 06-17 16:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 60¢ $10 +$0 07-03 16:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $7 20¢ $6 $-0 07-03 21:45