Prime-Centurion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$854

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

300

Trades

2,579

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$444

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-23 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

78% 26% -$4,750

Crypto

10% 30% -$207

Politics

8% 35% +$196

Sports

4% 67% +$100

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	+828	$398	26¢	$215	-$183	09-30 03:23
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	Yes	+765	$250	11¢	$80	-$170	09-06 23:45
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Yes	+255	$97	16¢	$42	-$55	09-04 07:52
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$126	18¢	$36	-$90	09-10 15:39
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+174	$58	14¢	$23	-$35	05-24 19:00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+150	$30	11¢	$16	-$14	07-22 04:15
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+150	$45	8¢	$13	-$32	05-25 07:21
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	Yes	+160	$17	8¢	$12	-$5	07-02 09:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+82	$270	4¢	$4	-$266	10-21 17:23
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+29	$6	7¢	$2	-$4	10-23 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	6	$2.4K	960	1,850	-890	Yes	+$146	08-02 21:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	23	$1.4K	1,996	63	+1,934	Yes	+$659	08-12 19:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.0K	638	600	+38	Yes	+$46	05-01 03:13
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	10	$1.0K	800	800	+0	No	+$476	09-27 13:53
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	22	$874	742	742	+0	No	-$90	02-08 11:59
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	22	$835	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	10-05 17:18
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	19	$721	690	690	+0	No	+$29	02-10 17:41
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	19	$697	1,498	0	+1,498	No	-$697	03-06 00:27
Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	13	$676	1,304	51	+1,253	open	—	09-19 21:04
will russia enter rizdvianka by march 31 2026	3	$670	500	500	+0	Yes	+$330	03-04 20:32
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	6	$637	965	0	+965	No	-$637	04-26 04:37
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	21	$570	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$430	08-04 15:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	8	$567	1,142	642	+500	No	-$9	03-01 05:05
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	5	$560	1,108	0	+1,108	No	-$560	02-27 15:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	11	$528	1,808	0	+1,808	No	-$528	04-05 19:03
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	28	$527	1,009	200	+809	No	-$563	03-09 10:08
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	14	$520	500	500	+0	open	—	09-29 12:09
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	4	$511	770	0	+770	No	-$441	04-26 05:21
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	16	$496	1,462	0	+1,462	No	-$496	03-09 09:58
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	9	$495	800	0	+800	Yes	+$305	02-18 00:20
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	3	$487	500	0	+500	No	+$13	02-28 15:12
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	13	$485	1,173	0	+1,173	Yes	+$688	03-05 18:47
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	9	$481	700	500	+200	Yes	-$341	03-13 02:21
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$455	2,066	0	+2,066	open	—	09-08 02:07
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	32	$446	500	0	+500	No	+$53	02-08 05:49
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	10	$441	1,713	0	+1,713	Yes	+$1,272	02-17 14:35
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	3	$411	1,300	0	+1,300	No	-$411	02-17 15:00
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	7	$398	828	0	+828	open	—	09-30 03:23
Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?	9	$397	1,101	49	+1,052	No	-$352	09-11 04:37
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$384	336	336	+0	Yes	+$67	02-22 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:41:21	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	12¢	$28	0xf4b9db…
10-23 09:31:06	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	13¢	$34	0x2deae8…
10-21 17:23:00	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xde2358…
10-21 17:22:30	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x1e91d5…
10-21 17:22:00	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x975033…
10-21 17:21:30	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x699273…
10-21 16:20:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x4c8c11…
10-21 16:20:29	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x5d799d…
10-21 16:19:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x84904b…
10-21 16:19:29	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x606560…
10-21 16:18:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x23cae0…
10-21 16:18:27	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x484dea…
10-21 16:17:57	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x6cf217…
10-21 08:10:50	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x96a2da…
10-21 08:00:35	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xe83ee2…
10-18 17:41:45	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xdfaad6…
10-18 13:15:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	1¢	$16	0x0f5417…
10-08 18:03:38	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,588	0¢	$3	0x15d793…
10-05 23:29:50	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0x6080c8…
10-05 17:18:34	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	651	42¢	$274	0x230c8c…
10-05 16:01:40	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x032635…
10-05 11:07:19	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0x457135…
10-05 11:07:17	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	20¢	$26	0x554866…
