Considerate-Label — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.1%

Resolved

Trades

15,286

lifetime

Volume

$214.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

42% 89% $-63

Politics

36% 87% $-17

Sports

13% 100% +$84

Tech

8% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 396 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	651	$22.9K	12,191	12,265	-74	open	—	03-04 18:39
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	226	$12.4K	9,494	9,441	+53	open	—	02-28 09:21
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	473	$7.1K	6,641	7,127	-486	open	—	03-16 00:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	74	$6.2K	2,574	5,774	-3,200	open	—	04-27 21:37
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	83	$6.2K	3,776	4,114	-337	open	—	03-04 03:25
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	62	$5.4K	2,717	2,917	-200	open	—	04-28 00:23
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	58	$5.1K	2,399	3,199	-800	open	—	02-19 06:22
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	62	$4.9K	2,832	3,379	-547	open	—	02-22 01:35
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	62	$4.7K	2,603	2,761	-158	open	—	02-12 19:25
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	82	$4.4K	2,855	4,105	-1,250	open	—	04-14 22:27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	75	$4.2K	2,754	3,154	-400	open	—	04-13 13:10
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	89	$3.6K	2,302	3,351	-1,049	open	—	04-28 03:55
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	97	$3.6K	2,093	2,384	-291	open	—	03-16 01:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	21	$3.2K	800	2,600	-1,800	open	—	04-14 15:39
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	113	$3.1K	1,404	2,090	-685	open	—	02-24 08:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	60	$2.9K	1,040	2,040	-1,000	Yes	$-48	04-14 18:40
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	50	$2.7K	1,717	1,817	-100	open	—	04-12 16:46
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	166	$2.6K	1,356	1,376	-20	open	—	02-21 21:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	19	$2.6K	0	2,800	-2,800	open	—	03-04 20:28
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	21	$2.6K	1,191	1,391	-200	open	—	02-16 14:44
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	58	$2.3K	1,655	2,133	-478	open	—	03-16 00:38
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	33	$2.2K	2,195	2,242	-48	open	—	03-10 13:09
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	25	$2.2K	1,033	1,633	-600	open	—	04-28 03:59
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	45	$2.0K	1,187	1,054	+133	open	—	02-05 21:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	50	$1.9K	1,675	2,075	-400	open	—	03-08 22:35
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	44	$1.8K	898	994	-96	open	—	02-05 08:44
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	77	$1.8K	2,436	2,434	+1	open	—	01-23 21:21
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	30	$1.8K	1,257	1,657	-400	open	—	02-07 16:42
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	41	$1.7K	1,115	1,392	-277	open	—	04-17 14:34
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	42	$1.7K	781	1,496	-715	open	—	03-16 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:17:46	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	42	50¢	$21	0xff4ba4…
06-30 18:15:19	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0x19b6ca…
04-28 09:31:14	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x0b4c30…
04-28 09:22:38	Will Susan Altman be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xfa46b4…
04-28 09:22:02	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x843563…
04-28 09:17:46	Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x49033f…
04-28 09:14:32	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xa54d92…
04-28 09:01:50	Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x48c274…
04-28 08:54:56	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf79267…
04-28 08:52:36	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x7541e8…
04-28 08:43:58	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6b3f45…
04-28 08:34:14	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xc45bbb…
04-28 08:20:30	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xc4c8c2…
04-28 08:10:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xf06039…
04-28 08:10:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x832b70…
04-28 08:10:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x75a914…
04-28 08:10:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x5bc2fa…
04-28 08:10:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x40d0e2…
04-28 08:00:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x8f81cf…
04-28 07:57:56	Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0xfe00c4…
04-28 07:46:56	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x3d6bb0…
04-28 07:40:10	Will Fnatic win LEC 2026 Spring?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x57150b…
04-28 07:39:16	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xe37fc3…
04-28 07:39:16	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x80dac7…
04-28 07:36:22	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x3062f4…
04-28 07:30:06	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x7ccb38…
04-28 07:30:02	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x6bc4a5…
04-28 07:29:48	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x4dd49e…
04-28 07:23:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x189b69…
04-28 07:21:54	Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3d8d75…
04-28 07:20:56	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0xfedf32…
04-28 07:05:30	Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0x8e5903…
04-28 07:04:28	Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x909387…
04-28 06:47:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x8bb53d…
04-28 06:40:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xf448a3…
04-28 06:39:54	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xea8c22…
04-28 06:37:50	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7ee650…
04-28 06:37:06	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa1080d…
04-28 06:37:06	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x78025b…
04-28 06:37:04	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7243b4…
04-28 06:37:02	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfe3ba3…
04-28 06:37:02	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x0beb6e…
04-28 06:36:56	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x025e77…
04-28 06:36:54	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe3c4b7…
04-28 06:36:48	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2de296…
04-28 06:36:48	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x23d5a9…
04-28 06:23:24	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xbe7c29…
04-28 06:23:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x41e080…
04-28 06:23:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x16d4c2…
04-28 06:23:06	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xbb900e…
04-28 06:12:34	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x98acb7…
04-28 06:06:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x89226d…
04-28 05:59:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xc1afca…
04-28 05:58:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	63¢	$47	0x518bc4…
04-28 05:57:44	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xbbceaf…
04-28 05:56:16	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	48	66¢	$32	0x834157…
04-28 05:55:40	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x1896ec…
04-28 05:55:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1f1d37…
04-28 05:39:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x16c9fb…
04-28 05:39:10	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xcee4e8…
04-28 05:38:58	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x783ba8…
04-28 05:37:42	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x0d781e…
04-28 05:34:52	Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdb24ee…
04-28 05:34:28	Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0x2e30e9…
04-28 05:33:26	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfd3914…
04-28 05:24:40	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xa6dd81…
04-28 05:24:12	Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?	Yes	SELL	33	41¢	$14	0xe48221…
04-28 05:21:14	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0xd3b425…
04-28 05:11:38	Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x415d7c…
04-28 04:58:46	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x3514c8…
04-28 04:42:06	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xd9fa4a…
04-28 04:37:18	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xd74fc0…
04-28 04:29:34	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xdd587b…
04-28 04:22:24	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x230ba8…
04-28 04:17:52	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x19de83…
04-28 04:09:26	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x475fca…
04-28 04:09:20	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x179265…
04-28 03:59:32	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x4bf4b9…
04-28 03:55:58	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	73	60¢	$44	0xaac4fe…
04-28 03:54:08	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0xc44a94…
04-28 03:51:06	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x5a1c72…
04-28 03:49:34	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$20	0xd2822d…
04-28 02:51:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	6¢	$10	0x2799b9…
04-28 02:48:46	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	12¢	$7	0x8cb24d…
04-28 02:45:24	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x075538…
04-28 02:40:10	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x909d2c…
04-28 02:35:10	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xa01bda…
04-28 02:28:20	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x748500…
04-28 02:08:22	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xd2012e…
04-28 01:58:00	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0xd7f0be…
04-28 01:40:38	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x118ec2…
04-28 01:28:50	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	3¢	$3	0x10d7dd…
04-28 01:21:00	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xbe5c72…
04-28 01:20:00	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x574872…
04-28 01:17:58	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$0	0xa034f5…
04-28 01:16:38	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x453992…
04-28 01:09:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x795ef5…
04-28 01:07:06	Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9329b6…
04-28 00:59:10	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xaa9736…
04-28 00:52:06	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xa83121…