Realized P&L
-$209
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
14
Trades
11,864
lifetime
Volume
$411.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.06K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
73% 60% $-204
Other
25% 75% $-6
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +298 $256 91¢ $272 +$16 06-09 14:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +124 $105 94¢ $116 +$12 06-08 21:11
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -124 $-109 89¢ $-110 $-1 06-09 18:11
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -100 $-78 76¢ $-76 +$2 06-06 05:14
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -88 $-64 68¢ $-59 +$5 06-05 04:55
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No -85 $-57 64¢ $-54 +$3 05-29 16:08
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -58 $-44 80¢ $-46 $-2 05-30 19:10
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -97 $-34 44¢ $-43 $-8 06-07 15:50
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No -50 $-38 80¢ $-40 $-1 06-05 22:47
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? No -42 $-38 90¢ $-38 $-0 06-05 04:54
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -40 $-32 82¢ $-32 $-0 05-29 06:30
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No -40 $-28 65¢ $-26 +$2 06-02 05:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -48 $-23 44¢ $-21 +$2 06-09 10:38
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No +86 $16 19¢ $17 +$1 06-09 17:12
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? No -238 $-71 $-17 +$54 05-30 17:09
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No -21 $-17 77¢ $-16 +$1 05-28 06:59
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-10 61¢ $-12 $-3 06-02 14:04
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? No -45 $-9 23¢ $-10 $-2 05-27 21:32
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 13:38
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 +$0 06-01 16:25
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +8 $6 80¢ $7 +$0 06-09 01:21
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -10 $-6 64¢ $-6 $-1 05-29 05:39
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 +$0 06-02 14:38
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No -10 $-5 52¢ $-5 +$0 06-08 19:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -10 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 19:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 00:49
Hailey Bieber pregnant in 2026? No -2 $-1 72¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 16:49
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 06:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -1 $-1 73¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 01:05