Wavy-Barracks — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,704

lifetime

Volume

$6.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-06 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

35% 38% $-4

Politics

32% 75% +$1

Sports

30% 33% $-3

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	14	$124	70	70	+0	open	—	04-04 17:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	18	$96	70	70	+0	open	—	04-16 16:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	32	$91	217	237	-20	open	—	05-29 15:07
will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	18	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	04-11 14:14
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$85	86	86	+0	open	—	04-11 13:34
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	11	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 21:10
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	24	$74	105	105	+0	open	—	04-12 00:05
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	22	$73	96	96	+0	open	—	04-12 21:56
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	8	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	04-09 19:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 09:37
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	15	$61	56	56	+0	open	—	04-12 00:25
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	19	$56	82	82	+0	open	—	04-12 22:03
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	13	$55	56	56	+0	open	—	04-10 19:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	04-07 20:59
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	16	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	04-05 21:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	13	$52	60	56	+4	open	—	04-14 15:24
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	9	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	04-07 21:28
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	31	$48	238	238	+0	open	—	04-12 20:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	15	$47	107	112	-5	open	—	06-15 01:58
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	14	$46	70	60	+10	open	—	04-14 00:55
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	24	$44	96	96	+0	open	—	04-09 19:46
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	04-07 23:30
rueuchamp bor tou 2026 04 12 tou	7	$37	40	30	+10	open	—	04-12 15:13
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	10	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	04-09 01:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	18	$35	113	133	-20	open	—	06-14 12:35
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	10	$34	40	40	+0	open	—	04-16 04:48
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	12	$34	60	60	+0	open	—	04-12 16:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	17	$31	81	78	+4	open	—	04-07 21:23
spy closes above 730 on june 24 2026	2	$31	100	100	+0	open	—	06-24 17:32
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	9	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	04-12 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 02:22:44	mlb oak cin 2026 08 06	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe0594a…
07-02 03:53:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x972a72…
07-02 03:47:47	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x784fbf…
07-02 03:46:59	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x71d6ba…
07-02 03:46:31	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x9954f6…
07-02 03:44:53	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x6ff69e…
07-02 03:44:22	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xe2298d…
07-02 03:42:19	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9726bf…
07-02 03:41:13	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xf8c57d…
07-02 03:39:52	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xba58e3…
07-02 03:35:04	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xad613f…
07-02 03:34:02	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xc08420…
07-02 03:33:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x144dcc…
07-02 03:33:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x12af6c…
07-02 03:32:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xdfd68c…
07-01 10:12:04	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedfa97…
07-01 10:12:02	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x385fea…
07-01 10:11:59	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x3fcd6f…
07-01 10:11:55	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x8d9c26…
07-01 10:11:53	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x38c715…
07-01 10:11:46	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x776815…
07-01 10:11:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x37b956…
07-01 10:11:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x63acd6…
07-01 10:11:41	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x0d5d58…
07-01 10:11:37	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x5a9bab…
07-01 10:11:35	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x9ca35d…
07-01 10:11:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x515dfd…
07-01 10:11:25	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x8ee641…
07-01 10:11:23	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x7d2660…
06-27 14:52:50	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x16edb6…
06-27 11:42:01	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc56981…
06-26 22:57:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa31ae7…
06-26 17:54:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x223ab6…
06-26 16:09:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x4bf099…
06-26 12:34:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x23d63a…
06-26 08:13:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe79d4d…
06-26 08:08:49	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x507164…
06-26 08:02:56	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7004ef…
06-26 06:40:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb0168b…
06-26 06:28:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x554973…
06-25 18:44:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe8dd10…
06-25 18:44:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf460c8…
06-25 18:36:56	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x186232…
06-25 15:51:31	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x384193…
06-25 15:45:22	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x768517…
06-25 12:56:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb9f93f…
06-25 12:54:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe94e1d…
06-25 09:56:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe47642…
06-25 09:56:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd5d303…
06-25 09:55:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x05842a…
06-25 06:57:34	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8bb433…
06-25 04:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x64d734…
06-25 01:45:46	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x42948a…
06-25 01:23:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8a9acc…
06-24 21:30:58	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x593c0e…
06-24 20:08:10	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x40ef6f…
06-24 20:05:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa668d9…
06-24 18:45:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf81b56…
06-24 18:41:20	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9145ae…
06-24 17:32:43	spy closes above 730 on june 24 2026	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x6100fc…
06-24 15:57:02	spy closes above 730 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x775539…
06-24 15:46:22	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1ade7f…
06-23 17:55:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfba81d…
06-23 16:40:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x27d82d…
06-23 16:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xd6f97a…
06-23 14:29:14	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3f80ce…
06-23 09:44:16	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x089aa9…
06-23 05:39:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdfea5d…
06-22 14:11:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbe89fb…
06-22 14:03:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5d8692…
06-22 13:59:52	spy closes above 745 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xef3dea…
06-22 12:18:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x2c89c0…
06-22 10:03:59	spy closes above 735 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x862709…
06-22 09:07:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5035d2…
06-22 05:57:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa3b8fb…
06-21 03:05:49	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xf97dba…
06-20 20:01:58	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x6952f6…
06-20 06:48:16	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeb076d…
06-20 05:17:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x1e7e28…
06-19 19:43:11	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcc8c49…
06-19 18:47:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x334c59…
06-19 17:05:50	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4d1a4e…
06-19 09:12:26	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x7202e0…
06-19 06:35:19	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fd8ba…
06-19 03:48:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x08aed3…
06-18 17:12:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2c35b3…
06-18 16:27:35	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb3290a…
06-18 16:16:26	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1f89e7…
06-18 14:56:37	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc1a8f3…
06-18 14:41:35	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xd77b87…
06-18 12:46:22	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x302044…
06-17 20:27:37	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x033b31…
06-17 20:22:04	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xe166ce…
06-17 17:13:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x17167a…
06-17 17:09:34	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xf8e407…
06-17 17:09:31	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x605a45…
06-17 16:57:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x45c2a7…
06-17 16:57:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xde13ba…
06-17 16:46:17	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x00a2c2…
06-17 16:37:35	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x915a67…