Realized P&L
-$209
Unrealized P&L
-$155
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
14
Trades
12,272
lifetime
Volume
$426.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$3.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
70% 60% $-204
Other
27% 75% $-6
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -831 $-808 99¢ $-826 $-18 06-17 14:25
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,226 $-670 58¢ $-711 $-41 07-01 06:13
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -501 $-478 99¢ $-496 $-18 06-30 03:57
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -289 $-145 58¢ $-169 $-23 06-29 16:13
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -139 $-123 99¢ $-138 $-15 06-11 11:39
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No +126 $124 100¢ $125 +$2 06-30 16:09
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -140 $-114 80¢ $-111 +$3 06-17 17:53
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No -97 $-81 88¢ $-85 $-4 06-17 04:22
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -100 $-78 84¢ $-84 $-6 06-06 05:14
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No -85 $-57 79¢ $-67 $-9 05-29 16:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -100 $-36 58¢ $-59 $-23 06-28 15:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +100 $57 56¢ $56 $-0 06-28 19:06
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -88 $-64 57¢ $-51 +$14 06-05 04:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -50 $-52 100¢ $-50 +$2 06-24 18:00
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -58 $-44 80¢ $-46 $-2 05-30 19:10
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? No +50 $43 86¢ $43 +$0 06-29 00:33
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No -50 $-38 77¢ $-38 $-0 06-05 22:47
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? No -42 $-38 89¢ $-37 +$0 06-05 04:54
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No -42 $-34 88¢ $-37 $-2 06-18 10:43
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No -52 $-31 64¢ $-33 $-3 06-17 04:19
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -28 $-13 99¢ $-27 $-14 06-11 23:10
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? No -45 $-9 34¢ $-15 $-7 05-27 21:32
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +100 $17 14¢ $13 $-3 06-20 02:16
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +20 $14 62¢ $12 $-1 06-24 11:14
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No -40 $-28 31¢ $-12 +$15 06-02 05:07
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No -18 $-9 58¢ $-10 $-1 06-15 06:13
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? No -11 $-10 88¢ $-10 $-0 06-19 05:58
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? No -12 $-10 87¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 13:38
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 +$0 06-01 16:25
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 +$0 06-26 13:24