Realized P&L
+$389.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$865
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
216
Trades
10,313
lifetime
Volume
$12.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.17K
Open exposure
$45.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 08-22 07:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Politics
63% 65% +$429,331
Other
28% 50% -$120,610
Crypto
7% 33% +$41,896
Sports
3% 83% +$42,756
Tech
0% 0% -$3,797
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +14,987 $9,148 92¢ $13.7K +$4,565 05-08 18:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +14,248 $9,085 92¢ $13.2K +$4,094 06-11 17:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +14,388 $9,824 91¢ $13.2K +$3,335 07-30 10:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +23,096 $6,237 9¢ $2.0K -$4,262 07-25 16:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +18,826 $8,054 8¢ $1.4K -$6,642 06-14 23:04
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,013 $460 96¢ $967 +$507 06-04 05:11
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,015 $294 81¢ $822 +$528 06-03 03:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -213 -$100 96¢ $-206 -$106 06-04 02:09
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +254 $8 80¢ $205 +$196 06-04 09:01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +4,335 $882 4¢ $178 -$704 05-25 12:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 $2,376 12¢ $-0 -$2,376 06-02 23:08