Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,444
lifetime
Volume
$5.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$45
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-11 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
36% 38% $-4
Sports
33% 33% $-3
Politics
29% 75% +$1
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-11 17:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 70¢ $5 $-0 05-29 01:48
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +27 $6 18¢ $5 $-1 06-08 00:44
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-31 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 04:05
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:37
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $7 16¢ $3 $-4 06-04 01:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 58¢ $3 $-0 06-11 17:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +4 $2 80¢ $3 +$0 05-31 16:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 05-30 17:33
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 20:36
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 06-02 21:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 15:46
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-01 04:12
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-29 11:08
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-05 14:58
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 52¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:42