Obvious-Warming 0x34284b…7eb226
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
80.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,514
lifetime
Volume
$6.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$61
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 06-10 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
95% — —
Other
2% 100% +$1
Politics
2% 50% $-1
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 1469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -18 $-12 80¢ $-14 $-2 05-30 14:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $4 42¢ $5 +$1 06-02 05:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 05-30 14:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -10 $-5 52¢ $-5 +$0 05-30 14:24
Trump out as President by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-06 00:27
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-10 15:11
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-04 17:05
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 05-30 14:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 06-01 22:48
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-07 00:18
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-07 00:07
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-10 15:44
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:32
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 14:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 14:26
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 08:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 14:26
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-05 11:01
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-06 00:17
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes +2 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 06-02 15:30
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 14:26
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-04 22:46