Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$488
$3,962 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$196
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 00:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $412 | $16 | +$395 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $239 | $1 | +$238 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $12 | $8 | +$3 |
| Median | 4 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| Below median | 5 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $52 | $7 | +$46 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 3 | $29 | $0 | +$29 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | Yes | +253 | $222 | $222 | 3 | 05-09 02:45 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-09 12:22 |
| Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | Yes | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 14:02 |
| Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | +21 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 05-09 04:12 |
| Wicked-Furniture 0xae58…2a0b | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-09 10:20 |
| Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | No | +16 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-09 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | +14 | $13 | $21 | 2 | 05-09 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-09 04:12 |
| Mealy-Reactant 0x477f…9144 | Yes | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 14:29 |
| Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 00:12 |
| Knobby-Pantologist 0xa968…ed1f | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-09 04:12 |
| Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 23:06 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 05:34 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 04:29 |
| Defiant-Wheel 0x7970…ecca | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 13:28 |
| Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:33 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 14:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 00:12:02 | Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9585e4… |
| 05-09 17:24:10 | Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5c121a… |
| 05-09 14:03:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfaa5b9… |
| 05-09 14:02:53 | Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x018d42… |
| 05-09 13:58:29 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x8f0c3e… |
| 05-09 13:28:09 | Defiant-Wheel 0x7970…ecca | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb867bb… |
| 05-09 13:17:58 | Gullible-Cliff 0x14a9…4b39 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 93¢ | $43 | 0xb6c70e… |
| 05-09 12:22:07 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0x723b69… |
| 05-09 10:20:12 | Wicked-Furniture 0xae58…2a0b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x413d52… |
| 05-09 10:20:06 | Wicked-Furniture 0xae58…2a0b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3681e3… |
| 05-09 08:59:54 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xcaaaae… |
| 05-09 05:34:50 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf7afc7… |
| 05-09 04:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x350e1b… |
| 05-09 04:29:54 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xfa298d… |
| 05-09 04:12:12 | Knobby-Pantologist 0xa968…ed1f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x63cf62… |
| 05-09 04:12:12 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x2a3e45… |
| 05-09 04:12:08 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xe9600a… |
| 05-09 03:50:02 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | No | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x8ac73b… |
| 05-09 03:49:48 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | No | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x32b611… |
| 05-09 03:43:40 | Juicy-Satisfaction 0x17e7…f1ec | Yes | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x6fb604… |
| 05-09 03:00:29 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x15f37d… |
| 05-09 03:00:29 | Knobby-Pantologist 0xa968…ed1f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x37557e… |
| 05-09 03:00:25 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x6c7083… |
| 05-09 02:45:10 | Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 92¢ | $80 | 0xf0bf95… |
| 05-09 02:40:32 | Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 92¢ | $58 | 0x0abc2f… |
| 05-09 02:25:15 | Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 82¢ | $84 | 0x1d54f6… |
| 05-09 02:15:27 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | SELL | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xe428a2… |
| 05-09 01:35:12 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x533bcf… |
| 05-09 00:49:56 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xdc4056… |
| 05-08 23:36:47 | (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x88065c… |
| 05-08 23:06:16 | Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x217bd7… |
| 05-08 14:29:47 | Mealy-Reactant 0x477f…9144 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x73279f… |
| 05-08 07:33:44 | Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xafcd0f… |
| 05-07 11:53:53 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xfa0378… |