Realized P&L (90d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
20.8%
Resolved (90d)
2
Trades (90d)
18
18 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$35
$35 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 04:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
43% 50% $-2
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -33 $-5 21¢ $-7 $-1 05-08 04:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No -5 $-3 72¢ $-4 $-0 05-07 19:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 $-0 05-07 12:35
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 05-08 04:44
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +2 $1 31¢ $1 $-0 05-07 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 +$1 05-07 12:56
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes -1 $1 $-0 $-1 05-07 19:36