Gullible-Cliff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$523

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

277

Trades

447

lifetime

Volume

$36.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-25 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 82% -$47

Other

29% 69% -$477

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:50 UTC	1	$790	878	0	+878	Down	-$790	04-15 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:00 UTC	2	$773	464	457	+7	Down	+$44	04-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:35 UTC	1	$723	795	0	+795	Down	+$72	04-14 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:25 UTC	1	$717	724	0	+724	Down	+$7	04-14 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:20 UTC	1	$703	718	0	+718	Down	+$15	04-14 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:10 UTC	1	$641	707	0	+707	Up	+$67	04-14 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:15 UTC	5	$593	475	280	+195	Up	+$10	04-13 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:45 UTC	1	$592	645	0	+645	Down	+$53	04-14 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:45 UTC	1	$576	593	0	+593	Down	+$17	04-14 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:10 UTC	1	$549	578	0	+578	Down	+$30	04-14 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:05 UTC	1	$524	550	0	+550	Down	+$26	04-14 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:35 UTC	1	$510	526	0	+526	Up	+$16	04-14 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:15 UTC	1	$473	513	0	+513	Up	+$40	04-14 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:25 UTC	3	$457	325	166	+158	Down	+$11	04-16 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:35 UTC	4	$452	243	242	+2	Up	+$16	04-16 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:00 UTC	1	$438	476	0	+476	Up	+$38	04-14 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 10:45 UTC	1	$407	448	0	+448	Up	+$40	04-14 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:35 UTC	2	$406	214	213	+1	Up	+$12	04-16 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 10:15 UTC	1	$402	414	0	+414	Down	+$12	04-14 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:30 UTC	2	$392	200	200	+0	Up	+$4	04-16 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:40 UTC	3	$369	272	140	+131	Down	+$16	04-16 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:30 UTC	1	$366	379	0	+379	Up	+$13	04-13 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:20 UTC	1	$335	368	0	+368	Down	+$33	04-13 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:20 UTC	2	$330	182	180	+2	Up	+$22	04-16 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?	2	$307	157	157	+0	No	+$6	06-16 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:55 UTC	1	$290	323	0	+323	Down	-$290	04-16 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?	2	$289	146	146	+0	No	+$3	06-15 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:00 UTC	1	$288	339	0	+339	Down	+$51	04-13 20:04
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 17c	4	$287	304	194	+110	No	-$108	04-22 21:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	2	$283	143	143	+0	No	+$4	06-15 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x582110…
10-25 13:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc89041…
10-25 13:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6acfbc…
10-25 13:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	154	85¢	$131	0xa72f7f…
10-25 13:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x7a0dfd…
10-24 16:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	121	97¢	$118	0x0baab0…
10-24 16:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x47e962…
10-24 15:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x4cdfeb…
10-24 15:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xddbc69…
10-24 15:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	102	83¢	$85	0x5cc58e…
10-24 13:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0xf39492…
10-24 12:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	96¢	$79	0x02a1fe…
10-23 19:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x97f7be…
10-23 19:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0xc95b9e…
10-23 19:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0xcffa8f…
10-23 19:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	72	82¢	$59	0x85326b…
10-23 19:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x71d8a1…
10-23 18:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x48ed6e…
10-23 18:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xed4c1a…
10-23 18:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xd640c3…
10-23 18:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x960397…
10-23 18:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0xb1775d…
10-23 18:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x0ec062…
10-23 18:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x74d12f…
10-23 18:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x1fd9b2…
10-23 18:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x4d3ed0…
06-25 21:07:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	130	29¢	$38	0xa6afe5…
06-25 21:01:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x92c6c7…
06-24 16:57:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x5a145d…
06-24 16:56:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1989f3…
06-23 11:18:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x332752…
06-23 11:18:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xff3d49…
06-22 12:39:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x1a6e5f…
06-18 19:06:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x386306…
06-17 05:02:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x30a1f2…
06-17 05:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?	No	SELL	163	3¢	$5	0xf263fa…
06-16 21:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	163	96¢	$156	0xd8219f…
06-16 21:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0xf86345…
06-16 08:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	157	96¢	$151	0xb02a34…
06-15 16:48:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?	No	BUY	151	96¢	$145	0x645a16…
06-15 16:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x258f70…
06-15 08:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?	No	BUY	146	98¢	$143	0x506913…
06-15 08:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x095f83…
06-14 15:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	143	97¢	$139	0x7cec34…
06-14 15:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xdb9fdc…
06-14 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?	No	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x4b5d5c…
06-14 08:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x0958b6…
06-14 05:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x5230ff…
06-13 21:22:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June 13?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x28927c…
06-13 16:47:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June 13?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x928150…
06-13 16:46:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0xc0148d…
06-13 11:41:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x3519b7…
06-13 11:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x85442c…
06-13 00:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0xcb14f7…
06-13 00:39:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x5c7f87…
06-12 11:32:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$121	0xf8be5d…
06-12 11:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x11205a…
06-11 21:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0x0fd712…
06-11 21:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 11?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xb8d9f1…
06-11 15:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 11?	No	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0xa42d8a…
06-11 15:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 11?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0x573af4…
06-11 06:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x7029fd…
06-11 06:46:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x0b67e3…
06-10 17:50:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0xa5361a…
06-10 17:50:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xa7a6a6…
06-10 13:39:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0xd9f6ea…
06-10 13:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x3e5b3d…
06-10 05:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0xc61e59…
06-10 05:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x064851…
06-09 18:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xf6e1c6…
06-09 18:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x205205…
06-09 11:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0xa824ff…
06-09 11:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x2d44f2…
06-09 06:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xf79c7a…
06-08 18:16:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?	No	BUY	92	96¢	$88	0x612a29…
06-08 18:16:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x6f46ca…
06-08 09:04:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?	No	BUY	89	88¢	$78	0xa1eb24…
06-08 09:03:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	No	SELL	95	84¢	$79	0x1ea3e7…
06-08 08:00:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	No	BUY	95	90¢	$85	0xa2675a…
06-07 16:06:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0xdcda46…
06-07 16:02:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xa7480d…
06-07 06:20:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x7d230e…
06-06 16:42:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xbf3615…
06-06 16:41:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$77	0x85fd5a…
06-06 05:26:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x8a3d10…
06-06 05:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 5?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x227d1d…
06-05 17:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 5?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$72	0x83b37f…
06-05 17:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x35882b…
06-05 17:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x943b7b…
06-05 06:00:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 5?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xfed175…
06-04 12:46:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 4?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xd0ca7b…
06-04 12:46:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xec0e83…
06-04 07:54:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x3fb1f7…
06-03 21:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 3?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x58a7e5…
06-03 05:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 3?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0xe87289…
06-03 05:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 2?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xcafe4f…
06-02 18:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 2?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xf70aa7…
06-02 18:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x6b2f55…
06-02 08:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x2230bf…
06-01 17:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x63f125…