Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$158
$334 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$956
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 01:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $51 | $89 | $38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $39 | $39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
| Median | 4 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
| Below median | 9 | $31 | $26 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | $4 | +$8 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8f6f…e9fa | Yes | +100 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +66 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-12 17:02 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +36 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 16:12 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-12 04:36 |
| Mammoth-Gale 0x5cce…71ad | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x784b…f19e | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 00:41 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 00:41 |
| Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 00:42 |
| Useful-Panic 0x5cfc…c4ce | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:05 |
| Posh-Purchase 0xe867…4e6e | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:41 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:42 |
| Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:42 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Handmade-Hunger 0x2805…26a2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2755…6eac | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3f7…9ccd | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 06:26 |
| Warlike-Guestbook 0xc2a0…e1b8 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 20:12 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:15 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 05:01 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 00:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 01:42:56 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x6a721c… |
| 05-13 00:48:32 | (anonymous) 0x8f6f…e9fa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x72fed2… |
| 05-13 00:48:25 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x9ec311… |
| 05-13 00:42:09 | Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x9a4fda… |
| 05-13 00:42:04 | Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xe61648… |
| 05-13 00:42:04 | Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe44dc1… |
| 05-13 00:41:55 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xb0ae3b… |
| 05-13 00:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x784b…f19e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x9d6e75… |
| 05-13 00:41:53 | Posh-Purchase 0xe867…4e6e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x77cbd0… |
| 05-13 00:41:53 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x167dc8… |
| 05-12 23:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x2755…6eac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x2c0fe8… |
| 05-12 23:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x784b…f19e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf39259… |
| 05-12 23:02:15 | Elated-Cactus 0xd1a7…2bdc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8bfde8… |
| 05-12 23:02:15 | Handmade-Hunger 0x2805…26a2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x61ef0b… |
| 05-12 20:16:19 | Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | SELL | 75 | 17¢ | $13 | 0xf21438… |
| 05-12 20:12:35 | Warlike-Guestbook 0xc2a0…e1b8 | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x479238… |
| 05-12 17:57:26 | Loving-Fate 0xd50c…3360 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x6f6c44… |
| 05-12 17:46:42 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xf8a166… |
| 05-12 17:02:17 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 61 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x0469c0… |
| 05-12 16:12:07 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 36 | 83¢ | $30 | 0x3e734b… |
| 05-12 16:12:07 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xca9d65… |
| 05-12 07:01:14 | Mammoth-Gale 0x5cce…71ad | Yes | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x264e5d… |
| 05-12 06:26:06 | (anonymous) 0xb3f7…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x31dcee… |
| 05-12 06:15:58 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x29d1fd… |
| 05-12 06:05:49 | Useful-Panic 0x5cfc…c4ce | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9bc2ce… |
| 05-12 05:01:03 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x6102b1… |
| 05-12 04:36:03 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x87e6f6… |