Realized P&L
+$116.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$25.2K
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
7,550
lifetime
Volume
$8.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.16K
Open exposure
$31.1K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 06-26 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
69% 88% +$113,549
Other
22% 67% +$3,332
Crypto
9%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +13,756 $8,526 100¢ $13.7K +$5,202 06-14 14:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,233 $6,666 84¢ $7.7K +$1,044 06-11 17:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4,685 $2 70¢ $3.3K +$3,254 06-26 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5,866 $1,384 30¢ $1.8K +$405 06-10 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +247,415 $32,508 $1.7K $-30,776 06-15 00:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -8,564 $-1,713 16¢ $-1413 +$300 06-14 20:43
Chirayu Rana divorced? No -500 $-494 100¢ $-500 $-5 06-03 21:52
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -485 $-441 99¢ $-481 $-39 06-04 07:41
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -401 $-185 58¢ $-233 $-47 06-04 09:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -213 $-100 56¢ $-121 $-20 06-04 02:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -151 $-75 36¢ $-53 +$22 06-04 05:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +21,959 $4,551 $44 $-4,508 06-19 19:58
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-0 55¢ $-0 $-0 06-03 03:36