Loving-Fate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.78K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

2,015

Trades

9,077

lifetime

Volume

$87.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 271 days

Categories

Other

95% 38% +$1,928

Politics

5% 24% -$136

Crypto

0% 30% -$14

Tech

0% 33% $0

Sports

0% 14% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes		+50	$4	3¢	$1	-$2	08-21 05:06
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+50	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	08-21 05:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	55	$1.8K	4,423	4,423	+0	Yes	-$70	02-28 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	40	$1.5K	809	809	+0	Yes	+$23	06-12 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4?	18	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Yes	+$29	06-04 08:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	48	$1.0K	2,446	2,446	+0	Yes	+$7	02-28 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 16?	41	$941	582	582	+0	Yes	-$126	06-16 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?	13	$785	467	467	+0	Yes	+$115	06-01 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?	26	$751	428	428	+0	Yes	+$103	06-06 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 30?	73	$751	413	413	+0	Yes	+$74	05-30 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 27?	4	$719	363	363	+0	No	+$5	07-27 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on July 18?	2	$711	358	358	+0	No	+$5	07-18 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?	15	$689	408	408	+0	Yes	+$126	06-03 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 28?	20	$644	394	294	+100	Yes	+$43	05-28 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	35	$601	379	379	+0	Yes	+$114	05-17 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?	4	$587	300	300	+0	Yes	+$12	07-16 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14?	10	$586	300	300	+0	Yes	+$13	06-14 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	21	$572	387	287	+100	Yes	+$101	05-24 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?	48	$547	368	368	+0	Yes	+$21	08-19 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?	5	$517	264	264	+0	Yes	+$11	06-07 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?	25	$502	308	308	+0	No	-$66	08-04 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?	20	$482	281	281	+0	Yes	+$80	05-23 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 8?	24	$477	281	281	+0	No	+$58	07-08 05:32
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	42	$456	800	1,000	-200	No	+$56	02-17 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?	13	$455	256	256	+0	No	+$27	07-01 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	18	$447	299	299	+0	Yes	-$54	06-08 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 22?	6	$423	218	218	+0	No	+$13	07-22 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 24?	3	$408	206	206	+0	No	+$3	07-24 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 31?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$1	07-31 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 22?	18	$393	200	200	+0	No	+$3	08-22 06:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	9	$392	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	-$4	02-24 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 28?	10	$388	280	280	+0	No	-$1	08-28 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x405529…
10-27 01:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x357aa1…
10-27 00:11:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3f85b0…
10-26 22:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x179448…
10-26 22:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x677cea…
10-26 18:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9401e0…
10-26 18:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x1d27ee…
10-26 17:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa3aeb2…
10-26 17:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4099d7…
10-26 17:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9f2b00…
10-26 12:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5035b5…
10-26 12:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x29231e…
10-26 11:00:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6f2100…
10-26 11:00:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1fafaa…
10-26 07:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x21a979…
10-26 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x88865e…
10-26 02:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6896b1…
10-26 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x13cd61…
10-26 01:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd6579e…
10-26 01:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6a4651…
10-25 23:04:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb1ae01…
10-25 18:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf211c2…
10-25 18:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x816d00…
10-25 17:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x87702a…
10-25 17:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x70e6ad…
10-25 16:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6e583…
10-25 12:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x2a66e8…
10-25 12:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x85713a…
10-25 11:00:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6b1d63…
10-25 11:00:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5f89f8…
10-25 10:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x227b3f…
10-25 07:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x7beb0c…
10-25 07:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa25b89…
10-25 06:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x30be48…
10-25 01:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x245426…
10-25 01:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x38a279…
10-25 00:14:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeb3418…
10-24 17:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c47c8…
10-24 17:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc8d0af…
10-24 17:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x451bd3…
10-24 15:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5308e7…
10-24 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x54f62e…
10-24 12:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc832da…
10-24 12:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa90855…
10-24 11:00:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7e15a0…
10-24 11:00:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcf3e82…
10-24 09:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6685…
10-24 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x10bf73…
10-24 06:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x136875…
10-24 05:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x614e77…
10-24 04:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x48fe89…
10-24 04:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x504b5a…
10-24 03:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xba52b2…
10-24 03:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x6fb214…
10-24 03:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb4e408…
10-24 03:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf641dc…
10-24 03:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xa5ed23…
10-24 02:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe98e0a…
10-24 02:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x064a4c…
10-24 01:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdf30a1…
10-24 01:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa08f78…
10-24 01:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x08e9a6…
10-24 01:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb08935…
10-23 17:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4eecc6…
10-23 17:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x9a1095…
10-23 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x19c25e…
10-23 16:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x77dd72…
10-23 13:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe99fc4…
10-23 12:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9f2d86…
10-23 12:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfdc9f4…
10-23 11:00:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb04722…
10-23 11:00:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x8905fd…
10-23 09:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5ee64c…
10-23 09:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9d0409…
10-23 07:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9da679…
10-23 07:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xccde2f…
10-23 07:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5be0c9…
10-23 06:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd421b8…
10-23 06:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfea4b1…
10-23 06:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x75decd…
10-23 05:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeb8666…
10-23 04:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x579081…
10-23 02:32:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb71163…
10-23 01:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x284110…
10-23 01:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x4b9ef7…
10-22 17:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0a309d…
10-22 17:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x267a4d…
10-22 16:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4eecef…
10-22 13:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb47e13…
10-22 12:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xdfc90f…
10-22 12:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6f1876…
10-22 10:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x121fb7…
10-22 09:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1ec632…
10-22 08:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1bd3af…
10-22 06:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x77e6a7…
10-22 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9a3b40…
10-22 06:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x95ff2c…
10-22 05:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5b5b60…
10-22 05:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x4fc37c…
10-22 05:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xd299fa…