Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
93
Trades
239
lifetime
Volume
$757
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$31
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 08-16 00:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
65% 48% -$111
Crypto
25% 67% +$147
Politics
5% 100% +$6
Sports
4% 88% +$20
Tech
1% 0% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -245 -$3 2¢ $-4 -$1 04-29 08:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -48 -$2 5¢ $-3 -$1 04-29 08:02
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -181 -$2 1¢ $-2 -$1 04-29 08:02
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +142 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 04-30 05:29
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +60 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 07-19 11:33
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes -188 -$2 1¢ $-2 +$1 04-29 08:02
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes +52 $1 3¢ $2 +$0 06-29 12:44
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +89 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 07-26 20:45
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -286 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 04-29 08:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes -86 $0 1¢ $-1 -$1 04-29 08:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 06-20 23:21
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -572 -$7 0¢ $-1 +$7 05-07 21:32
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -153 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 04-29 08:02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-04 01:16
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes -101 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 04-29 08:02
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -491 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$1 04-30 12:37
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -86 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 04-29 08:02
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -381 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 04-29 08:02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes -100 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$1 04-29 08:02
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes -133 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 04-29 08:04
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -333 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 08:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes -285 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 08:03
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +23 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-05 01:44
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes -125 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 04-29 08:03
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +13 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-24 23:03
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -166 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 08:02
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes -14 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 04-29 08:03
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-11 20:17
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$1 05-24 07:07
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -142 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 08:03