Realized P&L
-$334
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
4,222
Trades
11,450
lifetime
Volume
$67.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$320
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-28 07:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
88% 54% -$201
Crypto
8% 57% -$214
Sports
3% 55% +$100
Politics
1% 47% -$16
Tech
0% 50% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 2066 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will wti dip to 80 in october 2026 No +30 $28 99¢ $30 +$2 10-20 05:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $20 95¢ $28 +$8 10-15 00:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +31 $18 88¢ $28 +$9 10-18 09:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +25 $8 88¢ $22 +$15 10-21 03:49
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +15 $13 97¢ $15 +$2 10-19 14:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +15 $15 96¢ $14 $0 10-20 15:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$1 10-20 23:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +10 $11 99¢ $10 -$1 10-19 22:32
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 10-20 17:40
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 10-19 12:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-21 21:31
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-22 00:41
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-21 13:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-20 02:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10 $7 96¢ $10 +$2 10-20 00:52
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +15 $9 63¢ $9 +$0 10-20 09:06
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-21 07:40
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +10 $3 86¢ $9 +$5 10-21 08:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +10 $9 86¢ $9 $0 10-19 12:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 10-19 22:16
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $7 64¢ $6 -$1 10-22 00:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $7 56¢ $6 -$2 10-19 20:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-19 13:20
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$0 10-20 05:53
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-25 01:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-20 14:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $2 98¢ $5 +$3 10-19 16:02
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-21 09:45
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-14 10:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:50