Nimble-Pain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

2,951

Trades

11,166

lifetime

Volume

$54.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-27 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 247 days

Categories

Other

100% 26% +$4,877

Crypto

0% 30% -$10

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Tech

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+125	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	10-22 15:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+125	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-14 18:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-07 23:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	09-08 18:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	16	$964	2,174	410	+1,764	Yes	-$81	10-25 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 20?	2	$878	441	441	+0	No	+$4	05-20 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 20?	10	$867	441	441	+0	No	+$13	05-20 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 4?	17	$855	470	470	+0	Yes	+$68	05-04 19:47
Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly five days?	5	$688	481	481	+0	Yes	+$273	10-10 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?	2	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$2	05-30 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 28?	5	$593	300	300	+0	No	+$6	05-28 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 21?	7	$566	290	290	+0	No	+$14	05-21 05:51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16?	19	$561	284	284	+0	No	+$8	09-16 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	1	$555	560	0	+560	Yes	+$6	09-10 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	13	$536	791	791	+0	No	-$497	10-23 01:12
will champi peak as a violent typhoon	6	$527	295	295	+0	Yes	+$62	10-26 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 27?	20	$523	267	267	+0	No	+$11	05-27 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 14?	9	$512	264	264	+0	No	+$16	05-14 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30?	19	$494	249	249	+0	No	+$2	05-30 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 3?	2	$464	468	0	+468	No	+$4	05-02 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	6	$457	466	252	+214	Yes	-$19	09-23 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?	3	$449	234	234	+0	No	+$19	07-01 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 20?	7	$439	227	227	+0	No	+$14	05-20 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 7?	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	08-07 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 21?	9	$363	197	197	+0	No	+$30	05-21 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?	2	$360	377	0	+377	No	+$17	05-14 00:48
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?	11	$354	700	0	+700	Yes	+$146	09-28 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 11?	2	$331	167	167	+0	No	+$2	06-11 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 2?	9	$311	166	166	+0	No	+$20	07-02 11:25
Will Simon peak at Category 4?	7	$303	188	188	+0	Yes	+$29	10-16 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 12?	3	$297	324	0	+324	No	+$27	05-12 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 22?	2	$288	150	150	+0	No	+$12	06-22 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	10	$287	316	316	+0	No	+$264	07-20 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	4	$279	307	307	-0	Yes	-$278	05-13 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xb77458…
10-27 03:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf0d620…
10-27 03:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb0886c…
10-27 03:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x792a1d…
10-27 03:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x105633…
10-27 03:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc632d…
10-27 03:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xaa6acd…
10-27 02:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xc13278…
10-27 02:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3ca551…
10-27 02:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xd221f8…
10-27 02:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xba3cd5…
10-27 02:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0x9b0536…
10-26 18:29:42	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x92518b…
10-26 18:29:39	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe3695c…
10-26 12:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xd540a8…
10-26 12:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	89	95¢	$84	0x787437…
10-26 12:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xccf0e6…
10-26 12:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x4dafc7…
10-26 12:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x2d9e15…
10-26 12:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x42e51a…
10-26 11:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xe0eaec…
10-26 11:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xc1b7e9…
10-26 11:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd342d5…
10-26 11:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xe0a993…
10-26 11:01:36	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x17c325…
10-26 09:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x43c9fd…
10-26 08:02:50	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0xeec36d…
10-26 05:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb144b…
10-26 05:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xe6d3a6…
10-26 05:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xe1d78a…
10-26 05:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x46ba80…
10-26 04:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	403	0¢	$0	0x0c60ba…
10-26 04:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x1f32c2…
10-26 04:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	319	1¢	$2	0x349303…
10-26 04:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x622eb8…
10-26 03:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x601c3d…
10-26 03:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8a32fb…
10-26 03:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x79dcba…
10-26 03:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5e6cfe…
10-26 03:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x0bd340…
10-26 03:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	47	37¢	$18	0xc7c32b…
10-26 03:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd12030…
10-26 03:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8b223a…
10-26 03:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x1494f2…
10-26 03:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x331369…
10-26 02:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x7fdb7e…
10-26 02:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd76bba…
10-26 02:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x552e01…
10-26 02:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xb7e8f5…
10-26 02:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x564e26…
10-26 02:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf1cbdd…
10-26 01:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0852b8…
10-26 01:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x23c827…
10-26 01:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x613733…
10-26 00:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x078212…
10-26 00:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xe2abfb…
10-26 00:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x1a9534…
10-26 00:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0x1578a1…
10-26 00:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x3ad564…
10-26 00:04:54	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xd67b4e…
10-26 00:04:51	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x28cb95…
10-26 00:04:44	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x43860f…
10-25 17:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x98bca4…
10-25 17:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x821bfd…
10-25 17:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x2a30c4…
10-25 17:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x3fa488…
10-25 16:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xb222d4…
10-25 14:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb5df06…
10-25 14:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xfbb771…
10-25 14:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x84d658…
10-25 14:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xcf119f…
10-25 14:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xc1b2bc…
10-25 14:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3ffb13…
10-25 14:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x3f97a3…
10-25 14:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x1e74e1…
10-25 13:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xdb8bfb…
10-25 13:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	410	0¢	$0	0x6a46ac…
10-25 13:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	595	100¢	$594	0xa3a14f…
10-25 13:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	63	10¢	$6	0xb9aa3a…
10-25 11:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9fce64…
10-25 11:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8e1fde…
10-25 11:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	182	97¢	$177	0x6d7a08…
10-25 10:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	222	0¢	$0	0x55635e…
10-25 10:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	821	1¢	$6	0xe8df4f…
10-25 10:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x2129bb…
10-25 10:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	155	1¢	$1	0x181dda…
10-25 10:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	281	1¢	$2	0x494f81…
10-25 07:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x637e31…
10-25 07:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xae00ed…
10-25 07:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x53f4f2…
10-25 07:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x66fdda…
10-25 07:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x671d1c…
10-25 07:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	211	1¢	$2	0x411622…
10-25 07:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x7fb913…
10-25 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9e59e7…
10-25 06:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x43b226…
10-25 06:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x07d341…
10-25 06:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x3ab9c4…
10-25 06:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd47f42…
10-25 06:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf0b40e…