Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
524
lifetime
Volume
$1.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$52
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-10 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 0% $-11
Other
22% 0% $-1
Sports
11%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 72¢ $-11 $-0 06-07 19:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$2 06-03 06:11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-05 18:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 06-06 19:11
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-03 22:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +7 $3 55¢ $4 +$0 06-05 01:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +5 $4 60¢ $3 $-1 06-03 11:49
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +4 $3 71¢ $3 $-0 06-04 23:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +15 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 11:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 13:18
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-09 07:46
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:21
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +56 $9 $0 $-9 06-06 06:14