Barren-Inverse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$920

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

3,366

Trades

7,701

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-29 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Other

94% 53% -$926

Crypto

5% 54% +$10

Politics

0% 50% +$2

Sports

0% 25% -$12

Tech

0% 50% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes		-54	-$14	16¢	$-8	+$5	06-02 12:30
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes		-1	-$1	70¢	$-1	+$0	06-27 21:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	9	$180	183	78	+106	Yes	-$2	06-08 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?	3	$150	176	0	+176	No	+$26	06-20 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?	10	$140	126	126	+0	No	+$25	06-06 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?	6	$99	51	51	+0	Yes	+$3	07-05 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	9	$95	82	76	+6	No	-$43	05-05 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9?	14	$87	140	78	+61	No	-$54	05-09 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	12	$87	49	49	+0	Yes	+$11	07-27 21:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	11	$82	45	45	+0	Yes	+$8	07-27 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 9?	4	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$2	07-09 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?	7	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	07-13 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?	5	$75	77	25	+52	Yes	-$15	06-29 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 9?	10	$74	103	91	+12	Yes	-$1	05-09 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 7?	3	$72	37	37	+0	No	+$2	07-07 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	9	$64	39	39	+0	Yes	+$6	07-16 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	11	$63	39	39	+0	Yes	-$1	07-14 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 5?	3	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$2	07-05 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 7?	3	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	07-07 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 4?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	07-04 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?	27	$60	89	42	+46	Yes	-$12	07-11 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 4?	4	$60	33	33	+0	No	+$4	07-04 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?	8	$59	54	20	+33	Yes	+$1	08-09 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?	9	$58	38	38	+0	Yes	-$2	07-04 08:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$58	33	33	+0	No	+$8	05-05 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?	7	$55	79	79	+0	Yes	-$25	05-09 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 4?	5	$54	56	56	+0	Yes	-$28	07-04 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?	12	$54	69	13	+56	No	-$42	07-17 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?	6	$53	63	27	+36	Yes	-$3	07-10 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 5?	4	$52	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	07-05 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?	2	$52	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	07-08 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?	3	$52	63	2	+61	No	-$51	06-19 04:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6ca2bf…
10-29 11:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6bb6e3…
10-29 10:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb37273…
10-29 09:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x67776f…
10-29 09:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x46013a…
10-29 09:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1eb161…
10-29 09:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa3b450…
10-29 08:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xec095c…
10-29 08:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6a0f0e…
10-29 08:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6ecb87…
10-29 08:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x776d3d…
10-29 08:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x84c8ce…
10-29 07:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2c4110…
10-29 07:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0a7554…
10-29 07:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x2d8f29…
10-29 07:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7d4cdb…
10-29 07:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xabd966…
10-29 07:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2833f8…
10-29 06:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2118df…
10-29 06:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc2eb05…
10-29 06:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x569dd5…
10-29 06:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4a72dc…
10-29 06:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x575dab…
10-29 06:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2fdd93…
10-29 06:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x44a6ce…
10-29 06:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdc66c1…
10-29 06:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa74b19…
10-29 06:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xdac3cb…
10-29 06:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x811a0a…
10-29 06:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf8e31c…
10-29 06:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x379a0d…
10-29 06:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x6879d4…
10-29 05:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5f817a…
10-29 05:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee8f25…
10-29 05:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x42c866…
10-29 05:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9ba64e…
10-29 05:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0fda22…
10-29 05:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xace1c5…
10-29 05:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xed0569…
10-29 05:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x8a6f96…
10-29 04:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x70417f…
10-29 04:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xb27e1c…
10-29 04:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xca5ff3…
10-29 04:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xb2b3cc…
10-29 04:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe535aa…
10-29 04:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x23b759…
10-29 04:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x06e577…
10-29 04:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x7ac498…
10-29 03:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbdf41d…
10-29 03:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x45f370…
10-29 03:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x46c8de…
10-29 03:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xb576a6…
10-29 03:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9c7325…
10-29 02:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x06e428…
10-29 01:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7e6dbb…
10-29 01:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x0f287c…
10-29 01:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd2cb20…
10-29 00:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x60e873…
10-29 00:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc72740…
10-29 00:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xad8a73…
10-29 00:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x725560…
10-28 23:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf89124…
10-28 23:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x95c041…
10-28 23:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa33471…
10-28 22:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd0c0a1…
10-28 22:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xec92b4…
10-28 22:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaa0664…
10-28 22:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb9b075…
10-28 21:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeebb12…
10-28 10:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2413ae…
10-28 10:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfaa826…
10-28 10:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6113c2…
10-28 09:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8982b1…
10-28 07:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x45aca6…
10-28 06:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf89435…
10-28 06:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe07e7c…
10-28 06:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x371521…
10-28 06:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8d37e2…
10-28 06:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3485c5…
10-28 05:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb5f63f…
10-28 05:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xbeebfc…
10-28 04:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbf62be…
10-28 04:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf10600…
10-28 04:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4bdba1…
10-28 03:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a2ab0…
10-28 03:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xd9b53b…
10-28 02:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x886b07…
10-28 02:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6214ec…
10-28 01:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xe3943e…
10-28 01:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x913792…
10-28 01:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x759ec6…
10-28 01:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb09497…
10-28 01:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0cdb73…
10-28 01:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x1af897…
10-28 01:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x882818…
10-28 01:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xe9ddd6…
10-28 00:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfb2d82…
10-28 00:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeb32ab…
10-28 00:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x348afc…
10-28 00:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe772a0…