Shameless-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

13,415

lifetime

Volume

$479.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

65% 60% $-204

Other

32% 75% $-6

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	432	$35.2K	19,105	16,696	+2,408	open	—	02-21 03:31
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	635	$27.9K	14,168	16,776	-2,607	open	—	02-28 06:40
will the us next strike iran on february 17 2026 et	217	$23.9K	12,704	11,350	+1,354	open	—	02-17 22:45
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	294	$21.5K	12,172	12,714	-541	open	—	02-22 03:00
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	358	$20.6K	12,155	13,286	-1,131	open	—	02-22 08:30
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	193	$15.2K	9,777	6,786	+2,991	open	—	03-08 21:39
Kash Patel out by December 31?	167	$12.1K	5,629	12,893	-7,264	open	—	08-10 15:41
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	280	$10.9K	6,069	5,146	+923	open	—	02-20 08:43
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	66	$8.9K	4,844	4,174	+669	open	—	02-20 03:57
Kash Patel out by May 31?	147	$8.7K	5,876	4,876	+1,000	open	—	05-29 17:33
Kash Patel out by April 30?	236	$8.0K	4,199	5,136	-937	open	—	05-01 02:05
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	187	$7.4K	3,789	3,858	-68	open	—	02-28 03:44
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	111	$6.6K	3,109	3,751	-642	open	—	02-27 02:24
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	135	$5.8K	3,100	3,975	-875	open	—	02-28 05:29
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	102	$5.7K	2,833	3,092	-259	open	—	03-08 05:02
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	153	$5.1K	2,928	2,277	+651	open	—	02-16 07:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	43	$4.8K	2,335	2,542	-206	open	—	04-01 13:15
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	152	$4.6K	3,220	2,909	+311	open	—	03-08 22:05
will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	161	$4.6K	2,315	2,431	-116	open	—	02-28 07:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	55	$4.3K	2,060	2,460	-400	open	—	07-31 11:36
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	55	$4.3K	2,711	2,233	+479	open	—	03-05 04:20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	100	$4.2K	9,107	6,048	+3,058	open	—	02-28 06:25
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	42	$4.1K	2,212	2,277	-65	open	—	03-31 22:17
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	63	$4.0K	2,293	2,302	-9	open	—	03-06 05:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	21	$4.0K	2,131	2,131	+0	open	—	03-25 14:59
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	27	$3.6K	2,090	1,531	+560	open	—	02-19 06:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	37	$3.5K	1,901	2,183	-282	open	—	08-10 11:32
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	48	$3.5K	1,812	1,864	-52	open	—	03-26 01:50
Kash Patel out by June 30?	50	$3.3K	1,556	2,050	-494	open	—	06-30 03:57
will the us next strike iran during the week of february 22 28 2026 et	58	$3.2K	1,753	1,633	+120	open	—	02-28 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:59:39	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd60b46…
08-11 06:58:40	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	34	63¢	$21	0x2be3ca…
08-11 02:56:03	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x9437bc…
08-11 02:05:34	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x75591d…
08-11 02:05:27	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x7a8266…
08-11 02:04:43	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0x13f287…
08-11 01:28:21	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x45ef9a…
08-10 22:05:12	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xebeb9c…
08-10 21:58:19	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc5284c…
08-10 21:58:18	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xcf60ab…
08-10 21:28:57	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x6ee766…
08-10 21:27:25	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2c736e…
08-10 20:19:39	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9a6a8b…
08-10 20:14:39	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0x14baf8…
08-10 17:06:34	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x52e1a1…
08-10 16:14:40	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x9c51a7…
08-10 15:41:01	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	99	73¢	$72	0xd91a35…
08-10 15:35:25	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x1a3dd6…
08-10 15:29:31	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf3830e…
08-10 14:44:57	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x350f63…
08-10 11:32:09	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	82	89¢	$73	0x6cb212…
08-10 10:02:09	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x44fe15…
08-10 09:00:31	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xb8610d…
08-10 09:00:31	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x584dff…
08-10 07:04:43	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x0633b7…
08-10 06:13:07	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x95ec60…
08-10 05:27:03	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf17565…
08-10 05:17:27	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x6e8da6…
08-10 04:37:22	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x5acab5…
08-10 04:14:22	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x0b62df…
08-10 01:53:00	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x89a996…
08-10 01:50:36	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xe31e37…
08-10 01:23:28	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xf69220…
08-10 01:22:52	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5c8f7f…
08-10 00:39:00	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x621041…
08-09 23:50:12	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe8e819…
08-09 23:41:58	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x56c02e…
08-09 23:09:00	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x3a0cb6…
08-09 22:38:49	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xa66b7d…
08-09 22:30:18	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x612d06…
08-09 22:11:31	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	89	71¢	$63	0xbaab42…
08-09 22:03:28	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x4f03bb…
08-09 21:48:31	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x4c9fec…
08-09 20:48:06	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x58529d…
08-09 20:34:10	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x7b8adf…
08-09 19:45:33	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x120e5f…
08-09 19:32:01	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x093d46…
08-09 19:15:21	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	140	87¢	$122	0x3e42d3…
08-09 19:14:39	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x654bd0…
08-09 19:14:37	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x73ce44…
08-09 19:00:33	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xa322f1…
08-09 18:55:06	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0x1efffb…
08-09 18:48:01	will trump say six seven this week 20260731171342118	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xad4cd3…
08-09 15:51:49	Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x6fc8d9…
08-09 15:49:21	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	84	90¢	$75	0x57d700…
08-09 13:27:27	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x6224bc…
08-09 13:24:04	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xcf679a…
08-09 13:24:03	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xdc3d38…
08-09 13:24:03	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x96b27b…
08-09 13:24:03	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x4d796c…
08-09 13:24:01	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xce901a…
08-09 13:24:00	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xe01efa…
08-09 13:24:00	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc7461e…
08-09 13:20:25	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xbe8be7…
08-09 12:46:06	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by december 31 20260728192331169	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xd10ec9…
08-09 11:15:00	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x034221…
08-09 08:57:04	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xe7ca56…
08-09 08:56:42	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xb22db6…
08-09 07:33:18	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0xc2010a…
08-09 07:33:15	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	55	78¢	$43	0x97dc32…
08-09 05:01:45	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x83d0b7…
08-09 01:39:03	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xe25e5b…
08-09 01:15:42	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xac8072…
08-09 00:50:39	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x9d126c…
08-08 23:12:06	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0x5432b1…
08-08 22:58:36	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x8e31ac…
08-08 22:58:36	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x04de3f…
08-08 22:01:10	kash patel out by august 31 20260728185834458	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcd423b…
08-08 21:43:06	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x437192…
08-08 20:07:03	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by december 31 20260728192331169	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x9c1753…
08-08 19:26:16	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xd1bca4…
08-08 19:26:00	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x5560cc…
08-08 19:25:51	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x70abae…
08-08 19:24:18	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xf174db…
08-08 19:24:18	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x1c2911…
08-08 19:24:10	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xa034e7…
08-08 19:13:37	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x3336a8…
08-08 18:06:22	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x33399c…
08-08 17:17:55	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x3237a2…
08-08 17:17:40	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x5580db…
08-08 17:16:43	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xd53a2c…
08-08 17:16:43	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0x979e37…
08-08 16:42:58	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x995625…
08-08 15:52:31	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xb8116e…
08-08 14:11:22	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x2dc848…
08-08 14:06:12	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xde15b9…
08-08 13:35:58	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x2af142…
08-08 13:23:33	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	340	96¢	$327	0x27f21e…
08-08 13:08:40	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x9ddbed…
08-08 09:26:07	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x0a537f…