Numb-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

982

Trades

3,141

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 09-08 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

98% 49% +$1,311

Crypto

1% 38% -$65

Sports

1% 12% -$34

Politics

0% 80% +$0

Tech

0% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	45	$1.5K	970	970	+0	No	+$103	04-29 09:07
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	14	$1.3K	727	727	+0	No	+$125	04-30 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?	21	$723	451	451	+0	No	+$48	05-03 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	2	$596	307	307	+0	Yes	+$16	05-03 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	8	$552	407	398	+9	No	+$94	04-28 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	37	$529	382	376	+7	No	+$28	04-28 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	16	$525	327	327	+0	Yes	+$91	05-03 16:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	2	$402	211	211	+0	No	+$18	05-03 23:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?	9	$375	233	233	+0	Yes	+$49	04-30 07:15
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	23	$355	311	303	+8	Yes	+$72	04-24 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	14	$327	262	262	+0	No	+$43	05-02 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	3	$292	273	262	+11	Yes	+$183	04-27 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	10	$272	368	368	+0	No	+$186	05-10 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	9	$266	248	243	+6	No	-$10	04-28 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 25?	6	$251	145	143	+2	Yes	+$34	04-25 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	25	$251	556	531	+25	No	+$131	04-27 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	10	$239	173	138	+35	No	+$36	05-07 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	11	$232	137	137	+0	Yes	+$41	05-03 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	7	$221	134	133	+1	No	-$11	04-28 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	12	$219	317	313	+4	Yes	-$97	05-04 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 27?	10	$219	138	128	+10	Yes	+$45	04-27 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	7	$217	156	156	+0	Yes	-$35	05-01 16:13
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	3	$205	107	107	+0	No	+$4	04-29 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	8	$204	111	110	+1	Yes	+$4	04-26 06:33
Games Total: O/U 2.5	6	$180	111	111	+0	Under	+$40	04-30 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?	11	$178	135	130	+4	Yes	+$84	04-25 07:58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?	2	$172	88	88	+0	Yes	+$4	05-10 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 6?	5	$167	91	91	+0	Yes	+$7	05-06 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 28?	6	$165	91	91	+1	No	+$16	04-28 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	8	$160	129	111	+18	Yes	+$40	04-26 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 08:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xc441f8…
09-08 08:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6dc840…
09-08 08:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xea13d9…
09-08 08:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xa7a466…
09-08 08:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8a675a…
09-08 08:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x90fd22…
09-08 08:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x123fe9…
09-08 08:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe32667…
09-08 08:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x5bd593…
09-08 08:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x1e1d1f…
09-08 08:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x127541…
09-08 06:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa397db…
09-08 06:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xda4ce0…
09-08 05:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x79883a…
09-08 05:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb4e3e2…
09-08 05:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x657aac…
09-08 05:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x41ec5c…
09-08 05:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x57b73b…
09-08 04:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xd35626…
09-08 04:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x174876…
09-08 04:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x40b013…
09-08 04:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcfa097…
05-14 07:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xc7d900…
05-14 07:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x7be60e…
05-14 05:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7432c3…
05-14 05:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x3e3e2f…
05-14 04:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x823dd1…
05-14 04:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x4e79f3…
05-14 04:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8fdcb4…
05-14 03:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x44f8d6…
05-14 03:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd45b0c…
05-14 03:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xf0a70c…
05-14 03:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x88e896…
05-14 02:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x59d052…
05-14 02:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x47038e…
05-14 02:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdb5958…
05-14 02:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x235299…
05-14 01:33:28	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x713730…
05-13 15:47:06	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbc32a1…
05-13 12:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf62117…
05-13 12:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x9e9c53…
05-13 12:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x41e1cd…
05-13 12:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xed7e5d…
05-13 12:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?	No	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x86d0cf…
05-13 12:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x521c66…
05-13 12:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	14	52¢	$8	0x896cc6…
05-13 12:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xa8c98c…
05-13 10:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x64a4de…
05-13 08:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0xf21ea1…
05-13 08:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x0020b8…
05-13 08:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x300ed5…
05-13 08:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x373b7d…
05-13 08:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5748d8…
05-13 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdb03e2…
05-13 07:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcfc6ac…
05-13 07:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xce2175…
05-13 07:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x6beb49…
05-13 07:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x49eed9…
05-13 07:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8ee6f1…
05-13 07:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x69240d…
05-13 07:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xf97f1c…
05-13 07:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x67c0eb…
05-13 07:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x7df533…
05-13 07:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x3417c2…
05-13 07:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x0fb509…
05-13 07:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x657b4f…
05-13 07:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 13?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2b0dbf…
05-13 06:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa1600b…
05-13 06:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7604ff…
05-13 06:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xe5558c…
05-13 06:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	No	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x83c241…
05-13 06:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xc5b016…
05-13 06:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x3e8773…
05-13 06:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0x669172…
05-13 06:09:48	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xf0fb8d…
05-13 06:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xe8caba…
05-13 05:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x21721e…
05-13 05:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x52a548…
05-13 05:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x809c51…
05-13 05:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3a14a3…
05-13 05:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf93e39…
05-13 05:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	No	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0xfd566b…
05-13 05:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0x3760df…
05-13 05:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x842083…
05-13 05:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x98c03e…
05-13 04:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	No	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xe266c7…
05-13 04:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x018d05…
05-13 04:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x02f80c…
05-13 04:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3e9da0…
05-13 04:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x58bfa1…
05-13 04:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9351dc…
05-13 03:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x0055a6…
05-13 03:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x0145e2…
05-13 03:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x400207…
05-13 03:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xa672a1…
05-13 03:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x9795ba…
05-13 03:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	56	83¢	$46	0x0dd321…
05-13 03:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb23cdb…
05-13 03:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	137	13¢	$17	0xd96fe5…
05-13 03:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x56be20…