Realized P&L
-$188
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
3,048
Trades
5,325
lifetime
Volume
$9.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$110
21 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 11-09 05:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 72% -$168
Other
5% 45% -$14
Politics
4% 40% -$7
Tech
0% 50% +$1
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1221 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 11-02 01:26
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 11-02 16:24
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-02 13:50
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +10 $6 98¢ $10 +$4 11-02 16:28
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 11-02 16:27
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 11-02 16:24
Will Lamar Jackson lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 11-05 11:05
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-02 16:28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 11-02 15:00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5 $3 97¢ $5 +$1 11-01 12:08
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$0 11-02 16:27
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$1 11-01 13:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 10-23 01:15
Will Joe Burrow lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season? No +5 $3 43¢ $2 -$1 11-05 11:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 10-22 11:37
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5 $3 20¢ $1 -$2 11-01 12:08
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +30 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 11-02 01:26
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $4 2¢ $0 -$3 11-01 13:13
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 11-01 13:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-02 15:00
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +10 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-02 13:50