Considerate-Label 0x8db4f2…479c07
whale bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.28K
Hit rate
34.2%
Resolved
8,763
Trades
47,095
lifetime
Volume
$484.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$4.89K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 15:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 268 days
Categories
Other
45% 80% -$4,037
Politics
31% 84% -$400
Sports
14% 88% +$24
Tech
9% 73% -$670
Pop-Culture
1% 86% -$91
Crypto
0% 77% -$116
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -478 -$402 94¢ $-451 -$49 07-17 05:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -456 -$282 97¢ $-442 -$161 07-27 17:27
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -350 -$208 98¢ $-343 -$135 07-18 17:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -500 -$309 57¢ $-287 +$22 07-13 02:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -400 -$160 72¢ $-286 -$126 06-30 13:11
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -276 -$121 94¢ $-260 -$139 07-06 13:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -300 -$132 70¢ $-211 -$79 07-02 19:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -500 -$82 42¢ $-210 -$128 07-29 23:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -225 -$143 86¢ $-192 -$50 07-25 15:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -400 -$162 42¢ $-170 -$8 07-09 23:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -220 -$98 70¢ $-155 -$57 07-17 17:54
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -150 -$88 100¢ $-150 -$61 07-26 14:26
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -260 -$213 54¢ $-139 +$74 07-08 12:56
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -155 -$40 89¢ $-138 -$98 07-04 09:14
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -180 -$104 64¢ $-116 -$12 07-16 19:00
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -260 -$34 44¢ $-115 -$81 07-10 14:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -400 -$225 29¢ $-114 +$111 07-16 19:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -152 -$116 70¢ $-107 +$9 07-30 14:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -150 -$63 66¢ $-99 -$36 07-15 18:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -300 -$56 33¢ $-99 -$43 07-25 18:39
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -100 -$28 97¢ $-97 -$70 07-24 12:01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -100 -$91 94¢ $-94 -$3 07-08 05:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -100 -$61 91¢ $-91 -$30 06-30 00:22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -300 -$157 30¢ $-88 +$68 08-02 14:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -100 -$64 84¢ $-84 -$20 07-28 18:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes -100 -$18 80¢ $-80 -$62 07-26 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes -100 -$52 78¢ $-78 -$26 07-15 18:48
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -80 -$2 87¢ $-69 -$67 04-29 21:01
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -200 -$65 34¢ $-67 -$2 07-06 21:13
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes -100 -$35 54¢ $-54 -$19 07-09 17:26