10-05 11:02:10	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x749b27…
10-05 00:39:37	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	42¢	$33	0xa32b5b…
10-04 11:12:23	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xa1f46b…
10-03 13:58:12	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa4d936…
10-03 13:57:56	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5cb7e3…
10-03 13:57:47	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x7680ca…
10-02 19:34:24	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xae3210…
10-01 12:23:03	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x3a33de…
10-01 12:19:27	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0x5df8aa…
10-01 12:13:17	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x0bc64d…
10-01 12:03:14	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xed2894…
10-01 11:48:12	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x9b86d4…
10-01 11:36:47	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x0fa882…
10-01 11:31:47	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x22e002…
10-01 08:53:57	Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	980	33¢	$323	0x5597e4…
10-01 00:51:03	Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdce70f…
09-30 23:59:24	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x6a39d9…
09-30 23:59:24	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x62ef20…
09-30 23:59:24	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	0¢	$0	0x35b799…
09-30 23:58:41	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb4a1af…
09-30 18:52:03	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	62¢	$198	0x4d6c01…
09-30 18:48:47	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe8dab2…
09-30 03:23:50	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	318	53¢	$169	0xfc6976…
09-30 02:31:17	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x99dad4…
09-30 02:19:18	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xe7a420…
09-29 20:19:45	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x5c46ee…
09-29 18:25:41	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x69fc5e…
09-29 12:09:03	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	119	65¢	$77	0x80245c…
09-29 01:41:21	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x13bf89…
09-28 17:11:05	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6335ba…
09-28 15:52:11	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	15¢	$71	0x124691…
09-28 15:51:51	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	14¢	$21	0xe2a284…
09-28 15:51:38	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x080909…
09-28 07:11:12	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x5ea099…
09-28 07:09:36	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xfc3657…
09-28 06:49:26	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x409cd1…
09-28 06:46:41	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x07cff4…
09-28 06:16:42	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x9ce6f1…
09-28 06:09:47	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x01525c…
09-28 06:05:23	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xc676cf…
09-28 05:58:36	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcbef3b…
09-28 05:03:39	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xe5771b…
09-28 04:45:42	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	251	65¢	$163	0x3f235d…
09-27 18:21:12	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x288e0c…
09-27 18:21:11	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcd9f41…
09-27 18:21:11	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x112ebf…
09-27 18:21:09	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7f2286…
09-27 18:21:09	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	742	0¢	$1	0x337c3e…
09-27 18:18:32	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x1ef4b3…
09-27 13:53:42	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	172	94¢	$161	0x8292ff…
09-27 12:31:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xb33753…
09-27 11:38:45	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x2988aa…
09-27 11:22:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	419	94¢	$392	0x49853d…
09-27 08:17:51	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xe28d37…
09-27 06:01:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x9846dc…
09-27 05:56:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x76655f…
09-27 05:52:47	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x760fbd…
09-27 05:29:56	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x474245…
09-26 18:25:26	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	24¢	$240	0x929be3…
09-19 21:04:47	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x373fd7…
09-17 13:21:07	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	1¢	$2	0xec79bc…
09-17 13:21:07	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe12830…
09-17 13:21:07	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc8488b…
09-17 13:20:48	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x58698d…
09-17 13:20:48	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x03157b…
09-17 13:20:46	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0xd4933b…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfb6dce…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xe9b409…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd7d739…
09-17 13:20:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xa1af7f…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x88a8d3…
09-17 13:20:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x79f48d…
09-17 13:20:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x790460…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x653278…
09-17 13:20:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x560048…
09-17 13:20:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3d9740…
09-17 13:20:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x09d591…