Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
837
lifetime
Volume
$2.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$64
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-28 02:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
64% 0% $-11
Other
24% 0% $-1
Sports
9%
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-0 06-13 14:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 83¢ $-13 $-2 06-07 19:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +37 $14 30¢ $11 $-2 06-22 21:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 95¢ $8 +$2 06-05 18:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 08:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +7 $3 57¢ $4 +$1 06-05 01:11
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 +$0 06-22 06:45
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:32
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-26 08:09