Realized P&L
+$116.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.1K
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
7,854
lifetime
Volume
$9.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.15K
Open exposure
$104.9K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 07-21 15:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
68% 88% +$113,549
Other
23% 67% +$3,332
Crypto
9%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +55,128 $43,760 87¢ $48.1K +$4,366 07-14 12:29
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +39,728 $13,517 52¢ $20.5K +$6,943 07-21 15:10
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +25,950 $15,718 48¢ $12.6K $-3,132 07-14 14:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,233 $6,666 74¢ $6.8K +$121 06-11 17:36
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +47,725 $4,757 13¢ $6.1K +$1,304 07-19 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4,685 $2 99¢ $4.6K +$4,625 06-26 20:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -8,564 $-1,713 26¢ $-2270 $-557 06-14 20:43
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +4,704 $2,446 44¢ $2.0K $-400 07-14 14:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +2,439 $1,122 56¢ $1.4K +$256 07-20 16:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -401 $-185 63¢ $-253 $-67 06-04 09:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -213 $-100 70¢ $-151 $-50 06-04 02:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7,337 $1,402 $92 $-1,310 07-15 22:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -151 $-75 46¢ $-70 +$5 06-04 05:11
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-0 64¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 03:36