Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 14?
open
Total volume
$259
$234 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,656
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-11-14
First seen
2026-11-12
last 11-13 05:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.6¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $148
vs crowd: 12% YES on $258)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $12 | $142 | $131 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $45 | $44 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $9 | $39 | $29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $6 | $142 | $137 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $8 | +$2 |
| Median | 2 | — | $26 | $26 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | No | +135 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 11-13 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa996…67f1 | Yes | +73 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-13 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | +34 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 11-13 05:55 |
| Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +28 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 11-13 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | +28 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 11-13 04:25 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 11-13 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a29…729e | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 11-13 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 05:18 |
| Wild-Haven 0x941b…97af | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-13 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 05:23 |
| Sturdy-Diffuse 0xac1f…cf6a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 05:55 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-12 19:52 |
| Unkempt-Leopard 0x291d…8e36 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-12 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xabc1…d8f5 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-12 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1557…a648 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 04:25 |
| Granular-Celeriac 0x180e…29df | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-12 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x708b…d54a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2807…4e85 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-12 22:21 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 04:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 05:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x9a29…729e | No | BUY | 24 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xd0e9ef… |
| 11-13 05:55:25 | Sturdy-Diffuse 0xac1f…cf6a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd0e9ef… |
| 11-13 05:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd0e9ef… |
| 11-13 05:23:13 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x34ddfc… |
| 11-13 05:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x34ddfc… |
| 11-13 05:23:13 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8e22e5… |
| 11-13 05:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x708b…d54a | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8e22e5… |
| 11-13 05:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xc54b51… |
| 11-13 05:18:34 | Wild-Haven 0x941b…97af | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc54b51… |
| 11-13 04:25:34 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xadce5b… |
| 11-13 04:25:34 | Stunning-Greens 0x75fd…e4f9 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xadce5b… |
| 11-13 04:25:06 | (anonymous) 0x1557…a648 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x93f863… |
| 11-13 04:25:06 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x93f863… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x5eea2f… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | No | BUY | 135 | 87¢ | $117 | 0x5eea2f… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x34210d… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x5eea2f… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | BUY | 28 | 86¢ | $24 | 0x34210d… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5eea2f… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x34210d… |
| 11-13 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0xa996…67f1 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x5eea2f… |
| 11-13 01:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xb18e32… |
| 11-13 01:50:16 | Stunning-Greens 0x75fd…e4f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb18e32… |
| 11-12 23:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x715406… |
| 11-12 23:24:58 | (anonymous) 0xabc1…d8f5 | No | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x715406… |
| 11-12 22:21:21 | Granular-Celeriac 0x180e…29df | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x7fcd56… |
| 11-12 22:21:21 | (anonymous) 0x2807…4e85 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x7fcd56… |
| 11-12 19:52:01 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5358cc… |
| 11-12 19:52:01 | Unkempt-Leopard 0x291d…8e36 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x5358cc… |