Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
open
Total volume
$659
Trades
15
Unique wallets
5
Liquidity
$1,019
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-10-01
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 09:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $630 | — | +$630 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $181 | — | +$181 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $65 | — | +$65 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $379 | — | +$379 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numb-Timber 0xb70d…253a | Yes | +159 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 05-10 09:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:23:29 | (anonymous) 0xfcd3…104c | Yes | SELL | 801 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x370812… |
| 05-10 09:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x7a22…2423 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x709e34… |
| 05-10 09:23:27 | Married-Netbook 0xae2e…40ad | Yes | SELL | 2,117 | 1¢ | $21 | 0xe9f0be… |
| 05-10 09:21:53 | Married-Netbook 0xae2e…40ad | Yes | BUY | 304 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x6ebeaa… |
| 05-10 09:15:01 | Numb-Timber 0xb70d…253a | Yes | BUY | 121 | 39¢ | $47 | 0x69faf4… |
| 05-10 09:15:00 | Married-Netbook 0xae2e…40ad | Yes | BUY | 774 | 39¢ | $302 | 0x02ef3e… |
| 05-10 09:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xfcd3…104c | Yes | BUY | 376 | 39¢ | $147 | 0xc057c2… |
| 05-10 09:13:29 | Numb-Timber 0xb70d…253a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xb59d83… |
| 05-10 09:13:27 | (anonymous) 0xfcd3…104c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0x740b45… |
| 05-10 09:13:27 | Married-Netbook 0xae2e…40ad | Yes | BUY | 103 | 46¢ | $47 | 0xdf8d41… |
| 05-10 09:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x7a22…2423 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x4a976a… |
| 05-10 09:13:16 | Numb-Timber 0xb70d…253a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 46¢ | $6 | 0x9a5dc5… |
| 05-10 09:13:15 | Married-Netbook 0xae2e…40ad | Yes | BUY | 51 | 46¢ | $24 | 0x40b2c6… |
| 05-10 09:13:15 | (anonymous) 0xfcd3…104c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x586142… |
| 05-07 18:51:38 | Considerate-Label 0x8db4…9c07 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x960524… |