Realized P&L
-$209
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
14
Trades
12,593
lifetime
Volume
$439.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 11:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
69% 60% $-204
Other
28% 75% $-6
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -2,404 $-1,496 63¢ $-1514 $-19 07-21 04:48
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -406 $-219 64¢ $-260 $-41 07-21 11:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +254 $161 70¢ $179 +$19 07-20 23:23
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No -97 $-81 91¢ $-89 $-8 06-17 04:22
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -100 $-78 84¢ $-84 $-6 06-06 05:14
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +89 $82 92¢ $82 $-0 07-12 11:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +85 $74 88¢ $74 +$0 07-10 19:58
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No -85 $-57 76¢ $-64 $-7 05-29 16:08
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -88 $-64 67¢ $-59 +$5 06-05 04:55
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? Yes +60 $53 95¢ $57 +$3 07-15 22:29
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +60 $38 82¢ $49 +$11 07-15 22:56
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -58 $-44 80¢ $-46 $-2 05-30 19:10
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No -50 $-38 88¢ $-44 $-6 06-05 22:47
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -58 $-42 70¢ $-40 +$2 07-16 00:40
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? No -42 $-38 94¢ $-40 $-2 06-05 04:54
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No -42 $-34 94¢ $-39 $-5 06-18 10:43
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -50 $-40 78¢ $-39 +$2 07-16 17:15
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No -52 $-31 54¢ $-28 +$3 06-17 04:19
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +350 $37 $26 $-11 07-15 03:25
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No -24 $-19 90¢ $-22 $-3 07-05 02:57
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 86¢ $17 $-0 07-20 04:14
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -20 $-18 79¢ $-16 +$3 07-21 06:02
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +14 $12 93¢ $13 +$1 07-19 15:56
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -20 $-16 66¢ $-13 +$3 07-19 03:51
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $11 30¢ $11 $-0 07-21 14:44
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? No -12 $-10 93¢ $-11 $-1 06-04 13:38
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -13 $-10 84¢ $-11 $-0 07-04 10:52
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-11 $-1 06-19 05:58
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No -18 $-9 55¢ $-10 $-0 06-15 06:13
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 16:25