Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$49
Trades
22
Unique wallets
9
Liquidity
$10,505
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-17 20:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $3 | $33 | $30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-12 03:55 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 20:55 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-08 00:47 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-08 00:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 20:55:52 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xeffeef… |
| 06-17 20:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | SELL | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xeffeef… |
| 06-12 03:55:49 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x86faef… |
| 06-12 03:55:49 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x86faef… |
| 06-10 17:16:00 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0x67a173… |
| 06-10 17:16:00 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | BUY | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x67a173… |
| 06-08 00:50:33 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe2846b… |
| 06-08 00:50:33 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe2846b… |
| 06-08 00:47:52 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x36dfbc… |
| 06-08 00:47:52 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x36dfbc… |
| 06-07 12:47:34 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x449347… |
| 06-07 12:47:34 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x449347… |
| 06-07 12:45:33 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd209cb… |
| 06-07 12:45:33 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd209cb… |
| 06-07 09:19:27 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x307035… |
| 06-07 09:19:27 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x307035… |
| 06-07 09:18:25 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd65203… |
| 06-07 09:18:25 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd65203… |
| 06-07 00:48:40 | Periodic-Principal 0xa580…0b4c | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb093bc… |
| 06-07 00:48:40 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb093bc… |
| 06-07 00:45:28 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x787739… |
| 06-07 00:45:28 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x787739… |